Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
open
Total volume
$13,707
$174 in 24h
Trades
876
Unique wallets
132
Liquidity
$903
Latest YES mid
82¢
Latest NO mid
18¢
End date
2026-07-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-03 00:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $5.8K | $1.1K | +$4.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $863 | $291 | +$572 |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $216 | $354 | $138 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 79 | $1.2K | $1.9K | $763 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $340 | $28 | +$312 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 15 | $170 | $882 | $712 |
| Median | 11 | $380 | $60 | +$320 |
| Below median | 19 | $175 | $115 | +$60 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $91 | $91 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $265 | $299 | $34 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $4.4K | $37 | +$4.4K |
| unranked | 62 | $2.3K | $2.2K | +$100 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +4,718 | $3,690 | $3,690 | 123 | 07-03 00:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | No | +2,756 | $631 | $844 | 51 | 06-23 12:16 |
| ProfessionalPunter 0x22e4…ef1c | No | +2,302 | $785 | $785 | 4 | 07-01 12:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | +2,000 | $1,300 | $1,300 | 1 | 07-01 12:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x51a9…57bb | No | +1,680 | $353 | $355 | 31 | 06-25 16:37 |
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | +810 | $624 | $624 | 20 | 06-08 03:46 |
| Courageous-Sultan 0xacd8…c209 | No | +454 | $209 | $367 | 12 | 06-02 15:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb973…2812 | No | +382 | $57 | $57 | 5 | 06-13 13:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x0462…ec2d | No | +300 | $68 | $68 | 8 | 07-03 00:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x73bc…e60d | Yes | +280 | $203 | $203 | 6 | 06-29 00:48 |
| Stormy-Forecast 0xe041…e993 | No | +229 | $38 | $38 | 9 | 06-07 19:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x141a…c649 | Yes | +229 | $168 | $168 | 2 | 07-02 05:15 |
| Worthy-Lament 0xfe72…f18c | Yes | +200 | $130 | $130 | 1 | 06-29 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x9135…ad35 | No | +200 | $30 | $78 | 2 | 06-13 19:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc98…2de2 | Yes | +145 | $109 | $109 | 2 | 07-02 09:28 |
| Well-Documented-Peek 0x94bb…c320 | No | +143 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 07-01 12:14 |
| Formal-Sight 0xf88b…0ed2 | Yes | +140 | $113 | $113 | 6 | 06-27 02:19 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +139 | $37 | $37 | 8 | 06-17 10:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ffa…d273 | No | +138 | $30 | $30 | 6 | 06-23 17:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xd891…af04 | Yes | +130 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 06-17 20:34 |
| Serious-Authority 0xe1f1…3a05 | No | +114 | $45 | $258 | 12 | 06-20 21:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9276…37a3 | Yes | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-12 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x3057…bf7b | No | +105 | $13 | $129 | 12 | 06-17 07:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd32…ef29 | Yes | +98 | $78 | $78 | 2 | 07-02 14:07 |
| Measly-Gelatin 0x28ca…5d19 | Yes | +95 | $75 | $75 | 2 | 06-23 13:19 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +77 | $8 | $8 | 11 | 06-14 18:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +74 | $18 | $18 | 5 | 06-21 07:24 |
| Cluttered-Steeple 0xb04d…2b19 | No | +74 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-11 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x9768…0731 | No | +67 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 06-22 01:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x2410…fed5 | Yes | +64 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-19 19:49 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | +60 | $29 | $623 | 9 | 07-02 18:55 |
| Reflecting-Balloonist 0x7b3f…2591 | Yes | +60 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-16 09:56 |
| Brave-Evolution 0x5839…2fc4 | Yes | +60 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 07-01 12:04 |
| Flamboyant-Boogeyman 0x70ca…2443 | No | +58 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-02 09:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7118…f07c | No | +57 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 07-01 12:40 |
| Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | Yes | +45 | $35 | $35 | 5 | 06-24 11:20 |
| Digital-Complicity 0x0332…fe96 | Yes | +40 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-02 14:00 |
| Athletic-Manager 0xc01f…cd8e | No | +40 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-28 17:51 |
| Near-Tell 0x651a…22e9 | Yes | +35 | $4 | $122 | 12 | 07-01 12:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xfacf…1b2e | Yes | +35 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 06-29 12:15 |
| Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | Yes | +31 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 07-01 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d62…e937 | No | +31 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-26 16:33 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 06-12 11:14 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $6 | $23 | 4 | 07-01 12:40 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +28 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-25 09:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +26 | $16 | $37 | 7 | 06-23 07:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +25 | $3 | $155 | 38 | 07-02 12:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xd13e…577e | No | +21 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 07-01 12:13 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 21:42 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +16 | $13 | $32 | 5 | 06-23 08:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +16 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-04 15:16 |
