Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$4,346
Trades
156
Unique wallets
61
Liquidity
$10,511
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-27 07:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+85.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $245
vs crowd: 15% YES on $3.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $23 | $120 | $97 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 22 | $305 | $2.6K | $2.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $48 | $228 | $179 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $137 | $23 | +$114 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $245 | — | +$245 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $28 | $180 | $152 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $3 | $2.3K | $2.2K |
| Median | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Below median | 9 | $21 | $264 | $242 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $34 | — | +$34 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $6 | $121 | $115 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $4 | $67 | $63 |
| unranked | 22 | $173 | $122 | +$51 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresh-Cowboy 0x8365…e9a6 | No | +2,435 | $2,115 | $2,115 | 4 | 07-12 14:58 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +2,018 | $245 | $245 | 30 | 07-26 22:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x232c…e6ff | Yes | +585 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-06 03:12 |
| Fair-Record 0x477a…2d8e | No | +200 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 07-25 22:17 |
| Huge-Crook 0xebdc…bf08 | No | +100 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 06-02 12:07 |
| Colorful-Priest 0x3dd8…8c69 | Yes | +71 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-29 00:33 |
| Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | +51 | $5 | $54 | 9 | 06-17 17:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ba3…8d5f | Yes | +46 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-26 18:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | +43 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-12 14:58 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +37 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-26 16:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | +35 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-21 06:42 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-17 17:27 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 07-08 12:26 |
| Victorious-Restaurant 0xf0ee…4b33 | No | +26 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-26 16:11 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +21 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 07-26 09:02 |
| Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-07 04:05 |
| Ragged-Dose 0xe856…3789 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 19:41 |
| Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-26 18:10 |
| Hateful-Anxiety 0xbdf7…6bf8 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-21 18:26 |
| Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-20 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e24…e20c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-25 22:17 |
| Nice-Choker 0xdc4d…f2c9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 01:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 07:11:42 | (anonymous) 0x1748…a9bb | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x9697d4… |
| 07-27 07:11:42 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9697d4… |
| 07-26 22:57:06 | (anonymous) 0x1748…a9bb | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0xdbe76b… |
| 07-26 22:57:06 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xdbe76b… |
| 07-26 20:26:27 | Golden-Enterprise 0x6377…466d | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x44964d… |
| 07-26 20:26:27 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x44964d… |
| 07-26 18:10:28 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xde46f4… |
| 07-26 18:10:28 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 38 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xde46f4… |
| 07-26 18:10:28 | (anonymous) 0x7ba3…8d5f | Yes | BUY | 46 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xde46f4… |
| 07-26 16:11:22 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 26 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x9ffe78… |
| 07-26 16:11:22 | Victorious-Restaurant 0xf0ee…4b33 | No | BUY | 26 | 90¢ | $23 | 0x9ffe78… |
| 07-26 14:25:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x22e03a… |
| 07-26 14:25:28 | Golden-Enterprise 0x6377…466d | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $8 | 0x22e03a… |
| 07-26 09:02:12 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x628ebf… |
| 07-26 09:02:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x628ebf… |
| 07-26 09:02:12 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 21 | 90¢ | $19 | 0x628ebf… |
| 07-25 22:17:51 | (anonymous) 0x6e24…e20c | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xc4d4be… |
| 07-25 22:17:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc4d4be… |
| 07-25 22:17:45 | Fair-Record 0x477a…2d8e | No | BUY | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0x136c4e… |
| 07-25 22:17:45 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0x136c4e… |
| 07-21 19:34:48 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 47 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x1443b6… |
| 07-21 19:34:48 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 47 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x1443b6… |
| 07-21 06:42:00 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x27e34a… |
| 07-21 06:42:00 | Fantastic-Granny 0xb442…bed7 | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x27e34a… |
