Realized P&L
-$1.38K
Unrealized P&L
-$511
Hit rate
62.9%
Resolved
2,684
Trades
20,963
lifetime
Volume
$172.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$2.37K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 08-09 08:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Crypto
46% 72% -$853
Politics
27% 45% -$264
Other
26% 63% -$270
Tech
1% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -764 -$398 34¢ $-256 +$141 05-08 15:52
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No -221 -$193 97¢ $-214 -$20 06-20 08:04
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +221 $175 93¢ $206 +$31 06-17 16:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -200 -$149 80¢ $-160 -$10 06-11 17:45
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -322 -$62 46¢ $-147 -$85 06-19 13:16
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -147 -$126 98¢ $-145 -$19 06-17 18:02
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -202 -$105 66¢ $-135 -$29 04-28 12:59
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +544 $169 21¢ $114 -$55 06-12 17:21
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +1,794 $177 6¢ $112 -$65 07-29 07:15
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +113 $78 95¢ $108 +$30 06-21 00:06
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No +124 $102 79¢ $98 -$4 06-20 16:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +90 $49 90¢ $81 +$32 06-15 18:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +373 $79 20¢ $75 -$4 08-09 08:11
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -79 -$44 78¢ $-61 -$18 05-01 02:56
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +67 $60 88¢ $58 -$2 06-06 17:21
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +52 $39 94¢ $49 +$10 05-21 12:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -1,033 -$207 4¢ $-41 +$165 04-30 03:32
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +15,901 $260 0¢ $40 -$220 07-29 07:12
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? No +43 $37 88¢ $38 +$2 06-17 00:50
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +33 $30 97¢ $32 +$2 05-25 21:51
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +98 $50 32¢ $31 -$19 05-28 06:04
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +44 $25 68¢ $30 +$5 06-17 05:55
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +31 $26 84¢ $26 $0 05-01 10:56
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No -22 -$18 96¢ $-21 -$3 05-16 19:12
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No -20 -$17 96¢ $-19 -$2 06-02 17:51
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +1,049 $184 2¢ $16 -$168 06-17 18:13
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? Yes +220 $158 7¢ $15 -$142 05-19 15:12
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? Yes -327 -$36 4¢ $-13 +$23 06-20 14:19
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +99 $59 12¢ $12 -$46 06-20 15:22
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +202 $50 6¢ $11 -$38 05-21 15:51