Pitiful-Hip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$66

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$24

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 10-30 12:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

78% 88% +$20

Tech

10% 80% +$10

Politics

8% 100% +$12

Sports

4% 100% +$31

Crypto

0% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+20	$14	94¢	$19	+$5	10-24 17:11
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+100	$17	3¢	$3	-$14	08-24 14:27
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+150	$2	1¢	$2	-$1	08-05 11:39
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$3	1¢	$0	-$3	10-26 10:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	5	$336	180	180	+0	No	-$13	07-13 17:09
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-22 15:47
will stripes valuation hit low 165b by august 31 20260730184041315	1	$187	200	0	+200	Yes	+$13	08-22 18:30
Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	4	$157	160	0	+160	open	—	10-30 12:02
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	2	$128	130	0	+130	No	+$2	05-20 09:30
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $140 in May?	2	$126	136	0	+136	No	+$9	05-21 08:10
Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	1	$116	118	0	+118	No	+$2	10-06 06:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	5	$97	101	0	+101	No	+$4	04-30 09:32
untitled market 1 20260629182610084	1	$82	83	0	+83	No	+$0	07-13 18:35
will ewy reach 226 by june 22 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	06-26 08:03
Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	10-13 23:44
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	1	$49	50	0	+50	open	—	10-28 17:42
will the next claude opus model be released by october 31 2026 20260701204710234	1	$42	50	0	+50	Yes	+$8	07-10 16:59
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	2	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-21 08:52
will stripes valuation hit low 150 by july 31 20260629184728774	1	$39	40	0	+40	No	+$1	07-13 18:35
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	1	$39	52	0	+52	open	—	10-02 08:27
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	1	$38	40	0	+40	open	—	10-26 10:00
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by August 31?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	08-29 14:21
trump renames strait of hormuz to strait of trump by june 30	1	$34	35	0	+35	No	+$1	06-11 10:57
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$34	40	0	+40	No	+$6	07-24 08:05
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$33	36	0	+36	open	—	10-19 13:18
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	06-27 08:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	04-22 15:42
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-13 07:33
will krakens valuation hit high 15 by july 31 20260629184742670	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	07-13 18:37
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	07-08 16:08
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1450 by december 31 2026	1	$29	30	0	+30	Yes	+$1	07-09 18:02
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	3	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	04-11 15:11
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	1	$28	30	0	+30	No	+$2	07-28 07:12
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	10-26 10:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 12:02:55	Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x56c973…
10-30 11:42:45	Next DeepSeek Pro released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x77e620…
10-30 11:35:12	Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x9f0da5…
10-28 17:42:52	Will any other model be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xda0acb…
10-28 17:42:32	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6f7eef…
10-26 10:01:20	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x6acfb8…
10-26 10:00:50	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xba7ed2…
10-26 10:00:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x0b42fb…
10-26 10:00:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xad8875…
10-24 17:11:26	Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe1ac19…
10-24 17:11:03	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x1f5222…
10-23 06:45:38	Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc04928…
10-22 09:39:18	Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xafc257…
10-19 13:18:24	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	36	91¢	$33	0x8e4127…
10-19 13:17:33	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xac2958…
10-13 23:44:19	Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x2b5024…
10-13 12:23:52	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x87b0a8…
10-06 06:51:07	Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x345e09…
10-02 08:31:32	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xf96799…
10-02 08:27:32	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	52	74¢	$39	0x52f802…
08-29 14:21:10	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by August 31?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x2d9533…
08-29 13:18:33	will solana dip to 100 august 24 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa32883…
08-29 13:17:52	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by August 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0xc01ac1…
08-27 17:48:54	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by August 31?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe301c0…
08-27 17:48:33	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by August 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x12fee4…
08-27 17:48:22	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $215B by August 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe23322…
08-24 14:27:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x30a282…
08-22 18:30:42	will stripes valuation hit low 165b by august 31 20260730184041315	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$187	0xfa60b3…
08-05 23:53:42	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x667678…
08-05 11:39:50	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$2	0x5777f1…
08-05 11:38:56	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0xf196c5…
08-04 13:29:44	will spcx reach 120 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0xb1fdcd…
