Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,878
Trades
169
Unique wallets
51
Liquidity
$12,750
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-23
last 08-14 14:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-15.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $694
vs crowd: 16% YES on $1.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $40 | $733 | $693 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $96 | $151 | $55 |
| 🐟 Fish | 19 | $32 | $160 | $128 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $30 | $30 | $1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $694 | $694 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $33 | $48 | $15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | $29 | $26 |
| Median | 4 | $6 | $12 | $6 |
| Below median | 15 | $47 | $137 | $90 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $21 | $50 | $28 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $22 | $10 | +$12 |
| unranked | 15 | $54 | $95 | $41 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | No | +771 | $694 | $694 | 1 | 07-22 04:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xb728…fc92 | Yes | +313 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-25 19:34 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +250 | $22 | $22 | 4 | 08-12 15:11 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +100 | $8 | $8 | 6 | 08-12 15:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +96 | $8 | $8 | 20 | 08-12 15:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b1c…1ec7 | Yes | +58 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-28 23:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +43 | $7 | $27 | 13 | 07-28 23:08 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +43 | $1 | $4 | 10 | 07-26 23:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-22 04:35 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 07-25 19:34 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-12 15:11 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-25 19:34 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-14 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-25 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 08-12 23:17 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +3 | $3 | $16 | 2 | 07-27 10:50 |
| Nice-Choker 0xdc4d…f2c9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 01:38 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +1 | $0 | $10 | 2 | 07-26 15:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 14:49:45 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xf73b07… |
| 08-14 14:49:45 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | SELL | 23 | 94¢ | $22 | 0xf73b07… |
| 08-14 14:49:45 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf73b07… |
| 08-12 23:17:12 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x296a12… |
| 08-12 23:17:12 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x296a12… |
| 08-12 23:17:12 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x296a12… |
| 08-12 15:17:33 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd52d16… |
| 08-12 15:17:33 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd52d16… |
| 08-12 15:17:33 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd52d16… |
| 08-12 15:17:28 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x913e52… |
| 08-12 15:17:28 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | SELL | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x913e52… |
| 08-12 15:17:28 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x913e52… |
| 08-12 15:17:28 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x913e52… |
| 08-12 15:17:24 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x9cd846… |
| 08-12 15:17:24 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x9cd846… |
| 08-12 15:17:24 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9cd846… |
| 08-12 15:12:30 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x7c75fc… |
| 08-12 15:12:30 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x7c75fc… |
| 08-12 15:12:28 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe9ffbf… |
| 08-12 15:12:28 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe9ffbf… |
| 08-12 15:12:25 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x432c9c… |
| 08-12 15:12:25 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x432c9c… |
| 08-12 15:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xa876dd… |
| 08-12 15:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xa876dd… |
| 08-12 15:11:43 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x271619… |
| 08-12 15:11:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x271619… |
| 08-12 15:11:43 | Cuddly-Seizure 0x4cf2…e31c | Yes | SELL | 243 | 8¢ | $19 | 0x271619… |
| 08-12 15:11:43 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x271619… |
| 08-12 15:11:43 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x271619… |
| 08-12 15:11:43 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x271619… |
| 08-12 15:11:43 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x271619… |
| 08-12 15:11:43 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x271619… |
| 08-12 15:11:43 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x271619… |
| 08-12 15:11:43 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x271619… |
| 08-09 20:56:24 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x6114e1… |
| 08-09 20:56:24 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x6114e1… |
| 08-09 20:56:22 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x9e668b… |
| 08-09 20:56:22 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x9e668b… |
| 08-09 20:56:19 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x92d182… |
