Realized P&L
+$27
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
82.5%
Resolved
521
Trades
556
lifetime
Volume
$2.15K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$6
10 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 10-30 13:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 132 days
Categories
Crypto
99% 79% +$21
Other
1% 33% +$7
Politics
0% 100% +$0
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3 $1 42¢ $1 +$0 07-14 14:04
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +12 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 08-08 13:21
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +9 $1 10¢ $1 $0 08-08 13:35
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +56 $1 1¢ $1 $0 07-07 15:00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 $0 07-14 14:06
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $0 $0 07-07 15:02
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 07-07 14:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +10 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-13 13:52
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +7 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 07-30 13:29
iran leadership change by october 31 Yes +8 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-08 13:39