Realized P&L
-$972
Unrealized P&L
-$73
Hit rate
64.1%
Resolved
141
Trades
2,077
lifetime
Volume
$117.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$1.43K
28 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 10-27 15:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
70% 55% -$1,012
Politics
27% 52% -$1,519
Tech
3% 50% +$1,552
Sports
0% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? No +840 $666 84¢ $704 +$38 10-17 12:37
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? No +448 $301 62¢ $280 -$21 10-02 06:40
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +141 $123 78¢ $109 -$13 08-22 07:47
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +503 $94 16¢ $81 -$13 08-21 19:12
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +120 $96 57¢ $69 -$27 08-11 18:13
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes +1,116 $146 6¢ $62 -$85 09-11 02:13
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +144 $31 28¢ $40 +$9 08-01 08:52
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +36 $28 98¢ $35 +$7 09-20 04:38
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +504 $70 6¢ $33 -$37 10-13 01:38
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +14 $10 57¢ $8 -$2 08-09 15:14
Celonis IPO before 2027? No +2 -$12 92¢ $1 +$13 10-13 02:10
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +25 $1 4¢ $1 $0 08-17 05:16
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +1 -$1 97¢ $1 +$2 09-07 01:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1 -$36 99¢ $1 +$37 08-13 15:08
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No +1 $0 90¢ $1 +$1 10-22 10:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1 $0 99¢ $1 +$1 08-10 16:35
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1 $22 89¢ $1 -$22 09-05 09:45
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1 -$27 82¢ $1 +$27 08-11 18:01
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat? No +1 -$73 97¢ $1 +$74 10-04 22:41
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No +0 -$1 97¢ $0 +$2 09-15 00:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +1 -$5 34¢ $0 +$5 10-17 13:37
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1 $0 18¢ $0 $0 08-02 15:09
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +1 -$3 16¢ $0 +$3 07-25 12:06
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $38 80¢ $0 -$38 09-23 11:14
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 08-05 15:57
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +0 $29 70¢ $0 -$29 07-18 13:16
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +0 $3 4¢ $0 -$3 09-04 17:20
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 22¢ $0 +$0 08-12 02:45