Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$3,041
$33 in 24h
Trades
155
Unique wallets
44
Liquidity
$11,204
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-21
last 08-08 19:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $49 | $217 | $168 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $174 | $1.2K | $1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $30 | $163 | $133 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $6 | — | +$6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $41 | $149 | $107 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $4 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| Median | 4 | $10 | $84 | $75 |
| Below median | 4 | $26 | $46 | $20 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $22 | $112 | $90 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $112 | — | +$112 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $19 | $134 | $115 |
| unranked | 10 | $25 | $17 | +$8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresh-Cowboy 0x8365…e9a6 | No | +1,113 | $974 | $974 | 2 | 07-08 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +470 | $20 | $23 | 10 | 07-16 00:26 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +98 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-08 18:29 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +76 | $-2 | $8 | 5 | 08-04 13:53 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +75 | $71 | $180 | 2 | 07-03 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb11…7901 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-08 12:22 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +49 | $12 | $25 | 2 | 07-02 03:38 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +35 | $0 | $0 | 7 | 07-25 19:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | +32 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-07 23:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 08-07 23:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 6 | 06-30 05:37 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +21 | $8 | $13 | 6 | 08-08 02:22 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +18 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-08 19:46 |
| Scarce-Cormorant 0x9f16…7013 | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 08-08 02:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-07 20:46 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-30 05:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 19:46:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x55697a… |
| 08-08 19:46:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x55697a… |
| 08-08 02:22:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7fc30b… |
| 08-08 02:22:43 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | Yes | SELL | 39 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7fc30b… |
| 08-08 02:22:43 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7fc30b… |
| 08-08 02:21:12 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | Yes | SELL | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x424411… |
| 08-08 02:21:12 | Scarce-Cormorant 0x9f16…7013 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x424411… |
| 08-07 23:16:09 | (anonymous) 0x0159…1bac | Yes | BUY | 32 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xd41ccc… |
| 08-07 23:16:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0xd41ccc… |
| 08-04 13:53:18 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 182 | 96¢ | $174 | 0x12d2ac… |
| 08-04 13:53:18 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 54 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x12d2ac… |
| 08-04 13:53:18 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x12d2ac… |
| 08-04 13:53:18 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 103 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x12d2ac… |
| 07-29 13:02:11 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 66 | 98¢ | $65 | 0xfdea40… |
| 07-29 13:02:11 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | SELL | 66 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xfdea40… |
| 07-25 19:01:34 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d5b2a… |
| 07-25 19:01:34 | (anonymous) 0x50f4…04d4 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9d5b2a… |
| 07-25 19:01:34 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x9d5b2a… |
| 07-18 17:26:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe16004… |
| 07-18 17:26:55 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe16004… |
| 07-18 10:42:03 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdadaa8… |
| 07-18 10:42:03 | Scarce-Cormorant 0x9f16…7013 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdadaa8… |
| 07-16 00:26:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x56e593… |
| 07-16 00:26:46 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x56e593… |
| 07-14 21:08:41 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfea437… |
| 07-14 21:08:41 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xfea437… |
| 07-14 21:08:41 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xfea437… |
| 07-14 04:40:55 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x38e1f0… |
| 07-14 04:40:55 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x38e1f0… |
| 07-14 04:40:46 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf43843… |
| 07-14 04:40:46 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf43843… |
| 07-14 04:40:46 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf43843… |
| 07-12 11:18:35 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x874a13… |
| 07-12 11:18:35 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x874a13… |
| 07-11 19:38:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 63 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x313dff… |
| 07-11 19:38:01 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 63 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x313dff… |
