Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$719
Trades
34
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$10,511
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-12 19:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+79.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $8
vs crowd: 21% YES on $604)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $3 | $67 | $64 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $8 | $297 | $289 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $13 | $103 | $90 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $102 | $10 | +$92 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $3 | $103 | $99 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $255 | $255 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $35 | $35 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $67 | $67 |
| unranked | 4 | $106 | $17 | +$89 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x232c…e6ff | Yes | +585 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-06 03:12 |
| Considerate-Amusement 0x8393…f0ae | No | +288 | $245 | $245 | 1 | 06-06 03:12 |
| Huge-Crook 0xebdc…bf08 | No | +100 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 06-02 12:07 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +68 | $57 | $77 | 2 | 06-12 19:41 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +54 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-02 12:07 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 19:27 |
| Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-07 04:05 |
| Ragged-Dose 0xe856…3789 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x97b0…50c3 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 05:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xe257…b81a | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 05:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 19:41:06 | Ragged-Dose 0xe856…3789 | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x2b504d… |
| 06-12 19:41:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x2b504d… |
| 06-07 19:27:28 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x9a4adf… |
| 06-07 19:27:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x9a4adf… |
| 06-07 04:07:58 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xe83cbe… |
| 06-07 04:07:58 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xe83cbe… |
| 06-07 04:05:18 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x5445fd… |
| 06-07 04:05:18 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x5445fd… |
| 06-06 18:03:04 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 25 | 82¢ | $20 | 0x918604… |
| 06-06 18:03:04 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x918604… |
| 06-06 04:28:07 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x51ba1e… |
| 06-06 04:28:07 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x51ba1e… |
| 06-06 04:28:07 | Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x51ba1e… |
| 06-06 03:53:39 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0xf71a55… |
| 06-06 03:53:39 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xf71a55… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 84¢ | $67 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 15¢ | $9 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | Considerate-Amusement 0x8393…f0ae | No | BUY | 288 | 85¢ | $245 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 25 | 40¢ | $10 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 15¢ | $10 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | (anonymous) 0x232c…e6ff | Yes | BUY | 585 | 17¢ | $100 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $26 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-02 12:07:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 54 | 14¢ | $8 | 0x01d097… |
| 06-02 12:07:28 | Huge-Crook 0xebdc…bf08 | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x01d097… |
| 06-02 12:07:28 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x01d097… |
| 06-01 03:47:59 | Tasty-Crocus 0xfd72…6cc4 | No | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x3ed8d7… |
| 06-01 03:47:59 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x3ed8d7… |
| 05-30 05:42:11 | (anonymous) 0xe257…b81a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd7c007… |
| 05-30 05:42:11 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd7c007… |
| 05-30 05:29:58 | (anonymous) 0x97b0…50c3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe5c2f4… |
| 05-30 05:29:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe5c2f4… |