Fresh-Cowboy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.22K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.1%

Resolved

Trades

166

lifetime

Volume

$108.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$654

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-13 15:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

73% 71% +$2,231

Politics

17% 33% $-1,821

Sports

9% 0% $-9,600

Crypto

1% 100% +$969

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	25	$33.7K	34,999	0	+34,999	No	+$1,315	01-28 15:14
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	45	$25.2K	12,890	12,890	+0	No	+$27	03-12 20:56
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	1	$9.6K	30,000	0	+30,000	Patriots	$-9,600	01-21 22:06
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	11	$8.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$1,100	02-08 01:54
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	21	$8.9K	9,991	0	+9,991	No	+$1,104	01-24 17:52
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$5.5K	5,700	0	+5,700	No	+$200	02-06 13:18
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	3	$2.3K	0	3,000	-3,000	No	$-696	01-03 09:50
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	4	$2.1K	2,435	0	+2,435	open	—	07-12 14:58
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?	3	$1.7K	1,973	0	+1,973	open	—	07-08 12:22
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	12	$1.6K	2,946	0	+2,946	Yes	$-1,551	02-04 03:42
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	5	$1.5K	1,699	0	+1,699	open	—	07-13 15:13
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?	1	$1.0K	1,129	0	+1,129	open	—	07-08 12:23
Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?	2	$974	1,113	0	+1,113	open	—	07-08 12:22
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?	1	$927	1,056	0	+1,056	open	—	07-08 12:21
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	2	$896	1,027	0	+1,027	open	—	07-08 12:23
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	3	$879	0	28,640	-28,640	No	+$879	03-12 23:20
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	4	$801	914	0	+914	open	—	07-12 14:58
another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	16	$640	4,000	0	+4,000	No	$-640	01-02 10:01
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?	1	$510	600	0	+600	open	—	06-17 17:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$469	527	0	+527	Yes	$-469	01-01 22:23
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?	1	$395	441	0	+441	open	—	07-08 12:27
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$90	0	6,383	-6,383	No	+$90	03-12 20:59
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	2	$46	66	0	+66	No	+$20	01-20 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 15:13:46	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0xd54506…
07-12 14:58:13	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	43	88¢	$38	0x541cf0…
07-12 14:58:01	Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	43	88¢	$38	0xefc150…
07-12 14:57:58	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	43	88¢	$38	0x142399…
07-10 02:39:38	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xd6a5ac…
07-10 02:39:35	Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x0b3b5a…
07-08 12:27:40	Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	441	90¢	$395	0xe459d9…
07-08 12:26:05	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	204	88¢	$180	0x54db57…
07-08 12:24:23	Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	459	88¢	$404	0xeddd13…
07-08 12:24:04	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	1,088	88¢	$954	0xf0caff…
07-08 12:23:49	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	599	88¢	$528	0x03e9fe…
07-08 12:23:31	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	814	88¢	$716	0x7e1e5e…
07-08 12:23:10	Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	1,129	90¢	$1,011	0x3ec53d…
07-08 12:22:46	Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x6a52a0…
07-08 12:22:43	Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x885cb0…
07-08 12:22:43	Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	1,933	88¢	$1,692	0x24f2c4…
07-08 12:22:22	Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x758b53…
07-08 12:22:20	Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	1,063	87¢	$930	0x614192…
07-08 12:21:59	Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	1,056	88¢	$927	0x57a180…
07-08 12:21:37	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	1,006	87¢	$876	0x7fcb34…
07-08 12:21:20	Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	403	87¢	$351	0x6664ac…
06-17 17:27:08	Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	1,100	86¢	$943	0xf02b78…
06-17 17:25:59	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	213	85¢	$181	0xabf50a…
06-17 17:25:38	Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	600	85¢	$510	0xe631a5…
03-12 23:20:57	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	Yes	SELL	21,785	3¢	$654	0x939dd3…
03-12 22:02:05	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xc3a335…
03-12 20:59:07	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6,383	1¢	$90	0x6bb48e…
03-12 20:58:23	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	Yes	SELL	6,849	3¢	$225	0xca4a2a…
03-12 20:56:23	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	12,890	98¢	$12,594	0xcc86b7…
03-11 16:23:41	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	9,163	98¢	$8,934	0x9ffc68…
03-11 15:57:03	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcd07cd…
03-11 15:49:01	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xa96659…
03-11 15:47:55	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$149	0x61c5d8…
