Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
open
Total volume
$5,057
$359 in 24h
Trades
257
Unique wallets
95
Liquidity
$15,777
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-04 16:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+92.3¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $4
vs crowd: 8% YES on $1.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $5 | $354 | $349 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $71 | $201 | $130 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $29 | $97 | $67 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 52 | $42 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $12 | $29 | $17 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $31 | $75 | $45 |
| Median | 14 | $11 | $203 | $193 |
| Below median | 14 | $9 | $52 | $43 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $18 | $1 | +$17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $26 | $142 | $115 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $288 | $288 |
| unranked | 43 | $38 | $984 | $946 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +759 | $28 | $28 | 4 | 07-26 19:49 |
| Fluffy-Hose 0xa270…ecad | Yes | +396 | $18 | $18 | 23 | 07-31 02:02 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +173 | $168 | $220 | 2 | 08-04 14:34 |
| Needy-Constellation 0x5226…b4f5 | Yes | +152 | $4 | $17 | 9 | 08-04 16:10 |
| Positive-Negligee 0xb93e…195e | Yes | +102 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-03 10:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x288d…7aae | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 3 | 07-07 10:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x2062…058b | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 2 | 07-12 14:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xdfae…8a75 | Yes | +83 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-28 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x3761…a786 | No | +58 | $56 | $56 | 6 | 07-31 17:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | +46 | $43 | $43 | 8 | 07-31 17:20 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +39 | $1 | $8 | 7 | 08-03 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 16:40 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +20 | $2 | $6 | 5 | 07-24 10:08 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 07-04 23:00 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +18 | $17 | $171 | 6 | 08-04 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xe593…5b06 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-28 06:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-04 03:32 |
| OxygenDrop 0x72b2…5548 | Yes | +9 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 08-04 03:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d39…13d2 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-04 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xdddc…cfaa | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-28 09:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xd217…d221 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-27 08:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b3f…fc6c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 21:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:10:08 | (anonymous) 0x8eb6…cd7e | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xd66466… |
| 08-04 16:10:08 | Needy-Constellation 0x5226…b4f5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd66466… |
| 08-04 15:48:05 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x8e3b39… |
| 08-04 15:48:05 | (anonymous) 0x7d39…13d2 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x8e3b39… |
| 08-04 14:37:32 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | SELL | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x02cf51… |
| 08-04 14:37:32 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 35 | 97¢ | $34 | 0x02cf51… |
| 08-04 14:34:53 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 111 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x7dfdf3… |
| 08-04 14:34:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0x7dfdf3… |
| 08-04 14:34:53 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | BUY | 35 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7dfdf3… |
| 08-04 14:34:53 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0x7dfdf3… |
| 08-04 03:32:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xfd8064… |
| 08-04 03:32:27 | OxygenDrop 0x72b2…5548 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xfd8064… |
| 08-04 03:32:27 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfd8064… |
| 08-03 14:49:41 | Needy-Constellation 0x5226…b4f5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3cb9a6… |
| 08-03 14:49:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3cb9a6… |
| 08-03 14:49:41 | (anonymous) 0xc2ed…2cfa | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x3cb9a6… |
| 08-03 10:38:20 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 82 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xbe84ff… |
| 08-03 10:38:20 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xbe84ff… |
| 08-03 10:38:20 | Positive-Negligee 0xb93e…195e | Yes | BUY | 102 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xbe84ff… |
| 08-02 15:23:23 | Bulky-Input 0x79f7…d24a | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xa84577… |
| 08-02 15:23:23 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa84577… |
| 07-31 17:20:50 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x68486e… |
| 07-31 17:20:50 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x68486e… |
| 07-31 17:20:36 | (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x0267df… |
| 07-31 17:20:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 29 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x0267df… |
| 07-31 17:20:36 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0x0267df… |
| 07-31 17:20:30 | (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x9683d6… |
| 07-31 17:20:30 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x9683d6… |
| 07-31 17:20:17 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x01f911… |
| 07-31 17:20:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x01f911… |
| 07-31 17:20:08 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xb046b7… |
| 07-31 17:20:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xb046b7… |
| 07-31 17:10:51 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x9585e5… |
| 07-31 17:10:51 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x9585e5… |
| 07-31 17:10:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 29 | 96¢ | $28 | 0x31130a… |
