Realized P&L
+$1.10K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.21K
Hit rate
99.5%
Resolved
54
Trades
1,607
lifetime
Volume
$350.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$218
Open exposure
$55.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-29 00:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Politics
54% 96% +$178
Other
45% 100% +$882
Sports
1% 100% +$32
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +10,602 $10,136 97¢ $10.3K +$148 10-27 11:18
Human moon landing in 2026? No -10,145 -$9,841 99¢ $-10039 -$198 06-24 20:18
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +3,785 $3,329 91¢ $3.4K +$116 10-26 07:43
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes -3,100 -$3,449 99¢ $-3078 +$370 10-16 20:36
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +2,938 $2,691 98¢ $2.9K +$190 10-28 19:11
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,851 $3,116 72¢ $2.8K -$323 09-16 16:21
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +2,935 $2,586 91¢ $2.7K +$85 09-20 15:16
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +3,637 $2,908 72¢ $2.6K -$271 08-27 02:15
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -3,445 -$2,011 62¢ $-2119 -$108 10-29 00:35
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +2,044 $1,752 86¢ $1.8K +$16 10-18 20:23
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +1,974 $1,656 82¢ $1.6K -$27 10-16 07:56
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,682 $1,459 86¢ $1.5K -$4 10-18 20:18
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +1,105 $1,067 97¢ $1.1K +$5 10-27 15:41
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -3,100 -$1,782 32¢ $-1007 +$774 06-27 13:16
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes — -1,011 -$961 96¢ $-973 -$13 09-21 06:33
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +1,340 $994 72¢ $958 -$35 10-21 16:14
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,016 $866 91¢ $924 +$58 09-20 07:44
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +988 $861 92¢ $904 +$43 10-23 17:04
Clavicular sentenced to prison? No +800 $744 94¢ $756 +$12 09-22 02:37
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -2,226 -$1,224 32¢ $-723 +$501 05-16 17:09
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +650 $552 92¢ $595 +$42 10-12 17:24
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +700 $486 72¢ $501 +$14 10-19 16:46
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +507 $494 98¢ $494 +$0 10-25 14:23
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +400 $384 97¢ $387 +$3 10-24 19:03
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +613 $494 57¢ $353 -$141 09-29 19:25
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +313 $239 93¢ $292 +$54 05-23 00:00
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No -278 -$264 97¢ $-270 -$6 08-06 08:35
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +456 $365 58¢ $267 -$98 09-29 19:55
GTA VI released by October 31? No +170 $166 100¢ $170 +$4 09-16 01:43
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +101 $95 96¢ $97 +$2 09-18 22:08