03-11 15:34:45	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x2d6206…
03-11 15:34:45	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0x168b23…
03-11 15:33:15	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0xec2e5f…
03-11 15:31:35	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$46	0x126613…
03-11 15:30:27	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xad8bde…
03-11 15:27:51	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xee14b2…
03-11 15:17:39	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x9571ae…
03-11 15:16:15	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xc2d4a7…
03-11 15:06:19	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x25deb4…
03-11 15:01:21	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	148	98¢	$145	0x968f38…
03-11 14:42:29	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xab7170…
03-11 14:33:17	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x1050bf…
03-11 14:31:15	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x8b6af5…
03-11 14:29:55	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x27d1cd…
03-11 14:26:43	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$39	0x8659f7…
03-11 14:25:05	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xddb520…
03-11 14:03:03	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x27932b…
03-11 14:01:37	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	241	98¢	$235	0xeabf30…
03-11 13:54:39	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x06d8ef…
03-11 13:50:51	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	217	98¢	$211	0xddbb92…
03-11 13:50:09	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$390	0xf31764…
03-11 13:41:07	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xf015c4…
03-11 13:38:23	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x8b273d…
03-11 13:34:19	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf33135…
03-11 13:27:29	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xf1b49d…
03-11 13:23:49	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x7e1cb3…
03-11 13:21:59	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	230	98¢	$224	0x27d0cf…
03-11 13:11:15	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	207	98¢	$202	0x6f0a2b…
03-11 13:08:59	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	179	98¢	$174	0x0a5f4e…
03-11 12:55:41	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x7acce1…
03-11 12:54:55	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xf4c10c…
03-11 12:54:55	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$58	0x679cef…
03-11 12:50:55	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	195	97¢	$190	0x01041f…
03-11 12:46:47	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$58	0xc90c7d…
03-11 12:42:33	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	163	98¢	$159	0x35ff7b…
03-11 12:31:07	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xc901dc…
03-11 12:28:23	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x70af89…
03-11 12:24:49	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x14fee0…
03-11 12:18:11	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	145	98¢	$142	0x320639…
03-11 12:12:19	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	255	98¢	$248	0xf8e186…
02-08 01:54:49	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	518	88¢	$456	0xff8dca…
02-08 00:20:03	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xfd8417…
02-08 00:18:41	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x02f1d6…
02-08 00:17:43	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3,001	88¢	$2,641	0x2f5ac7…
02-07 23:38:41	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	201	88¢	$177	0x8ef160…
02-07 23:38:37	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	833	88¢	$733	0x206254…
02-07 23:38:27	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	147	88¢	$129	0xeb5832…
02-07 23:33:07	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	207	88¢	$182	0xdd99c1…
02-07 23:32:13	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x152852…
02-07 22:35:23	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	4,958	90¢	$4,463	0x46f843…
02-07 19:07:33	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	42	90¢	$37	0x7d920f…
02-06 13:18:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	5,700	96¢	$5,500	0x0c7609…
02-04 03:42:08	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	No	BUY	223	53¢	$118	0xc510d1…
02-04 00:00:54	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	No	BUY	430	53¢	$228	0xd6e35b…
02-03 22:26:04	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	No	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0xb6bebb…
02-03 22:25:58	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5d10c6…
02-03 18:53:42	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	No	BUY	372	53¢	$197	0x0e9d40…
02-03 16:47:32	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x55dca8…
02-03 16:39:56	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x130494…
02-03 16:39:50	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	No	BUY	841	53¢	$445	0xb58cef…
02-01 21:52:30	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	No	BUY	285	52¢	$148	0x19f2a8…
01-31 14:16:58	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	No	BUY	408	52¢	$212	0xc57dea…
01-31 14:15:56	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	No	BUY	202	52¢	$105	0x23cc05…
01-30 19:33:24	will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	No	BUY	51	52¢	$27	0x240312…
01-28 15:14:07	ilhan omar town hall attack staged	No	BUY	16,339	96¢	$15,718	0x17b1c3…
01-28 14:46:03	ilhan omar town hall attack staged	No	BUY	1,053	96¢	$1,013	0x8c492e…
01-28 14:44:03	ilhan omar town hall attack staged	No	BUY	79	96¢	$76	0x0dfe1c…