Realized P&L
-$7.04K
Unrealized P&L
+$307
Hit rate
62.8%
Resolved
1,111
Trades
6,280
lifetime
Volume
$324.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$3.23K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-26 13:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 204 days
Categories
Other
63% 39% -$4,115
Sports
23% 43% -$732
Politics
12% 57% -$695
Crypto
2% 36% -$1,500
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -1,518 -$1,473 96¢ $-1460 +$13 10-26 13:38
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -700 -$645 98¢ $-685 -$40 05-16 15:07
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +643 $426 96¢ $619 +$194 06-12 07:20
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +209 $193 96¢ $201 +$8 06-11 01:23
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -1,000 -$170 10¢ $-95 +$75 05-09 18:43
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +100 $16 80¢ $80 +$64 06-04 23:14
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +305 $90 13¢ $40 -$51 06-05 17:50
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +24 $11 86¢ $21 +$10 06-16 07:58
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +143 $34 7¢ $10 -$24 05-16 00:27
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -2,100 -$71 0¢ $-5 +$66 05-25 06:04
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +100 $42 4¢ $4 -$38 04-30 03:50
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo Yes +100 $21 3¢ $3 -$18 05-09 23:00
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1,550 -$23 0¢ $-3 +$20 05-22 16:01
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? Yes -55 -$35 5¢ $-3 +$32 05-17 10:36
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes +100 $5 1¢ $1 -$4 06-08 13:25