| 07-11 05:40:28 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0a98a8… |
| 07-11 05:40:28 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0a98a8… |
| 07-11 05:40:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0a98a8… |
| 07-09 17:32:55 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x6b55e3… |
| 07-09 17:32:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 75 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x6b55e3… |
| 07-08 18:29:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2ef96f… |
| 07-08 18:29:07 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x7f1176… |
| 07-08 18:29:07 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2ef96f… |
| 07-08 18:29:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 48 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x7f1176… |
| 07-08 18:29:07 | Scarce-Cormorant 0x9f16…7013 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2ef96f… |
| 07-08 18:29:05 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x35becb… |
| 07-08 18:29:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x35becb… |
| 07-08 18:29:05 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x67a0c9… |
| 07-08 18:29:05 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x67a0c9… |
| 07-08 17:13:10 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x55092c… |
| 07-08 17:13:10 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 496 | 8¢ | $40 | 0x55092c… |
| 07-08 17:13:10 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x55092c… |
| 07-08 17:13:10 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x55092c… |
| 07-08 17:13:10 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 63 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x55092c… |
| 07-08 17:13:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 118 | 7¢ | $8 | 0x55092c… |
| 07-08 17:13:10 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 8¢ | $10 | 0x55092c… |
| 07-08 12:25:01 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 61 | 10¢ | $6 | 0xd358f1… |
| 07-08 12:25:01 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xd358f1… |
| 07-08 12:25:01 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xd358f1… |
| 07-08 12:25:01 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xd358f1… |
| 07-08 12:22:40 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x45e511… |
| 07-08 12:22:40 | (anonymous) 0x50f4…04d4 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x45e511… |
| 07-08 12:22:22 | Fresh-Cowboy 0x8365…e9a6 | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x758b53… |
| 07-08 12:22:22 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x758b53… |
| 07-08 12:22:20 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x614192… |
| 07-08 12:22:20 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 139 | 12¢ | $17 | 0x614192… |
| 07-08 12:22:20 | (anonymous) 0xfb11…7901 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x614192… |
| 07-08 12:22:20 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x614192… |
| 07-08 12:22:20 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 13¢ | $10 | 0x614192… |
| 07-08 12:22:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x614192… |
| 07-08 12:22:20 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x614192… |
| 07-08 12:22:20 | Fresh-Cowboy 0x8365…e9a6 | No | BUY | 1,063 | 87¢ | $930 | 0x614192… |
| 07-08 12:22:20 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 27 | 87¢ | $23 | 0x614192… |
| 07-08 12:22:20 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x614192… |
| 07-08 12:22:20 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x614192… |
| 07-08 12:22:20 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x614192… |
| 07-07 20:46:34 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xfe3f10… |
| 07-07 20:46:34 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…67c1 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xfe3f10… |
| 07-07 00:17:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 13 | 86¢ | $11 | 0xfd16b8… |
| 07-07 00:17:32 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 13 | 86¢ | $11 | 0xfd16b8… |
| 07-06 06:33:20 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x8c2f43… |
| 07-06 06:33:20 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x8c2f43… |
| 07-06 06:33:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 17 | 86¢ | $14 | 0x8c2f43… |
| 07-06 06:33:20 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 67 | 86¢ | $57 | 0x8c2f43… |
| 07-06 06:33:20 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 40 | 86¢ | $34 | 0x8c2f43… |
| 07-06 03:56:35 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x4e85e1… |
| 07-06 03:56:35 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 67 | 90¢ | $60 | 0x4e85e1… |
| 07-06 03:56:35 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 117 | 90¢ | $105 | 0x4e85e1… |
| 07-03 22:02:59 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0xe039ef… |
| 07-03 22:02:59 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xe039ef… |
| 07-03 22:02:59 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | No | SELL | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0xe039ef… |
| 07-03 19:38:26 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | No | BUY | 14 | 89¢ | $13 | 0xc0b706… |
| 07-03 19:38:26 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xc0b706… |
| 07-03 19:38:26 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 62 | 89¢ | $55 | 0xc0b706… |
| 07-03 19:38:26 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xc0b706… |
| 07-02 21:00:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x385a7d… |
| 07-02 21:00:32 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x385a7d… |
| 07-02 13:22:49 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xf465fe… |
| 07-02 13:22:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xf465fe… |