Realized P&L (30d)
+$692
Unrealized P&L
-$765
Hit rate
83.7%
Resolved (30d)
77
Trades (30d)
36
2,082 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.84K
$117.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$1.61K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 11-01 14:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
70% 64% -$299
Politics
27% 52% -$1,555
Tech
3% 50% +$1,552
Sports
0% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? No +840 $666 84¢ $710 +$44 10-17 12:37
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? Yes +368 $255 99¢ $363 +$108 08-22 04:44
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +144 $31 100¢ $144 +$113 08-01 08:52
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +120 $96 99¢ $119 +$24 08-11 18:13
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? No +111 $85 94¢ $104 +$19 08-05 20:45
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes +1,116 $146 4¢ $43 -$103 09-11 02:13
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +36 $28 98¢ $35 +$7 09-20 04:38
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +504 $70 6¢ $28 -$42 10-13 01:38
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat? No +19 $12 97¢ $18 +$6 08-19 14:48
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes +151 $30 11¢ $17 -$13 10-27 09:37
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat? Yes +8 $7 97¢ $8 +$1 08-19 15:33
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? No +374 $268 2¢ $6 -$263 07-30 02:38
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? No +448 $301 1¢ $5 -$295 10-02 06:40
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat? Yes +446 $332 0¢ $2 -$331 07-24 13:57
Celonis IPO before 2027? No +2 -$12 92¢ $1 +$13 10-13 02:10
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? No +1 $14 99¢ $1 -$12 07-25 00:08
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat? Yes +96 $64 1¢ $1 -$63 08-09 01:08
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +1 -$1 96¢ $1 +$2 09-07 01:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1 -$36 100¢ $1 +$37 08-13 15:08
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No +1 $0 92¢ $1 +$1 10-22 10:08
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +1 $22 94¢ $1 -$21 09-05 09:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1 $0 98¢ $1 +$1 08-10 16:35
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No +0 -$1 97¢ $0 +$2 09-15 00:11
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? Yes +0 -$16 95¢ $0 +$16 08-20 16:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +1 -$5 48¢ $0 +$5 10-17 13:37
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? No +0 -$18 97¢ $0 +$19 09-04 17:23
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1 $0 17¢ $0 $0 08-02 15:09
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +0 $29 94¢ $0 -$29 07-18 13:16
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 08-05 15:57
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +2 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 09-15 00:09