Realized P&L
-$266
Unrealized P&L
-$149
Hit rate
72.9%
Resolved
67
Trades
960
lifetime
Volume
$79.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$82
Open exposure
$1.20K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-11
last 10-29 22:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
38% 39% -$1,594
Politics
34% 27% -$405
Sports
14% 67% +$489
Tech
11% 100% +$1,244
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +465 $377 94¢ $434 +$57 10-13 13:42
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +528 $238 60¢ $314 +$77 10-21 18:33
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No +739 $250 26¢ $188 -$62 09-23 00:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +634 $131 14¢ $86 -$45 09-25 16:14
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? No +467 $162 17¢ $78 -$84 09-22 13:59
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +260 $47 29¢ $74 +$27 10-25 11:50
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +143 $29 6¢ $8 -$21 08-22 19:10
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +571 $7 1¢ $7 +$0 09-30 16:33
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +1 -$8 94¢ $1 +$9 08-22 01:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3 -$2 40¢ $1 +$3 08-29 11:16
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +1 $0 85¢ $1 +$1 09-25 20:31
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +1 $23 88¢ $1 -$22 09-23 11:31
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $9 34¢ $0 -$8 10-05 15:56
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +1 $46 54¢ $0 -$46 09-23 11:33
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1 -$31 33¢ $0 +$31 09-08 21:27
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +1 -$2 33¢ $0 +$2 09-07 11:16
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +1 -$3 44¢ $0 +$3 09-14 18:37
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes — +1 $4 29¢ $0 -$3 08-13 18:49
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +1 -$29 30¢ $0 +$29 08-29 11:18
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +0 -$32 29¢ $0 +$32 08-18 00:39
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 -$10 42¢ $0 +$10 09-25 20:36
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +0 -$4 77¢ $0 +$4 09-30 17:08
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +1 -$22 15¢ $0 +$22 09-30 20:05
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +1 -$15 12¢ $0 +$15 09-22 11:30
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1 $2 11¢ $0 -$2 09-02 01:27
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 Yes +0 $69 14¢ $0 -$69 09-06 21:23
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +0 -$20 12¢ $0 +$20 09-28 11:29
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +0 $43 24¢ $0 -$43 09-28 11:31
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes +1 $86 5¢ $0 -$86 10-03 11:17
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes +1 -$1 6¢ $0 +$1 09-13 04:41