| 08-09 20:56:19 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x92d182… |
| 08-09 20:56:18 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x903e9a… |
| 08-09 20:56:18 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x903e9a… |
| 08-09 20:56:16 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x6af8c2… |
| 08-09 20:56:16 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x6af8c2… |
| 08-09 20:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x984385… |
| 08-09 20:55:58 | Careful-Sorrow 0x443e…8055 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x984385… |
| 08-09 20:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x984385… |
| 08-07 10:35:09 | Careful-Sorrow 0x443e…8055 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc39fec… |
| 08-07 10:35:09 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc39fec… |
| 07-28 23:08:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 58 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x92e5c3… |
| 07-28 23:08:07 | (anonymous) 0x8b1c…1ec7 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x92e5c3… |
| 07-27 18:08:07 | (anonymous) 0x2f3c…827c | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x4d344d… |
| 07-27 18:08:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x4d344d… |
| 07-27 18:08:07 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x4d344d… |
| 07-27 10:50:39 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xe2d5de… |
| 07-27 10:50:39 | (anonymous) 0x2f3c…827c | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xe2d5de… |
| 07-27 07:36:33 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x2e5252… |
| 07-27 07:36:33 | Jumpy-Towel 0x25fd…5bf2 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x2e5252… |
| 07-27 04:34:04 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x7ad271… |
| 07-27 04:34:04 | (anonymous) 0x2122…7a21 | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x7ad271… |
| 07-27 02:06:18 | Wrong-Claw 0x3df7…608f | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x67001e… |
| 07-27 02:06:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x67001e… |
| 07-26 23:36:07 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xad2127… |
| 07-26 23:36:07 | Jumpy-Towel 0x25fd…5bf2 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xad2127… |
| 07-26 23:28:45 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc0dbcb… |
| 07-26 23:28:45 | (anonymous) 0x2122…7a21 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xc0dbcb… |
| 07-26 20:03:16 | Wrong-Claw 0x3df7…608f | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x1cea4b… |
| 07-26 20:03:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1cea4b… |
| 07-26 19:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x0951…36e9 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x04da56… |
| 07-26 19:28:19 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x04da56… |
| 07-26 17:56:43 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xde2095… |
| 07-26 17:56:43 | Daring-Eyeliner 0xf540…9794 | No | SELL | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xde2095… |
| 07-26 15:25:04 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb79ec0… |
| 07-26 15:25:04 | (anonymous) 0x0951…36e9 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb79ec0… |
| 07-26 11:59:13 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xbf32e9… |
| 07-26 11:59:13 | (anonymous) 0xa6ff…01e4 | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xbf32e9… |
| 07-26 11:55:28 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf6f6b2… |
| 07-26 11:55:28 | Daring-Eyeliner 0xf540…9794 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xf6f6b2… |
| 07-26 06:47:10 | (anonymous) 0xa6ff…01e4 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xb6a0b5… |
| 07-26 06:47:10 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb6a0b5… |
| 07-26 02:00:21 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbd871c… |
| 07-26 02:00:21 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbd871c… |
| 07-25 20:00:18 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x3e0a90… |
| 07-25 20:00:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 24 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x3e0a90… |
| 07-25 20:00:18 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | No | SELL | 34 | 89¢ | $30 | 0x3e0a90… |
| 07-25 20:00:18 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3e0a90… |
| 07-25 19:50:15 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | No | BUY | 34 | 90¢ | $31 | 0x9936fd… |
| 07-25 19:50:15 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x9936fd… |
| 07-25 19:50:15 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x9936fd… |
| 07-25 19:40:07 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x656c92… |
| 07-25 19:40:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x656c92… |
| 07-25 19:40:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x656c92… |
| 07-25 19:40:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 93¢ | $47 | 0x656c92… |
| 07-25 19:37:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 45 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xebef25… |
| 07-25 19:37:04 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 45 | 94¢ | $42 | 0xebef25… |
| 07-25 19:36:13 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x169d30… |
| 07-25 19:36:13 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x169d30… |
| 07-25 19:36:12 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $47 | 0xaae93a… |
| 07-25 19:36:12 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xaae93a… |
| 07-25 19:36:12 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 45 | 95¢ | $43 | 0xaae93a… |