| Splendid-Progression 0xf13f…31cb | No | +14 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-24 15:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9ae…04bd | Yes | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-28 12:03 |
| Traumatic-Yogurt 0x0b46…625f | No | +13 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-01 12:15 |
| Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | +13 | $-5 | $80 | 64 | 07-02 13:47 |
| Spiffy-Buffer-Critic 0x1e06…d401 | Yes | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-17 02:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x8217…c7c1 | No | +12 | $11 | $43 | 49 | 06-19 16:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x85f9…a0c8 | Yes | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-10 10:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x7847…2223 | Yes | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-10 15:36 |
| Unrealistic-Ingredient 0xb50c…5463 | Yes | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-17 14:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 00:35:01 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0xb7fd73… |
| 07-03 00:35:01 | (anonymous) 0x0462…ec2d | No | BUY | 100 | 20¢ | $20 | 0xb7fd73… |
| 07-03 00:35:01 | Giving-Marble 0x4e46…7075 | No | BUY | 0 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xb7fd73… |
| 07-03 00:35:01 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 80¢ | $82 | 0xb7fd73… |
| 07-02 23:56:47 | Giving-Marble 0x4e46…7075 | No | BUY | 130 | 18¢ | $23 | 0xb1ff80… |
| 07-02 23:56:47 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 82¢ | $107 | 0xb1ff80… |
| 07-02 21:12:20 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xbbe3f0… |
| 07-02 21:12:20 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xbbe3f0… |
| 07-02 21:12:20 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 16 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xbbe3f0… |
| 07-02 21:12:20 | Sunny-Nitrogen 0xbf53…1720 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 78¢ | $17 | 0xbbe3f0… |
| 07-02 18:55:10 | Giving-Marble 0x4e46…7075 | No | BUY | 70 | 18¢ | $13 | 0x4ba5b1… |
| 07-02 18:55:10 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 81¢ | $12 | 0x4ba5b1… |
| 07-02 18:55:10 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x4ba5b1… |
| 07-02 18:55:10 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 82¢ | $78 | 0x4ba5b1… |
| 07-02 14:07:04 | (anonymous) 0xfd32…ef29 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 80¢ | $58 | 0xaaad34… |
| 07-02 14:07:04 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | SELL | 73 | 80¢ | $58 | 0xaaad34… |
| 07-02 14:06:23 | (anonymous) 0xfd32…ef29 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 79¢ | $20 | 0x04c64f… |
| 07-02 14:06:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x04c64f… |
| 07-02 13:47:01 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 80¢ | $32 | 0xfefeff… |
| 07-02 13:47:01 | Unconscious-Drapes 0x8c52…677d | No | SELL | 126 | 21¢ | $26 | 0xfefeff… |
| 07-02 13:47:01 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xfefeff… |
| 07-02 13:47:01 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xfefeff… |
| 07-02 13:47:01 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xfefeff… |
| 07-02 13:47:01 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xfefeff… |
| 07-02 13:47:01 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 57 | 21¢ | $12 | 0xfefeff… |
| 07-02 12:27:50 | Unconscious-Drapes 0x8c52…677d | No | SELL | 429 | 23¢ | $97 | 0x74bc15… |
| 07-02 12:27:50 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 78¢ | $234 | 0x74bc15… |
| 07-02 12:27:50 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x74bc15… |
| 07-02 12:27:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 24¢ | $6 | 0x74bc15… |
| 07-02 12:27:50 | (anonymous) 0x0462…ec2d | No | BUY | 46 | 23¢ | $11 | 0x74bc15… |
| 07-02 09:28:05 | (anonymous) 0xdc98…2de2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 75¢ | $38 | 0x01cde9… |
| 07-02 09:28:05 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x01cde9… |
| 07-02 09:28:05 | Flamboyant-Boogeyman 0x70ca…2443 | No | BUY | 58 | 25¢ | $14 | 0x01cde9… |
| 07-02 08:22:35 | (anonymous) 0x0462…ec2d | No | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x1ba7a6… |
| 07-02 08:22:35 | (anonymous) 0x917c…f260 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x1ba7a6… |
| 07-02 08:19:20 | (anonymous) 0x0462…ec2d | No | BUY | 47 | 24¢ | $11 | 0x67aec8… |
| 07-02 08:19:20 | (anonymous) 0xdc98…2de2 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 75¢ | $72 | 0x67aec8… |
| 07-02 07:18:16 | Forked-Original 0x35a7…44f4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xd108b6… |
| 07-02 07:18:16 | (anonymous) 0x0462…ec2d | No | BUY | 2 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xd108b6… |
| 07-02 05:15:50 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0xdb1362… |
| 07-02 05:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x141a…c649 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 74¢ | $18 | 0xdb1362… |
| 07-02 00:07:05 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 15 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x11b816… |
| 07-02 00:07:05 | (anonymous) 0x6fce…efd4 | No | SELL | 15 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x11b816… |
