Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.60K

Unrealized P&L

-$113

Hit rate

29.6%

Resolved

Trades

402

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$86

22 positions

First seen

2026-06-19

last 10-27 18:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

68% 38% -$1,132

Politics

14% 17% -$513

Tech

10% 0% -$656

Sports

8% 38% -$297

Crypto

0% 33% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (22) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	+56	$14	83¢	$46	+$33	10-27 18:15
Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	+26	$13	98¢	$25	+$13	08-11 11:52
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+188	$30	2¢	$4	-$25	07-18 20:27
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+4	$24	55¢	$2	-$21	10-27 18:18
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	+2	-$15	93¢	$1	+$16	08-18 11:17
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	07-18 20:24
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+720	$4	0¢	$1	-$3	07-25 19:09
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	+1	-$20	95¢	$1	+$21	09-19 21:07
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	+1	-$1	96¢	$1	+$2	07-24 14:13
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	No	+1	-$3	99¢	$1	+$4	08-14 14:27
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	+1	$0	97¢	$1	+$1	07-06 02:53
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	+1	$9	99¢	$1	-$8	08-14 13:58
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	Yes	+34	$0	1¢	$0	$0	07-31 02:17
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	Yes	+1	-$10	18¢	$0	+$10	08-05 11:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+0	$33	28¢	$0	-$33	08-13 01:30
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	+0	$89	90¢	$0	-$88	07-16 00:52
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	+1	$2	3¢	$0	-$2	08-18 11:20
Will Michael Harris II win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Yes	+1	$0	1¢	$0	$0	10-27 18:10
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	+0	$6	3¢	$0	-$6	08-14 04:25
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1	-$1	1¢	$0	+$1	08-05 11:41
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	+2	$26	0¢	$0	-$26	07-07 23:13
Will Payton Tolle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	+1	-$1	0¢	$0	+$1	07-04 22:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	4	$1.6K	859	858	+1	open	—	09-19 21:00
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	14	$1.1K	2,398	431	+1,967	Yes	-$582	08-26 14:22
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	19	$1.1K	910	909	+1	No	+$205	07-10 18:12
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?	5	$1.0K	652	651	+1	open	—	08-14 13:58
fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 btts	2	$629	1,861	0	+1,861	No	-$629	06-26 02:18
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	8	$574	406	350	+56	open	—	10-27 18:15
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	7	$535	635	635	+0	open	—	07-25 14:40
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	8	$495	376	376	+0	open	—	08-14 04:28
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	7	$442	2,235	165	+2,070	No	-$378	06-23 22:35
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	4	$437	253	252	+1	open	—	09-19 21:07
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	12	$434	715	711	+4	open	—	10-27 18:18
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	7	$419	269	268	+1	open	—	08-14 14:27
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	3	$380	780	780	+0	No	-$9	08-02 22:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$361	547	547	+0	open	—	08-13 01:30
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	3	$336	1,187	0	+1,187	No	-$336	08-05 02:22
will switzerland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120740	1	$333	1,010	0	+1,010	Yes	-$333	06-30 02:21
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	3	$327	191	190	+1	No	-$5	07-17 12:55
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	3	$284	988	0	+988	No	-$284	06-28 21:46
SHEIN IPO before 2027?	7	$273	344	270	+74	Yes	-$205	09-01 01:25
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	5	$270	989	491	+498	Yes	-$67	08-21 13:05
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	10	$207	1,030	1,028	+2	open	—	07-07 23:13
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	1	$206	361	0	+361	Yes	+$155	06-23 21:28
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	6	$202	180	180	+0	open	—	07-16 00:52
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	2	$200	178	151	+27	No	+$20	08-21 13:03
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	17	$198	485	484	+1	Yes	-$14	07-04 15:54
Databricks IPO before 2027?	10	$193	125	99	+26	open	—	08-11 11:52
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	4	$183	105	105	+0	Yes	+$11	07-02 13:32
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	6	$167	99	99	+0	No	+$7	06-27 14:57
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	3	$162	262	261	+1	open	—	08-05 11:40
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	4	$135	96	96	+0	No	+$10	07-02 19:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:18:45	Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	404	27¢	$108	0x1d400f…
10-27 18:16:27	Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?	No	SELL	69	41¢	$29	0x98e9be…
10-27 18:15:26	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	SELL	75	77¢	$57	0xafdfc7…
10-27 18:13:57	Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0xbb3285…
10-27 18:13:24	Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	28	7¢	$2	0x0b6102…
10-27 18:13:03	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xd5fee9…
10-27 18:12:38	Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	41	5¢	$2	0xaf0eac…
10-27 18:11:53	Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	126	61¢	$77	0xfd019c…
10-27 18:10:27	Will Michael Harris II win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0x376b2e…
10-27 18:06:20	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	SELL	200	79¢	$159	0xaa16ab…
10-27 18:04:56	Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0xade382…
10-07 02:56:26	Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	147	15¢	$22	0xda508e…
10-07 02:53:27	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	169	7¢	$11	0x4d8043…
10-07 02:52:26	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	176	4¢	$7	0xf5974d…
10-07 02:49:18	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	No	SELL	70	86¢	$60	0xcef426…
10-07 02:48:26	Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xb77235…
10-07 02:40:48	Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0xb4cf0f…
09-19 21:19:03	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	66	7¢	$5	0x3f8fd3…
09-19 21:11:20	Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x6164b8…
09-19 21:07:54	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	52	93¢	$48	0x914200…
09-19 21:04:53	Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	84	22¢	$18	0x321fb0…
