Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,609
$359 in 24h
Trades
74
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$15,777
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-18 10:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+92.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $2
vs crowd: 8% YES on $635)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $5 | $50 | $45 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $36 | $153 | $117 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $5 | $381 | $376 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $2 | $28 | $26 |
| Median | 4 | $3 | $1 | +$1 |
| Below median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $25 | $137 | $111 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $37 | $37 |
| unranked | 15 | $7 | $381 | $375 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +118 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-09 09:50 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-09 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb3c…cd74 | No | +55 | $51 | $54 | 2 | 06-14 11:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x58f6…9077 | No | +54 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 06-01 03:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xa16d…43a4 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-01 03:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xf148…e1f1 | No | +52 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-01 03:52 |
| Fitting-Diploma 0x4fb1…5d3a | No | +51 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-01 03:52 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +39 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-12 09:32 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-09 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x5246…84d9 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 06-16 16:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 16:40 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-01 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +9 | $1 | $10 | 2 | 06-09 09:50 |
| Bulky-Input 0x79f7…d24a | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 21:39 |
| Offbeat-Parka 0x59e5…08c3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 10:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 10:13:05 | Offbeat-Parka 0x59e5…08c3 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x043b04… |
| 06-18 10:13:05 | (anonymous) 0x9db7…4161 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x043b04… |
| 06-16 16:40:29 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x2ee0ab… |
| 06-16 16:40:29 | (anonymous) 0x5246…84d9 | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x2ee0ab… |
| 06-14 11:06:22 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x74e9c2… |
| 06-14 11:06:22 | (anonymous) 0xe826…83bc | No | SELL | 37 | 95¢ | $35 | 0x74e9c2… |
| 06-14 11:06:22 | (anonymous) 0xfb3c…cd74 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x74e9c2… |
| 06-12 22:54:09 | (anonymous) 0xe826…83bc | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x8dfb88… |
| 06-12 22:54:09 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8dfb88… |
| 06-12 20:20:49 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 44 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xf853c3… |
| 06-12 20:20:49 | (anonymous) 0x8080…39d9 | No | SELL | 34 | 95¢ | $32 | 0xf853c3… |
| 06-12 20:20:49 | (anonymous) 0xe826…83bc | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xf853c3… |
| 06-12 09:32:51 | (anonymous) 0x8080…39d9 | No | SELL | 22 | 95¢ | $21 | 0x4d0b2e… |
| 06-12 09:32:51 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 38 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x4d0b2e… |
| 06-12 09:32:51 | (anonymous) 0x7ce6…16a3 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x4d0b2e… |
| 06-11 07:08:36 | (anonymous) 0x5246…84d9 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x02c4d4… |
| 06-11 07:08:36 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x02c4d4… |
| 06-11 07:07:52 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x788e59… |
| 06-11 07:07:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x788e59… |
| 06-09 12:34:00 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0b5b83… |
| 06-09 12:34:00 | Needy-Constellation 0x5226…b4f5 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0b5b83… |
| 06-09 09:54:07 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x38e3a1… |
| 06-09 09:54:07 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x38e3a1… |
| 06-09 09:54:07 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x38e3a1… |
| 06-09 09:51:39 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x2912e6… |
| 06-09 09:51:39 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x2912e6… |
| 06-09 09:50:18 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xa7d616… |
| 06-09 09:50:18 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xa7d616… |
| 06-09 09:50:18 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xa7d616… |
| 06-09 09:50:16 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 22 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x15c878… |
| 06-09 09:50:16 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 84 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x15c878… |
| 06-09 09:50:16 | Needy-Constellation 0x5226…b4f5 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x15c878… |
| 06-09 09:50:16 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 127 | 6¢ | $8 | 0x15c878… |
| 06-09 09:50:13 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x469f64… |
| 06-09 09:50:13 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x469f64… |
| 06-09 09:50:13 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x469f64… |
| 06-09 09:50:13 | (anonymous) 0x4e51…53ca | Yes | SELL | 493 | 7¢ | $34 | 0x469f64… |
| 06-09 09:50:13 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x469f64… |
| 06-09 09:50:13 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 159 | 7¢ | $11 | 0x469f64… |
| 06-09 09:50:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x469f64… |
| 06-09 09:50:13 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x469f64… |
| 06-09 09:50:13 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x469f64… |
| 06-04 21:39:06 | Bulky-Input 0x79f7…d24a | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x9792d8… |
| 06-04 21:39:06 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x9792d8… |
| 06-02 20:41:55 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf0dce4… |
| 06-02 20:41:55 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf0dce4… |
| 06-02 20:41:53 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x44ca44… |
| 06-02 20:41:53 | Odd-Music 0x88e3…9b49 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x44ca44… |
| 06-02 20:41:53 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x44ca44… |
| 06-01 22:55:52 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x533adf… |
| 06-01 22:55:52 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x533adf… |
| 06-01 03:53:05 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 32 | 92¢ | $30 | 0x0ab9b5… |
| 06-01 03:53:05 | Needy-Constellation 0x5226…b4f5 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x0ab9b5… |
| 06-01 03:53:01 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xfda2dc… |
| 06-01 03:53:01 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xfda2dc… |
| 06-01 03:52:58 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 70 | 93¢ | $65 | 0x028168… |
| 06-01 03:52:58 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x028168… |
| 06-01 03:52:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x028168… |
| 06-01 03:52:56 | (anonymous) 0x9dc2…0727 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x444682… |
| 06-01 03:52:56 | (anonymous) 0x58f6…9077 | No | BUY | 35 | 94¢ | $33 | 0x444682… |
| 06-01 03:52:56 | (anonymous) 0xa16d…43a4 | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0x444682… |
| 06-01 03:52:56 | (anonymous) 0x8080…39d9 | No | BUY | 56 | 94¢ | $53 | 0x444682… |
| 06-01 03:52:56 | Blank-Civilization 0x1719…5cea | No | SELL | 580 | 94¢ | $545 | 0x444682… |
| 06-01 03:52:56 | Fitting-Diploma 0x4fb1…5d3a | No | BUY | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0x444682… |
| 06-01 03:52:56 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 75 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x444682… |
| 06-01 03:52:56 | (anonymous) 0xe826…83bc | No | BUY | 54 | 94¢ | $51 | 0x444682… |
| 06-01 03:52:56 | (anonymous) 0xfb3c…cd74 | No | BUY | 56 | 94¢ | $53 | 0x444682… |
| 06-01 03:52:56 | (anonymous) 0xf148…e1f1 | No | BUY | 52 | 94¢ | $49 | 0x444682… |
| 06-01 03:52:56 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 132 | 94¢ | $124 | 0x444682… |
| 06-01 03:29:20 | Needy-Constellation 0x5226…b4f5 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x26619a… |
| 06-01 03:29:20 | Pink-Receiver 0x97c2…55d6 | No | SELL | 63 | 94¢ | $59 | 0x26619a… |
| 06-01 03:29:20 | (anonymous) 0x58f6…9077 | No | BUY | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0x26619a… |
| 05-27 21:38:12 | Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xdfc26e… |
| 05-27 21:38:12 | Needy-Constellation 0x5226…b4f5 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xdfc26e… |