| 07-01 12:40:14 | (anonymous) 0x7118…f07c | No | BUY | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x0fad00… |
| 07-01 12:40:14 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | No | SELL | 8 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x0fad00… |
| 07-01 12:40:14 | (anonymous) 0x2e8e…5b53 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x0fad00… |
| 07-01 12:40:11 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xc18c52… |
| 07-01 12:40:11 | ProfessionalPunter 0x22e4…ef1c | No | BUY | 160 | 26¢ | $41 | 0xc18c52… |
| 07-01 12:40:11 | Pointed-Sail 0x9cfd…dfe7 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xc18c52… |
| 07-01 12:40:11 | (anonymous) 0x141a…c649 | Yes | BUY | 204 | 74¢ | $150 | 0xc18c52… |
| 07-01 12:40:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0xc18c52… |
| 07-01 12:15:31 | Pointed-Sail 0x9cfd…dfe7 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x9002aa… |
| 07-01 12:15:31 | Traumatic-Yogurt 0x0b46…625f | No | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x9002aa… |
| 07-01 12:14:05 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xab4ae2… |
| 07-01 12:14:05 | Well-Documented-Peek 0x94bb…c320 | No | BUY | 0 | 35¢ | $0 | 0xab4ae2… |
| 07-01 12:14:05 | (anonymous) 0xdc76…5f55 | No | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xab4ae2… |
| 07-01 12:13:41 | Well-Documented-Peek 0x94bb…c320 | No | BUY | 142 | 35¢ | $50 | 0x5d22ab… |
| 07-01 12:13:41 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 143 | 65¢ | $93 | 0x5d22ab… |
| 07-01 12:13:41 | (anonymous) 0xd13e…577e | No | BUY | 1 | 35¢ | $0 | 0x5d22ab… |
| 07-01 12:13:04 | (anonymous) 0xd13e…577e | No | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x4fb91b… |
| 07-01 12:13:04 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x4fb91b… |
| 07-01 12:13:01 | (anonymous) 0xdc76…5f55 | No | SELL | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x3f15f4… |
| 07-01 12:13:01 | (anonymous) 0xa004…e6e6 | No | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x3f15f4… |
| 07-01 12:13:01 | (anonymous) 0x7118…f07c | No | BUY | 13 | 38¢ | $5 | 0x04746f… |
| 07-01 12:13:01 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x04746f… |
| 07-01 12:13:01 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 7 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x04746f… |
| 07-01 12:12:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 26 | 34¢ | $9 | 0x7982c0… |
| 07-01 12:12:58 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 65¢ | $1,300 | 0x7982c0… |
| 07-01 12:12:58 | ProfessionalPunter 0x22e4…ef1c | No | BUY | 2,057 | 35¢ | $719 | 0x7982c0… |
| 07-01 12:12:58 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | No | SELL | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x7982c0… |
| 07-01 12:12:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 24 | 34¢ | $8 | 0x7982c0… |
| 07-01 12:12:53 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | No | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xd08add… |
| 07-01 12:12:53 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0xd08add… |
| 07-01 12:12:43 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | No | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x985cbb… |
| 07-01 12:12:43 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x985cbb… |
| 07-01 12:12:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 29¢ | $0 | 0xd416d0… |
| 07-01 12:12:02 | (anonymous) 0x6fce…efd4 | No | BUY | 1 | 29¢ | $0 | 0xd416d0… |
| 07-01 12:09:37 | Traumatic-Yogurt 0x0b46…625f | No | BUY | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x515f99… |
| 07-01 12:09:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x515f99… |
| 07-01 12:06:59 | (anonymous) 0x6fce…efd4 | No | BUY | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x886d93… |
| 07-01 12:06:59 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0xe5ffa3… |
| 07-01 12:06:59 | (anonymous) 0x6fce…efd4 | No | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xe5ffa3… |
| 07-01 12:06:59 | Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x886d93… |
| 07-01 12:05:10 | Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 73¢ | $18 | 0xc45fe6… |
| 07-01 12:05:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0xc45fe6… |
| 07-01 12:04:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xebcae5… |
| 07-01 12:04:47 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xebcae5… |
| 07-01 12:04:34 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x5ae776… |
| 07-01 12:04:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x5ae776… |
| 07-01 12:04:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 14 | 65¢ | $9 | 0xd22552… |
| 07-01 12:04:20 | (anonymous) 0x7118…f07c | No | BUY | 14 | 35¢ | $5 | 0xd22552… |
| 07-01 12:04:17 | (anonymous) 0x7118…f07c | No | BUY | 14 | 36¢ | $5 | 0x262435… |
| 07-01 12:04:17 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | SELL | 4 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x262435… |
| 07-01 12:04:17 | Near-Tell 0x651a…22e9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 65¢ | $6 | 0x262435… |
| 07-01 12:04:16 | Brave-Evolution 0x5839…2fc4 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 71¢ | $43 | 0xb81179… |
| 07-01 12:04:16 | ProfessionalPunter 0x22e4…ef1c | No | BUY | 60 | 29¢ | $17 | 0xb81179… |
| 07-01 12:04:11 | ProfessionalPunter 0x22e4…ef1c | No | BUY | 25 | 28¢ | $7 | 0x90d595… |
| 07-01 12:04:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 28¢ | $7 | 0x90d595… |
| 07-01 05:56:11 | Wasteful-Comment 0xc2d7…deb5 | No | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x9481f1… |
| 07-01 05:56:11 | Useless-Comeback 0xb6db…47f6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x9481f1… |