Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027?
open
Total volume
$671
Trades
38
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$832
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-07
last 07-27 21:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $4 | $278 | $274 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $5 | $50 | $45 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $15 | $48 | $33 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $18 | $79 | $61 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $2 | $50 | $48 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 3 | $4 | $199 | $195 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $48 | $48 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $3 | $79 | $76 |
| unranked | 5 | $28 | $79 | $51 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xe5f5…9c9c | Yes | +508 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-27 21:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +204 | $198 | $198 | 3 | 07-27 21:10 |
| Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | +88 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 07-05 00:37 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +49 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-22 20:52 |
| Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | +32 | $24 | $38 | 2 | 07-13 18:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +31 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-27 07:54 |
| Plump-Pruner-Scallops 0x9cb4…2914 | Yes | +30 | $9 | $11 | 2 | 07-18 10:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +12 | $4 | $5 | 2 | 07-13 18:09 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 09:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 21:10:34 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x438a18… |
| 07-27 21:10:34 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x438a18… |
| 07-27 21:10:13 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0xcdc35a… |
| 07-27 21:10:13 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0xcdc35a… |
| 07-27 21:06:00 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x802036… |
| 07-27 21:06:00 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x802036… |
| 07-27 21:05:54 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x9006a8… |
| 07-27 21:05:54 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x9006a8… |
| 07-27 21:05:54 | (anonymous) 0xe5f5…9c9c | Yes | BUY | 508 | 3¢ | $15 | 0x9006a8… |
| 07-27 21:05:54 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 191 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x9006a8… |
| 07-27 21:05:54 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 104 | 97¢ | $101 | 0x9006a8… |
| 07-27 21:05:54 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x9006a8… |
| 07-27 21:05:54 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x9006a8… |
| 07-27 21:05:54 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x9006a8… |
| 07-27 07:54:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1c9e30… |
| 07-27 07:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1c9e30… |
| 07-22 20:52:25 | (anonymous) 0x8cf9…2de3 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x113f9a… |
| 07-22 20:52:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x113f9a… |
| 07-21 22:03:46 | (anonymous) 0x8cf9…2de3 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xf807be… |
| 07-21 22:03:46 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf807be… |
| 07-21 22:03:46 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf807be… |
| 07-21 22:01:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x452603… |
| 07-21 22:01:42 | (anonymous) 0x8cf9…2de3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x452603… |
| 07-18 10:18:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x45c5f8… |
| 07-18 10:18:45 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x45c5f8… |
| 07-18 10:18:45 | Plump-Pruner-Scallops 0x9cb4…2914 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x45c5f8… |
| 07-13 18:09:34 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xc88eef… |
| 07-13 18:09:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc88eef… |
| 07-05 07:47:08 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x58fc5d… |
| 07-05 07:47:08 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | No | BUY | 40 | 77¢ | $31 | 0x58fc5d… |
| 07-05 07:47:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x58fc5d… |
| 07-05 00:37:04 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 88 | 90¢ | $79 | 0xe15a4e… |
| 07-05 00:37:04 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe15a4e… |
| 07-05 00:37:04 | Plump-Pruner-Scallops 0x9cb4…2914 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xe15a4e… |
| 06-07 09:19:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xc4af04… |
| 06-07 09:19:55 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xc4af04… |
| 06-07 09:18:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x72be9b… |
| 06-07 09:18:39 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x72be9b… |