Realized P&L (7d)
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$176
Hit rate
21.2%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
9
2,082 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.02K
$117.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$1.51K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 11-01 14:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
70% 55% -$1,012
Politics
27% 52% -$1,519
Tech
3% 50% +$1,552
Sports
0% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? No +840 $666 84¢ $708 +$42 10-17 12:37
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? No +448 $301 54¢ $240 -$61 10-02 06:40
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes +384 $293 62¢ $236 -$57 09-03 22:12
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +120 $96 64¢ $77 -$18 08-11 18:13
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +503 $94 15¢ $73 -$21 08-21 19:12
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes +1,116 $146 6¢ $62 -$85 09-11 02:13
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +36 $28 98¢ $35 +$7 09-20 04:38
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +144 $31 24¢ $34 +$3 08-01 08:52
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +504 $70 6¢ $28 -$42 10-13 01:38
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +14 $10 50¢ $7 -$3 08-09 15:14
Celonis IPO before 2027? No +2 -$12 92¢ $1 +$13 10-13 02:10
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +1 -$1 97¢ $1 +$2 09-07 01:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1 -$36 99¢ $1 +$37 08-13 15:08
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +25 $1 3¢ $1 $0 08-17 05:16
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No +1 $0 92¢ $1 +$1 10-22 10:08
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1 $22 93¢ $1 -$21 09-05 09:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1 $0 98¢ $1 +$1 08-10 16:35
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1 -$27 82¢ $1 +$27 08-11 18:01
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat? No +1 -$73 96¢ $1 +$74 10-04 22:41
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +24 $1 2¢ $1 -$1 08-04 17:38
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +1 -$1 70¢ $0 +$1 10-13 02:07
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No +0 -$1 97¢ $0 +$2 09-15 00:11
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? No +0 $0 84¢ $0 $0 08-19 14:38
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +1 -$5 36¢ $0 +$5 10-17 13:37
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $14 72¢ $0 -$14 11-01 02:06
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1 $0 18¢ $0 $0 08-02 15:09
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +1 -$3 12¢ $0 +$3 07-25 12:06
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $38 74¢ $0 -$38 09-23 11:14
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +0 $29 72¢ $0 -$29 07-18 13:16
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 08-05 15:57