Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,662
Trades
89
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$12,750
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-23
last 07-26 02:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-13.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $694
vs crowd: 13% YES on $1.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $38 | $733 | $695 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $80 | $96 | $16 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $24 | $163 | $139 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $18 | $37 | $18 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $694 | $694 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $21 | $48 | $27 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $6 | $29 | $23 |
| Median | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Below median | 9 | $44 | $113 | $69 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $19 | $43 | $23 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $20 | $10 | +$10 |
| unranked | 9 | $36 | $92 | $56 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | No | +771 | $694 | $694 | 1 | 07-22 04:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xb728…fc92 | Yes | +313 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-25 19:34 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +227 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 07-22 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +102 | $10 | $23 | 11 | 07-25 20:00 |
| Careful-Sorrow 0x443e…8055 | Yes | +50 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-22 04:35 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +46 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 07-26 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-22 04:35 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 07-25 19:34 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-25 19:34 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-25 19:40 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-25 19:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-25 20:00 |
| Nice-Choker 0xdc4d…f2c9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 01:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-25 02:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 02:00:21 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbd871c… |
| 07-26 02:00:21 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbd871c… |
| 07-25 20:00:18 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | No | SELL | 34 | 89¢ | $30 | 0x3e0a90… |
| 07-25 20:00:18 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3e0a90… |
| 07-25 20:00:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 24 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x3e0a90… |
| 07-25 20:00:18 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x3e0a90… |
| 07-25 19:50:15 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | No | BUY | 34 | 90¢ | $31 | 0x9936fd… |
| 07-25 19:50:15 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x9936fd… |
| 07-25 19:50:15 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x9936fd… |
| 07-25 19:40:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x656c92… |
| 07-25 19:40:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x656c92… |
| 07-25 19:40:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 93¢ | $47 | 0x656c92… |
| 07-25 19:40:07 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x656c92… |
| 07-25 19:37:04 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 45 | 94¢ | $42 | 0xebef25… |
| 07-25 19:37:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 45 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xebef25… |
| 07-25 19:36:13 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x169d30… |
| 07-25 19:36:13 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x169d30… |
| 07-25 19:36:12 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $47 | 0xaae93a… |
| 07-25 19:36:12 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 45 | 95¢ | $43 | 0xaae93a… |
| 07-25 19:36:12 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xaae93a… |
| 07-25 19:34:18 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x326b11… |
| 07-25 19:34:18 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x326b11… |
| 07-25 19:34:18 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x326b11… |
| 07-25 19:34:07 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf02da7… |
| 07-25 19:34:07 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xf02da7… |
| 07-25 19:34:07 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 73 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xf02da7… |
| 07-25 19:34:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xf02da7… |
| 07-25 19:34:07 | (anonymous) 0xb728…fc92 | Yes | BUY | 313 | 4¢ | $12 | 0xf02da7… |
| 07-25 19:34:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf02da7… |
| 07-25 19:34:07 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf02da7… |
| 07-25 19:34:07 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf02da7… |
| 07-25 10:53:46 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe8bd81… |
| 07-25 10:53:46 | (anonymous) 0xffe5…388c | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xe8bd81… |
| 07-25 02:42:40 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbf9c19… |
| 07-25 02:42:40 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbf9c19… |
| 07-25 02:42:40 | (anonymous) 0xffe5…388c | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xbf9c19… |
| 07-24 14:12:40 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdc8d71… |
| 07-24 14:12:40 | Discrete-Effacement 0x2d0c…8e50 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xdc8d71… |
| 07-24 10:12:06 | Discrete-Effacement 0x2d0c…8e50 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x51da22… |
| 07-24 10:12:06 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x51da22… |
| 07-22 22:39:49 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x16fd7f… |
| 07-22 22:39:49 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x16fd7f… |
| 07-22 22:39:49 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x16fd7f… |
| 07-22 19:00:13 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x17099c… |
| 07-22 19:00:13 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x17099c… |
| 07-22 11:01:07 | Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x0737df… |
| 07-22 11:01:07 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x0737df… |
| 07-22 11:01:07 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0737df… |
| 07-22 11:00:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x28f86d… |
| 07-22 11:00:48 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x28f86d… |
| 07-22 11:00:48 | Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x28f86d… |
| 07-22 10:44:55 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xa0e53b… |
| 07-22 10:44:55 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xa0e53b… |
| 07-22 09:34:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x0b90b4… |
| 07-22 09:34:40 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 193 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x0b90b4… |
| 07-22 09:34:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 28 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x0b90b4… |
| 07-22 09:34:40 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | SELL | 121 | 95¢ | $115 | 0x0b90b4… |
| 07-22 05:52:37 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x169bba… |
| 07-22 05:52:37 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x169bba… |
| 07-22 04:39:19 | (anonymous) 0x39a2…96e2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3caa9a… |
| 07-22 04:39:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3caa9a… |
| 07-22 04:35:40 | Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xcac195… |
| 07-22 04:35:40 | Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xcac195… |
| 07-22 04:35:40 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xcac195… |
| 07-22 04:35:40 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xcac195… |
| 07-22 04:35:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 200 | 8¢ | $16 | 0xcac195… |
| 07-22 04:35:40 | Careful-Sorrow 0x443e…8055 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xcac195… |
| 07-22 04:35:37 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 159 | 9¢ | $14 | 0xba2160… |
| 07-22 04:35:37 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 159 | 9¢ | $14 | 0xba2160… |
| 07-22 04:35:37 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x118624… |
| 07-22 04:35:37 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x118624… |
| 07-22 04:35:37 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x118624… |
| 07-22 04:35:37 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x118624… |
| 07-22 04:35:37 | (anonymous) 0x39a2…96e2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x118624… |
| 07-22 04:35:37 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 180 | 9¢ | $16 | 0x118624… |
| 07-22 04:35:33 | Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | No | BUY | 771 | 90¢ | $694 | 0xbf258b… |
| 07-22 04:35:33 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 172 | 10¢ | $17 | 0xbf258b… |
| 07-22 04:35:33 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 370 | 10¢ | $37 | 0xbf258b… |
| 07-22 04:35:33 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 49 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xbf258b… |
| 07-22 04:35:33 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 180 | 10¢ | $18 | 0xbf258b… |
| 07-21 01:38:12 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x1d3ae7… |
| 07-21 01:38:12 | Nice-Choker 0xdc4d…f2c9 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x1d3ae7… |
| 07-07 18:25:50 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x75d36d… |
| 07-07 18:25:50 | Envious-Shred 0x47f9…ebb8 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x75d36d… |
| 06-23 16:32:34 | (anonymous) 0x39a2…96e2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe1e780… |
| 06-23 16:32:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe1e780… |
| 06-23 15:30:35 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xdb37d8… |
| 06-23 15:30:35 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xdb37d8… |
| 06-23 15:30:35 | (anonymous) 0x39a2…96e2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xdb37d8… |