Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$3,035
Trades
149
Unique wallets
53
Liquidity
$10,786
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-11 21:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+78.7¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $94
vs crowd: 21% YES on $2.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $102 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $246 | $334 | $88 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $140 | $123 | +$17 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $24 | $33 | $9 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $94 | — | +$94 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $146 | — | +$146 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $12 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
| Median | 2 | — | $45 | $45 |
| Below median | 5 | $124 | $108 | +$16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $23 | $104 | $81 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $8 | $180 | $172 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $66 | $183 | $116 |
| unranked | 19 | $39 | $105 | $66 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | +1,271 | $1,083 | $1,083 | 2 | 07-04 21:12 |
| Wiry-Encounter 0x4808…f10f | Yes | +806 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-07 16:57 |
| Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | Yes | +418 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 06-14 16:11 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +312 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 07-04 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +190 | $24 | $34 | 9 | 07-05 19:01 |
| Jealous-Claw 0xc35f…f0e6 | Yes | +167 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-07 14:27 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +85 | $75 | $75 | 2 | 07-05 23:30 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +75 | $13 | $31 | 3 | 07-05 23:28 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +65 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 06-24 16:51 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +65 | $57 | $159 | 8 | 07-04 21:11 |
| 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | +60 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-19 21:35 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +59 | $52 | $52 | 2 | 07-05 23:28 |
| Colorful-Priest 0x3dd8…8c69 | Yes | +59 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-29 00:33 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-07 14:27 |
| Careful-Sorrow 0x443e…8055 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-05 06:58 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-07 14:27 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | +42 | $6 | $7 | 2 | 07-10 13:01 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-31 04:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x15c8…62ae | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-04 21:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-05 19:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-20 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7e4…9c07 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 13:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf84…57f9 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 06-22 23:46 |
| Hateful-Anxiety 0xbdf7…6bf8 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 21:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-21 18:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 21:35:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 48 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xb7ce9c… |
| 07-11 21:35:49 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | SELL | 48 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xb7ce9c… |
| 07-10 13:01:31 | (anonymous) 0xc7e4…9c07 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x368f1d… |
| 07-10 13:01:31 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x368f1d… |
| 07-10 12:01:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xda3835… |
| 07-10 12:01:01 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xda3835… |
| 07-09 14:09:29 | (anonymous) 0xde94…6d0f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x70f6b1… |
| 07-09 14:09:29 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x70f6b1… |
| 07-06 23:31:58 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xa6e8fb… |
| 07-06 23:31:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xa6e8fb… |
| 07-05 23:30:25 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 45 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x16aacd… |
| 07-05 23:30:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 45 | 88¢ | $40 | 0x16aacd… |
| 07-05 23:28:44 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x6a17e9… |
| 07-05 23:28:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x6a17e9… |
| 07-05 23:28:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 40 | 88¢ | $36 | 0x6a17e9… |
| 07-05 23:28:17 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x068bd0… |
| 07-05 23:28:17 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 106 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x068bd0… |
| 07-05 23:28:17 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 106 | 12¢ | $13 | 0xd362b8… |
| 07-05 23:28:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 35 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xd362b8… |
| 07-05 23:28:17 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 51 | 89¢ | $45 | 0x068bd0… |
| 07-05 23:28:17 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0xd362b8… |
| 07-05 23:28:17 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xd362b8… |
| 07-05 19:01:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x0dee45… |
| 07-05 19:01:20 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x0dee45… |
| 07-05 19:01:20 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x0dee45… |
| 07-05 19:01:17 | (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x7791e8… |
| 07-05 19:01:17 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x7791e8… |
| 07-05 19:01:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 64 | 90¢ | $58 | 0x7791e8… |
| 07-05 19:01:17 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 24 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7791e8… |
| 07-05 19:01:17 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 11¢ | $32 | 0x7791e8… |
| 07-05 06:58:16 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0xaf8432… |
| 07-05 06:58:16 | (anonymous) 0xde94…6d0f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xaf8432… |