| 07-21 01:35:27 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x37889e… |
| 07-21 01:35:27 | Nice-Choker 0xdc4d…f2c9 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x37889e… |
| 07-15 02:06:17 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x16c380… |
| 07-15 02:06:17 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x16c380… |
| 07-14 04:41:25 | (anonymous) 0xe257…b81a | Yes | SELL | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x20505a… |
| 07-14 04:41:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x20505a… |
| 07-14 01:43:41 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x1e2948… |
| 07-14 01:43:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x1e2948… |
| 07-13 08:42:46 | (anonymous) 0x97b0…50c3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x269a2b… |
| 07-13 08:42:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x269a2b… |
| 07-13 07:47:14 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x9b3f9a… |
| 07-13 07:47:14 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x9b3f9a… |
| 07-12 18:07:56 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x1e58fb… |
| 07-12 18:07:56 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x1e58fb… |
| 07-12 14:58:13 | Fresh-Cowboy 0x8365…e9a6 | No | BUY | 43 | 88¢ | $38 | 0x541cf0… |
| 07-12 14:58:13 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 43 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x541cf0… |
| 07-12 13:09:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xb66cc1… |
| 07-12 13:09:49 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xb66cc1… |
| 07-11 05:50:23 | (anonymous) 0xfb11…7901 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x662f59… |
| 07-11 05:50:23 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x662f59… |
| 07-11 05:05:43 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xb6a7bc… |
| 07-11 05:05:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xb6a7bc… |
| 07-09 12:34:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x04c719… |
| 07-09 12:34:25 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x04c719… |
| 07-09 11:03:55 | (anonymous) 0x50f4…04d4 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xfede9a… |
| 07-09 11:03:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xfede9a… |
| 07-08 12:41:08 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xfea884… |
| 07-08 12:41:08 | (anonymous) 0xab78…c611 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xfea884… |
| 07-08 12:26:05 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x54db57… |
| 07-08 12:26:05 | Fresh-Cowboy 0x8365…e9a6 | No | BUY | 204 | 88¢ | $180 | 0x54db57… |
| 07-08 12:26:05 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x54db57… |
| 07-08 12:26:05 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x54db57… |
| 07-08 12:26:05 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 476 | 11¢ | $54 | 0x54db57… |
| 07-08 12:26:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x54db57… |
| 07-08 12:26:05 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x54db57… |
| 07-08 12:26:05 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 42 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x54db57… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | (anonymous) 0x50f4…04d4 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 292 | 13¢ | $38 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 94 | 88¢ | $83 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | Fresh-Cowboy 0x8365…e9a6 | No | BUY | 1,088 | 88¢ | $954 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | (anonymous) 0xab78…c611 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | (anonymous) 0xfb11…7901 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | Icy-Right 0x0f5b…6846 | No | SELL | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-08 12:24:04 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xf0caff… |
| 07-07 10:10:58 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x0df142… |
| 07-07 10:10:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 31 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x0df142… |
| 07-07 10:10:58 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x0df142… |
| 07-03 20:37:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9cd10f… |
| 07-03 20:37:16 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9cd10f… |
| 07-01 00:12:13 | Icy-Right 0x0f5b…6846 | No | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0xb71057… |
| 07-01 00:12:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0xb71057… |
| 06-29 00:33:02 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 21 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x40cd88… |
| 06-29 00:33:02 | Colorful-Priest 0x3dd8…8c69 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 14¢ | $10 | 0x40cd88… |
| 06-29 00:33:02 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x40cd88… |
| 06-26 18:34:11 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x702154… |
| 06-26 18:34:11 | Different-Waffle 0x4110…1586 | No | SELL | 15 | 86¢ | $13 | 0x702154… |
| 06-26 17:29:02 | Hateful-Anxiety 0xbdf7…6bf8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xa9fada… |
| 06-26 17:29:02 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xa9fada… |
| 06-26 17:29:02 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xa9fada… |
| 06-25 12:58:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x2e5898… |
| 06-25 12:58:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x2e5898… |
| 06-21 18:26:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x806d63… |
| 06-21 18:26:28 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x806d63… |
| 06-20 14:18:26 | Gleaming-Manatee 0x9372…5093 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xca1fe7… |
| 06-20 14:18:26 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xca1fe7… |
| 06-20 14:18:26 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0xca1fe7… |