09-19 21:00:45	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	455	95¢	$434	0x5b5204…
09-01 01:25:48	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x99c7b2…
08-26 14:33:57	Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0x00403f…
08-26 14:22:06	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	76¢	$20	0x3e871e…
08-21 13:11:39	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	648	2¢	$15	0xb5c447…
08-21 13:05:48	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	No	SELL	289	20¢	$58	0x043b9b…
08-21 13:04:51	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	No	SELL	38	21¢	$8	0x1041af…
08-21 13:03:03	Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	SELL	151	64¢	$97	0x57dc3d…
08-20 12:37:42	Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	148	18¢	$27	0x85569b…
08-19 12:37:00	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	BUY	86	19¢	$16	0xabaeeb…
08-19 12:35:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	205	2¢	$5	0x0abafd…
08-19 12:34:52	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	310	18¢	$55	0x785f79…
08-19 12:31:27	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	55	3¢	$2	0xe573f1…
08-18 11:24:46	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0x2b05c1…
08-18 11:20:52	Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?	No	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0x83798a…
08-18 11:19:43	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	No	SELL	82	21¢	$18	0x4472b2…
08-18 11:19:12	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	67¢	$9	0x97b1eb…
08-18 11:17:28	Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	134	32¢	$43	0x20dadf…
08-18 11:16:48	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	No	SELL	82	22¢	$18	0xf89675…
08-18 11:16:09	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	37	67¢	$25	0xb0d3a9…
08-14 14:27:25	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	No	SELL	126	78¢	$99	0xc3abe9…
08-14 13:58:10	Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	SELL	171	75¢	$128	0xb64d57…
08-14 13:53:46	Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	26	93¢	$24	0x60a6b8…
08-14 13:53:15	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x614f1f…
08-14 13:12:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	714	2¢	$16	0x04c625…
08-14 13:10:10	Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	178	58¢	$103	0x25d645…
08-14 04:49:43	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0x235e4a…
08-14 04:40:27	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0xb9e2ab…
08-14 04:31:48	Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	SELL	414	79¢	$327	0xb64e1c…
08-14 04:28:03	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	234	79¢	$185	0x065df8…
08-14 04:25:21	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	SELL	353	4¢	$15	0xcd8a65…
08-14 04:23:27	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0x2f1011…
08-14 02:19:39	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x24d42f…
08-14 02:19:21	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	56	60¢	$34	0x9929b0…
08-13 01:30:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	547	30¢	$164	0x766f81…
08-13 01:20:25	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?	No	BUY	989	17¢	$168	0x07d273…
08-12 00:18:07	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0xfbecac…
08-11 11:52:00	Databricks IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	69	91¢	$63	0x03142d…
08-11 08:41:22	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xef467e…
08-10 19:46:21	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	77	8¢	$6	0x6cb49d…
08-10 18:23:16	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x6f5c47…
08-10 16:55:34	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0xf8d683…
08-10 13:24:15	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x7e515d…
08-07 04:09:25	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	494	36¢	$178	0xd8e071…
08-06 10:57:32	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	362	1¢	$4	0x87466e…
08-05 12:15:57	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0xfd36ce…
08-05 12:10:17	Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	34	7¢	$2	0x99b80a…
08-05 12:10:02	Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x23c0a4…
08-05 12:09:48	Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x5dbf67…
08-05 11:58:00	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	830	32¢	$269	0xdb19a6…
08-05 11:55:29	Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	284	10¢	$28	0x7411a2…
08-05 11:50:23	Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	331	10¢	$33	0x081011…
08-05 11:41:06	Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	103	2¢	$2	0x3166b6…
08-05 11:40:35	will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	Yes	SELL	261	33¢	$86	0xd64563…
08-05 11:39:33	Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0xbd018d…
08-05 02:22:56	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	451	3¢	$16	0x3075a2…
08-05 02:22:18	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	389	25¢	$97	0xd5377c…
08-05 02:16:03	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	684	32¢	$219	0xf269d8…
08-05 02:12:08	Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x3c36d1…
08-05 02:11:47	Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	61	7¢	$4	0xa50ac5…
08-05 01:57:38	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0x8ad1cd…
08-04 12:10:44	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x278a59…
08-04 12:10:17	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	244	34¢	$83	0xb35a39…
08-04 01:24:38	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1,030	2¢	$21	0xea3029…
08-04 01:21:15	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x9237ad…
08-03 22:17:24	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	Yes	BUY	21	12¢	$3	0x460740…
08-03 12:39:24	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	241	7¢	$18	0xddbe83…
08-03 12:19:53	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	113	17¢	$20	0x7804f7…
08-03 12:09:08	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	220	7¢	$15	0xb6ce44…
08-03 11:15:41	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	785	37¢	$292	0x3c223c…
08-02 22:14:15	Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	112	8¢	$9	0xafdb04…
08-02 22:06:27	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	SELL	284	20¢	$57	0x36e19d…
08-02 22:05:54	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x369266…
07-31 11:03:03	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0x883e84…
07-31 03:24:20	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	177	5¢	$9	0xc552aa…
07-31 03:23:54	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0xe64676…
07-31 03:21:15	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	221	2¢	$4	0xcc2c02…
07-31 03:20:26	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	Yes	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0xf717ec…
07-31 02:17:59	StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xc609e7…