| 07-05 06:58:13 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x6604b4… |
| 07-05 06:58:13 | Careful-Sorrow 0x443e…8055 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x6604b4… |
| 07-04 21:17:17 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x9ffe3b… |
| 07-04 21:17:17 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x9ffe3b… |
| 07-04 21:12:47 | (anonymous) 0x15c8…62ae | Yes | BUY | 14 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x21f2e6… |
| 07-04 21:12:47 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | BUY | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0x21f2e6… |
| 07-04 21:12:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 4 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xd9dc97… |
| 07-04 21:12:13 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xd9dc97… |
| 07-04 21:12:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 46 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xd9dc97… |
| 07-04 21:11:43 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 15¢ | $45 | 0xbfc7c7… |
| 07-04 21:11:43 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xbfc7c7… |
| 07-04 21:11:43 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xbfc7c7… |
| 07-04 21:11:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 15¢ | $22 | 0xbfc7c7… |
| 07-04 21:11:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 312 | 14¢ | $44 | 0xbfc7c7… |
| 07-04 21:11:43 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | BUY | 1,257 | 85¢ | $1,071 | 0xbfc7c7… |
| 07-04 21:11:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xbfc7c7… |
| 07-04 21:11:43 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xbfc7c7… |
| 07-04 21:11:43 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xbfc7c7… |
| 07-04 21:11:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 60 | 85¢ | $51 | 0xbfc7c7… |
| 07-04 21:11:43 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xbfc7c7… |
| 07-04 21:11:43 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xbfc7c7… |
| 07-04 21:11:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0xbfc7c7… |
| 07-02 11:38:43 | (anonymous) 0x3710…2b8d | Yes | SELL | 3 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x749fa3… |
| 07-02 11:38:43 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 3 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x749fa3… |
| 06-29 00:33:17 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 33 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x964e8b… |
| 06-29 00:33:17 | Colorful-Priest 0x3dd8…8c69 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 17¢ | $10 | 0x964e8b… |
| 06-29 00:33:17 | (anonymous) 0x3710…2b8d | Yes | SELL | 26 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x964e8b… |
| 06-24 16:54:07 | (anonymous) 0x6481…4c2d | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xbbad8c… |
| 06-24 16:54:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xbbad8c… |
| 06-24 16:51:08 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x5e8e05… |
| 06-24 16:51:08 | (anonymous) 0x6481…4c2d | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x5e8e05… |
| 06-24 00:58:35 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xde02ca… |
| 06-24 00:58:35 | (anonymous) 0x5b31…0ada | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xde02ca… |
| 06-23 23:43:26 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x8ddd04… |
| 06-23 23:43:26 | (anonymous) 0x5b31…0ada | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x8ddd04… |
| 06-22 23:46:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x56c136… |
| 06-22 23:46:22 | (anonymous) 0xbf84…57f9 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x56c136… |
| 06-22 23:45:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xec345e… |
| 06-22 23:45:16 | (anonymous) 0xbf84…57f9 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xec345e… |
| 06-22 18:43:41 | Swift-Divan 0x998a…d949 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 15¢ | $6 | 0x0955a9… |
| 06-22 18:43:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 42 | 15¢ | $6 | 0x0955a9… |
| 06-21 18:26:41 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xd9ba67… |
| 06-21 18:26:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd9ba67… |
| 06-20 18:38:32 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd01812… |
| 06-20 18:38:32 | (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0xd01812… |
| 06-19 21:35:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x2c3c67… |
| 06-19 21:35:49 | 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 0x6d65…3781 | No | BUY | 60 | 85¢ | $51 | 0x2c3c67… |
| 06-19 21:35:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 15¢ | $6 | 0x2c3c67… |
| 06-17 21:07:19 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xbfe120… |
| 06-17 21:07:19 | Hateful-Anxiety 0xbdf7…6bf8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xbfe120… |
| 06-17 05:47:23 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 106 | 83¢ | $88 | 0x126ee0… |
| 06-17 05:47:23 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x126ee0… |
| 06-16 03:32:13 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xcfae23… |
| 06-16 03:32:13 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 25 | 84¢ | $21 | 0xcfae23… |
| 06-16 03:32:13 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xcfae23… |
| 06-14 16:11:45 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x24fc0d… |
| 06-14 16:11:45 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x24fc0d… |
| 06-14 16:11:18 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 131 | 85¢ | $111 | 0x867b43… |
| 06-14 16:11:18 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 106 | 16¢ | $17 | 0x867b43… |
| 06-14 16:11:18 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x867b43… |
| 06-14 16:11:18 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | BUY | 23 | 84¢ | $19 | 0x867b43… |
| 06-14 16:11:18 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 18 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x867b43… |
| 06-14 16:11:18 | (anonymous) 0x4aba…83da | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x867b43… |
| 06-14 16:11:18 | Golden-Unemployment 0x7365…64da | Yes | BUY | 418 | 15¢ | $63 | 0x867b43… |
| 06-10 23:29:24 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xddebd5… |
| 06-10 23:29:24 | (anonymous) 0xda24…a8b3 | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xddebd5… |
| 06-08 02:38:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xa2f77d… |
| 06-08 02:38:37 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xa2f77d… |