| 07-31 17:10:45 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | No | SELL | 29 | 96¢ | $28 | 0x31130a… |
| 07-31 17:10:32 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x73d7c3… |
| 07-31 17:10:32 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x73d7c3… |
| 07-31 17:10:32 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x73d7c3… |
| 07-31 17:10:32 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x73d7c3… |
| 07-31 17:10:32 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x73d7c3… |
| 07-31 17:10:32 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 200 | 97¢ | $194 | 0x73d7c3… |
| 07-31 17:10:32 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 118 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x73d7c3… |
| 07-31 17:10:32 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x73d7c3… |
| 07-31 17:10:32 | Wordy-Temptress 0x94d6…9ab8 | No | SELL | 580 | 97¢ | $561 | 0x73d7c3… |
| 07-31 17:10:32 | (anonymous) 0x3761…a786 | No | BUY | 53 | 97¢ | $51 | 0x73d7c3… |
| 07-31 17:10:32 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | No | BUY | 29 | 97¢ | $28 | 0x73d7c3… |
| 07-31 17:10:32 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x73d7c3… |
| 07-31 02:13:11 | Likely-Mama 0x2f0d…7ca3 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x9eeb79… |
| 07-31 02:13:11 | (anonymous) 0x3761…a786 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x9eeb79… |
| 07-31 02:13:08 | Deserted-Alley 0xbf6f…be8e | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x3c8e36… |
| 07-31 02:13:08 | (anonymous) 0x3761…a786 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x3c8e36… |
| 07-31 02:13:06 | Tidy-Leverage 0x6b92…d7b9 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x396f3f… |
| 07-31 02:13:06 | (anonymous) 0x3761…a786 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xab6ab0… |
| 07-31 02:13:06 | Studious-Whelp 0x4956…2a4d | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xab6ab0… |
| 07-31 02:13:06 | (anonymous) 0x3761…a786 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x396f3f… |
| 07-31 02:13:05 | (anonymous) 0x3761…a786 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x0b4142… |
| 07-31 02:13:05 | Polished-Scheme 0xb62e…f989 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x0b4142… |
| 07-31 02:02:24 | Fluffy-Hose 0xa270…ecad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4d6e05… |
| 07-31 02:02:24 | Likely-Mama 0x2f0d…7ca3 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x4d6e05… |
| 07-31 02:02:23 | Deserted-Alley 0xbf6f…be8e | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xca4dd7… |
| 07-31 02:02:23 | Fluffy-Hose 0xa270…ecad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xca4dd7… |
| 07-31 02:02:21 | Studious-Whelp 0x4956…2a4d | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xbcbb3a… |
| 07-31 02:02:21 | Fluffy-Hose 0xa270…ecad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbcbb3a… |
| 07-31 02:02:20 | Fluffy-Hose 0xa270…ecad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xee1a0f… |
| 07-31 02:02:20 | Tidy-Leverage 0x6b92…d7b9 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xee1a0f… |
| 07-31 02:02:18 | Polished-Scheme 0xb62e…f989 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe8677e… |
| 07-31 02:02:18 | Fluffy-Hose 0xa270…ecad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe8677e… |
| 07-28 18:50:38 | Unaware-Jackal 0x8964…0bec | No | SELL | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x504760… |
| 07-28 18:50:38 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x504760… |
| 07-28 15:50:47 | Unaware-Jackal 0x8964…0bec | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x3f808c… |
| 07-28 15:50:47 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3f808c… |
| 07-28 10:43:41 | Unaware-Jackal 0x8964…0bec | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x3b344c… |
| 07-28 10:43:41 | (anonymous) 0x8eb6…cd7e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x3b344c… |
| 07-28 09:41:05 | Fluffy-Hose 0xa270…ecad | Yes | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb634e1… |
| 07-28 09:41:05 | (anonymous) 0xdddc…cfaa | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xb634e1… |
| 07-28 06:58:54 | (anonymous) 0xe593…5b06 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x26a28c… |
| 07-28 06:58:54 | Fluffy-Hose 0xa270…ecad | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x26a28c… |
| 07-28 03:50:37 | (anonymous) 0x72a3…98af | No | SELL | 29 | 96¢ | $28 | 0xb80e5d… |
| 07-28 03:50:37 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb80e5d… |
| 07-28 00:50:40 | (anonymous) 0x72a3…98af | No | SELL | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x0f4cd9… |
| 07-28 00:50:40 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x0f4cd9… |
| 07-27 08:35:30 | Fluffy-Hose 0xa270…ecad | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x141ae1… |
| 07-27 08:35:30 | (anonymous) 0xd217…d221 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x141ae1… |
| 07-27 05:41:16 | OxygenDrop 0x72b2…5548 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x0ad24d… |
| 07-27 05:41:16 | (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x0ad24d… |
| 07-27 04:53:04 | Medical-Armour 0x8d01…0267 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xdbd094… |
| 07-27 04:53:04 | (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xdbd094… |
| 07-27 04:52:55 | Worst-Envy 0xdfb9…4fe2 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x637104… |
| 07-27 04:52:55 | (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x637104… |
| 07-27 04:52:52 | Knotty-Gamebird 0xfce4…ebc1 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xa19d31… |
| 07-27 04:52:52 | (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xa19d31… |
| 07-27 04:52:49 | (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xae1b58… |
| 07-27 04:52:49 | Scientific-Blackness 0xc371…564b | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xae1b58… |
| 07-27 04:52:48 | (anonymous) 0x270e…f2f3 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x5226bf… |
| 07-27 04:52:48 | Amusing-Noise 0xe6d3…880f | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x5226bf… |
| 07-27 03:50:57 | Medical-Armour 0x8d01…0267 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xec3471… |
| 07-27 03:50:57 | Fluffy-Hose 0xa270…ecad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xec3471… |
| 07-27 03:50:52 | Worst-Envy 0xdfb9…4fe2 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xeef44e… |
| 07-27 03:50:52 | Fluffy-Hose 0xa270…ecad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xeef44e… |