08-04 11:56:17	will spcx reach 117 50 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x85a14c…
07-28 07:21:01	will canvas valuation hit high 50 by july 31 20260629184737582	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x790053…
07-28 07:20:49	will canvas valuation hit low 37pt5 by july 31 20260629184737589	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8e49a1…
07-28 07:20:37	will canvas valuation hit low 36 by july 31 20260629184737590	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x12f5f9…
07-28 07:13:06	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x2d7030…
07-28 07:12:54	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x8a5af5…
07-28 07:12:31	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1ead3d…
07-24 08:05:24	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x2e36c0…
07-14 15:31:20	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x8dd6b9…
07-13 18:37:26	will krakens valuation hit high 15 by july 31 20260629184742670	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xa023c2…
07-13 18:36:53	will canvas valuation hit low 39 by july 31 20260629184737588	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xd5fb65…
07-13 18:35:46	untitled market 1 20260629182610084	No	BUY	83	100¢	$82	0xf30aa3…
07-13 18:35:29	will stripes valuation hit low 150 by july 31 20260629184728774	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x3e045f…
07-13 17:11:16	will stripes valuation hit high 200 by july 31 20260629184728767	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x17d766…
07-13 17:10:52	will stripes valuation hit low 160 by july 31 20260629184728773	No	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0x3c7127…
07-13 17:09:35	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	No	SELL	180	90¢	$162	0xdb9ed2…
07-13 12:26:04	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	No	BUY	36	97¢	$34	0x8f6515…
07-13 11:36:41	will ewy reach 190 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x919745…
07-13 10:26:46	will ewy dip to 182 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	1,020	2¢	$20	0xb97430…
07-13 10:26:22	will ewy dip to 183 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	345	1¢	$3	0xf38087…
07-13 07:34:11	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd4b6ee…
07-13 07:33:26	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc9ffa5…
07-10 16:59:01	will the next claude opus model be released by october 31 2026 20260701204710234	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x592652…
07-10 15:57:14	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x98633c…
07-09 18:02:55	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1450 by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xda6dd3…
07-09 11:39:08	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1440 by december 31 2026 20260708011851338	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x38e683…
07-09 11:21:25	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	No	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0xb1dddc…
07-08 16:09:55	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x47182d…
07-08 16:08:26	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x993a7a…
06-27 08:16:58	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x473165…
06-26 12:51:20	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x1191f3…
06-26 08:04:55	will ewy dip to 170 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x096d42…
06-26 08:04:13	will ewy reach 222 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc7274f…
06-26 08:03:34	will ewy reach 226 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x602cb6…
06-11 14:02:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xa000c0…
06-11 13:33:19	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x02bfc2…
06-11 10:57:49	trump renames strait of hormuz to strait of trump by june 30	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xed2854…
06-11 10:55:27	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xd748eb…
06-08 07:44:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xcb544a…
05-21 09:16:43	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa0cf0d…
05-21 08:52:08	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe06608…
05-21 08:41:45	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x98ed39…
05-21 08:10:45	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $140 in May?	No	BUY	106	93¢	$98	0x9056d0…
05-20 14:28:49	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $140 in May?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x57039a…
05-20 09:32:27	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $142 in May?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xe805cb…
05-20 09:30:49	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xff69b4…
05-05 14:19:48	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb51b03…
05-05 14:08:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xa6b21a…
04-30 09:32:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x252e36…
04-23 16:29:38	Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xd83626…
04-23 15:59:44	Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x34e8ce…
04-23 15:54:04	Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd8930c…
04-23 15:50:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x761240…
04-23 13:57:16	Will Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xce66a0…
04-23 08:33:40	Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0x341847…
04-22 17:24:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xb6e058…
04-22 16:32:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xa9cfb2…
04-22 15:49:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xd130c4…
04-22 15:47:50	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x60a3eb…
04-22 15:42:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xeb3755…
04-21 12:28:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xc67862…
04-18 18:43:10	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x06b559…
04-18 16:40:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x6af229…
04-11 15:11:43	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xc54fd8…
04-11 14:40:35	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x3044b4…
04-11 14:03:23	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xa5fe24…
04-11 09:50:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0372b0…