Studious-Whelp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.9%

Resolved

141

Trades

480

lifetime

Volume

$475

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-01 07:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Other

69% 13% -$4

Politics

22% 13% -$1

Crypto

7% 18% +$0

Sports

2% 0% $0

Tech

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	36	$37	31	31	+0	No	-$1	02-18 00:43
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	12	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	07-21 01:44
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	10	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	06-18 10:12
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	07-02 03:36
Human moon landing in 2026?	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	07-04 01:15
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-10 01:36
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	8	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	03-17 03:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$8	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	01-20 09:05
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	7	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	03-11 01:34
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-23 01:58
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-17 09:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	04-08 06:06
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 01:10
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$6	4	4	+0	No	$0	02-12 23:56
Trump out as President before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-17 01:22
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	08-01 07:05
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	-0	No	$0	05-13 02:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-23 01:35
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 00:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-25 03:12
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	04-24 07:01
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-16 01:22
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-30 01:53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-02 02:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-09 02:20
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-10 01:35
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 07:30
Will Alberta join the US?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 09:08
Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-16 00:59
Will Quantinuum's market cap be less than $10B at market close on IPO day?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-04 10:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 07:05:53	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbeea07…
08-01 07:05:14	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x429a06…
08-01 06:40:18	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x142339…
08-01 06:31:03	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x68efbe…
07-31 02:13:36	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4d6787…
07-31 02:13:06	Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xab6ab0…
07-31 02:02:21	Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbcbb3a…
07-31 02:01:00	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x838510…
07-30 01:51:09	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x202bc9…
07-30 01:50:53	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5d2afd…
07-30 01:24:53	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc518fd…
07-30 01:22:47	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd06580…
07-28 01:57:45	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556652	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x58c4c4…
07-28 01:57:28	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7d1387…
07-28 01:30:21	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6dcd27…
07-28 01:29:10	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556652	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xddafcf…
07-25 09:51:09	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa2559f…
07-25 09:50:39	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xedf9e8…
07-25 09:36:55	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x849b56…
07-25 09:36:19	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x67896c…
07-23 01:59:10	Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8a9dd9…
07-23 01:58:39	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4bea4b…
07-23 01:35:04	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x64b156…
07-23 01:33:00	Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc90702…
07-21 01:45:42	Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xec07ac…
07-21 01:44:58	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdd92bb…
07-21 01:28:39	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe3f616…
07-21 01:20:10	Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd5f84e…
07-20 03:44:09	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x64a9b8…
07-20 03:43:25	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x252be8…
07-20 03:28:30	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8b037e…
07-20 03:27:10	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x603893…
07-18 01:11:12	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5b63ea…
07-18 01:10:45	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x12b54f…
07-18 00:41:48	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xad99c9…
07-18 00:40:16	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54378a…
07-17 01:22:17	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xcc5e0a…
07-17 01:21:43	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x87aece…
07-17 01:02:17	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2befd5…
07-17 01:01:37	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2d5ba1…
07-16 00:59:53	Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xae2027…
07-16 00:59:08	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf8863d…
07-16 00:58:14	Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5d3918…
07-16 00:46:25	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xce3f26…
07-16 00:45:19	Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe306fd…
07-15 01:56:38	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2d7490…
07-15 01:35:01	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbe6b83…
07-15 01:33:35	Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xefb7c2…
07-14 01:09:04	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0cd88c…
07-14 01:08:41	Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8a3eef…
07-14 01:00:32	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe91c82…
07-14 01:00:07	Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x84a8a8…
07-13 02:51:17	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa74b0f…
07-13 02:50:49	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x279456…
07-13 02:34:01	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd1f6cb…
07-13 02:33:17	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1e70c3…
07-11 02:34:19	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf640d9…
07-11 02:33:59	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x30db69…
07-11 02:10:43	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe41a7f…
07-11 02:09:58	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1375b0…
07-10 01:36:05	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6bfb99…
07-10 01:35:41	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf93165…
07-10 01:21:31	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x24e4d6…
07-10 01:20:37	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x974e8d…
07-09 00:59:05	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x970b2b…
07-09 00:58:35	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd9608a…
07-09 00:48:11	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7fa7d8…
07-09 00:47:05	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x544de9…
07-08 01:30:11	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x0d4e3c…
07-08 01:28:28	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x820344…
07-08 01:10:17	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf90707…
07-08 01:07:38	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5315d0…
07-07 01:09:10	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeff98c…
07-07 01:08:37	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5484f0…
07-07 00:57:10	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa2a69b…
07-07 00:56:08	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x510bbf…
07-06 02:16:29	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x374aa6…
07-06 02:15:43	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x062b5a…
07-06 02:00:20	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x171362…
07-06 01:59:19	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5a1970…
07-04 01:15:47	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4bdcef…
07-04 01:15:13	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x50fba1…
07-04 01:05:10	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbe34fc…
07-04 01:04:32	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x95c33a…
07-03 02:11:56	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x15f5c6…
07-03 02:11:38	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x78504e…
07-03 02:01:01	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x950c83…
07-03 02:00:14	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0fc9e0…
07-02 03:36:32	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x74dc03…
07-02 03:36:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc919b6…
07-02 03:30:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7fdcd7…
07-02 03:29:08	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1beeed…
07-02 02:11:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x325975…
07-02 02:10:19	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6e62aa…
07-02 02:03:41	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xda91f9…
07-02 02:01:43	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbb7ebb…
07-01 00:55:38	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xcfa8c1…
07-01 00:55:07	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x296702…
07-01 00:46:02	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8976db…
07-01 00:44:25	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x70a312…