Double-Valley 0xec829e…a26eaa
whale bot hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$5.76K
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
54.4%
Resolved
11,411
Trades
229,815
lifetime
Volume
$479.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$460
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-16 03:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 243 days
Categories
Other
55% 28% +$316
Politics
34% 36% +$3,965
Crypto
6% 34% +$888
Tech
4% 40% +$605
Sports
1% 32% +$25
Pop-Culture
0% 28% -$36
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No -142 -$33 66¢ $-93 -$60 05-01 18:38
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes -100 -$52 60¢ $-60 -$8 06-08 14:21
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -100 -$6 43¢ $-43 -$37 06-26 09:39
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +129 $13 30¢ $39 +$26 06-20 01:26
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -125 -$32 27¢ $-33 -$1 06-26 20:08
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -118 -$15 21¢ $-25 -$10 05-13 16:42
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +100 $5 16¢ $16 +$12 06-17 06:46
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -100 $1 15¢ $-15 -$16 06-27 11:24
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -100 -$58 13¢ $-13 +$45 06-30 03:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +100 $9 11¢ $11 +$2 06-25 20:55
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -100 -$20 10¢ $-10 +$10 07-20 07:54
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? Yes +92 $3 10¢ $9 +$6 05-22 19:23
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? Yes +157 $8 5¢ $8 $0 06-15 18:14
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes -110 -$3 7¢ $-7 -$5 06-19 22:25
Will US annex any territory in 2026? Yes +123 $5 6¢ $7 +$3 06-26 15:22
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? Yes +100 $8 7¢ $7 -$1 06-12 09:29
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +156 $12 4¢ $7 -$5 06-11 05:12
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -179 $0 4¢ $-6 -$6 06-30 09:08
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes -179 -$16 3¢ $-5 +$11 05-19 00:36
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? Yes +101 $8 4¢ $5 -$4 06-09 15:55
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? Yes +155 $5 3¢ $4 $0 06-16 10:44
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -87 -$3 5¢ $-4 -$1 07-01 11:17
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$14 4¢ $-4 +$9 07-02 06:33
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes +100 $10 4¢ $4 -$6 05-13 14:52
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +130 $11 3¢ $4 -$7 05-25 04:55
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? Yes +100 $3 4¢ $4 +$1 06-02 20:52
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$8 4¢ $-4 +$4 07-23 01:40
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes -76 -$9 5¢ $-4 +$6 06-27 11:38
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$1 4¢ $-4 -$3 06-20 17:25
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? No -100 -$8 4¢ $-3 +$4 10-16 03:03