Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$2,345
Trades
75
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$10,511
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-03 20:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+85.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $91
vs crowd: 15% YES on $1.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $18 | $67 | $49 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $124 | $340 | $216 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $18 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $116 | $14 | +$102 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $91 | — | +$91 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $3 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| Below median | 3 | $3 | $255 | $252 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $30 | — | +$30 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $78 | $78 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $4 | $67 | $63 |
| unranked | 13 | $133 | $116 | +$17 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresh-Cowboy 0x8365…e9a6 | No | +1,100 | $943 | $943 | 1 | 06-17 17:27 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +661 | $91 | $91 | 9 | 07-03 20:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x232c…e6ff | Yes | +585 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-06 03:12 |
| Icy-Right 0x0f5b…6846 | No | +100 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 07-01 00:12 |
| Huge-Crook 0xebdc…bf08 | No | +100 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 06-02 12:07 |
| Colorful-Priest 0x3dd8…8c69 | Yes | +71 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-29 00:33 |
| Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | +51 | $5 | $54 | 9 | 06-17 17:27 |
| Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | +50 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 06-29 00:33 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-17 17:27 |
| Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-07 04:05 |
| Ragged-Dose 0xe856…3789 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +8 | $1 | $19 | 12 | 06-29 00:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x97b0…50c3 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 05:29 |
| Hateful-Anxiety 0xbdf7…6bf8 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xe257…b81a | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 05:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-21 18:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-26 17:29 |
| Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-20 14:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 20:37:16 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9cd10f… |
| 07-03 20:37:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9cd10f… |
| 07-01 00:12:13 | Icy-Right 0x0f5b…6846 | No | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0xb71057… |
| 07-01 00:12:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0xb71057… |
| 06-29 00:33:02 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 21 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x40cd88… |
| 06-29 00:33:02 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x40cd88… |
| 06-29 00:33:02 | Colorful-Priest 0x3dd8…8c69 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 14¢ | $10 | 0x40cd88… |
| 06-26 18:34:11 | Different-Waffle 0x4110…1586 | No | SELL | 15 | 86¢ | $13 | 0x702154… |
| 06-26 18:34:11 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x702154… |
| 06-26 17:29:02 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xa9fada… |
| 06-26 17:29:02 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xa9fada… |
| 06-26 17:29:02 | Hateful-Anxiety 0xbdf7…6bf8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xa9fada… |
| 06-25 12:58:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x2e5898… |
| 06-25 12:58:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x2e5898… |
| 06-21 18:26:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x806d63… |
| 06-21 18:26:28 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x806d63… |
| 06-20 14:18:26 | Gleaming-Manatee 0x9372…5093 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xca1fe7… |
| 06-20 14:18:26 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0xca1fe7… |
| 06-20 14:18:26 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xca1fe7… |
| 06-19 00:00:37 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x51371b… |
| 06-19 00:00:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x51371b… |
| 06-17 19:55:34 | Tender-Year 0x0a1c…efaf | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xbf0153… |
| 06-17 19:55:34 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xbf0153… |
| 06-17 17:29:05 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x662af1… |
| 06-17 17:29:05 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x662af1… |
| 06-17 17:28:22 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | No | SELL | 43 | 88¢ | $38 | 0xc7227e… |
| 06-17 17:28:22 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | Yes | SELL | 51 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xc7227e… |
| 06-17 17:28:22 | Tender-Year 0x0a1c…efaf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc7227e… |
| 06-17 17:27:13 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x8c322d… |
| 06-17 17:27:13 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x8c322d… |
| 06-17 17:27:11 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | Yes | SELL | 19 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xd721cb… |
| 06-17 17:27:11 | Considerate-Amusement 0x8393…f0ae | No | SELL | 19 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xd721cb… |
| 06-17 17:27:08 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xf02b78… |
| 06-17 17:27:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 68 | 85¢ | $58 | 0xf02b78… |
| 06-17 17:27:08 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 15¢ | $10 | 0xf02b78… |
| 06-17 17:27:08 | Fresh-Cowboy 0x8365…e9a6 | No | BUY | 1,100 | 86¢ | $943 | 0xf02b78… |
| 06-17 17:27:08 | Considerate-Amusement 0x8393…f0ae | No | SELL | 269 | 86¢ | $231 | 0xf02b78… |
| 06-17 17:27:08 | Gleaming-Manatee 0x9372…5093 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xf02b78… |
| 06-17 17:27:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 29 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xf02b78… |
| 06-17 17:27:08 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0xf02b78… |
| 06-17 17:27:08 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 422 | 14¢ | $59 | 0xf02b78… |
| 06-12 19:41:06 | Ragged-Dose 0xe856…3789 | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x2b504d… |
| 06-12 19:41:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x2b504d… |
| 06-07 19:27:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x9a4adf… |
| 06-07 19:27:28 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x9a4adf… |
| 06-07 04:07:58 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xe83cbe… |
| 06-07 04:07:58 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xe83cbe… |
| 06-07 04:05:18 | Another-Comb 0x4b28…15df | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x5445fd… |
| 06-07 04:05:18 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x5445fd… |
| 06-06 18:03:04 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 25 | 82¢ | $20 | 0x918604… |
| 06-06 18:03:04 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x918604… |
| 06-06 04:28:07 | Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | Yes | SELL | 15 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x51ba1e… |
| 06-06 04:28:07 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x51ba1e… |
| 06-06 04:28:07 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x51ba1e… |
| 06-06 03:53:39 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0xf71a55… |
| 06-06 03:53:39 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0xf71a55… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | (anonymous) 0x232c…e6ff | Yes | BUY | 585 | 17¢ | $100 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 15¢ | $9 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 15¢ | $10 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | Considerate-Amusement 0x8393…f0ae | No | BUY | 288 | 85¢ | $245 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 25 | 40¢ | $10 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $26 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-06 03:12:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 84¢ | $67 | 0xe51eee… |
| 06-02 12:07:28 | Austere-Assist 0x92c7…c136 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x01d097… |
| 06-02 12:07:28 | Huge-Crook 0xebdc…bf08 | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x01d097… |
| 06-02 12:07:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 54 | 14¢ | $8 | 0x01d097… |
| 06-01 03:47:59 | Tasty-Crocus 0xfd72…6cc4 | No | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x3ed8d7… |
| 06-01 03:47:59 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x3ed8d7… |
| 05-30 05:42:11 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd7c007… |
| 05-30 05:42:11 | (anonymous) 0xe257…b81a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd7c007… |
| 05-30 05:29:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe5c2f4… |
| 05-30 05:29:58 | (anonymous) 0x97b0…50c3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe5c2f4… |