Realized P&L
-$1.25K
Unrealized P&L
+$143
Hit rate
72.2%
Resolved
1,356
Trades
3,248
lifetime
Volume
$67.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$2.31K
27 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 10-30 11:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Crypto
46% 70% -$88
Other
42% 43% -$1,313
Politics
11% 62% -$83
Sports
1% 27% +$275
Tech
0% 50% -$16
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +1,150 $962 84¢ $972 +$10 10-30 10:23
jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison No +580 $512 97¢ $561 +$49 10-29 19:07
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +200 $155 81¢ $162 +$7 10-06 16:32
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +1,414 $134 11¢ $157 +$23 10-29 17:28
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +200 $153 74¢ $149 -$4 10-08 11:00
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes +75 $52 68¢ $51 -$1 08-21 04:38
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +50 $30 78¢ $39 +$8 08-06 15:17
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $31 78¢ $39 +$7 08-06 15:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +42 $34 82¢ $35 +$1 08-27 07:06
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +30 $23 73¢ $22 -$1 07-26 15:12
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No -20 -$31 98¢ $-20 +$12 09-20 19:00
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +60 $16 24¢ $15 -$1 06-28 16:33
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +15 $12 94¢ $14 +$2 06-30 17:57
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +15 $8 70¢ $11 +$2 07-26 15:17
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 $0 08-21 10:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -10 -$30 97¢ $-10 +$20 10-30 11:05
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$1 07-25 08:07
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638 No +10 $7 94¢ $9 +$3 06-29 04:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $1 90¢ $9 +$8 06-27 15:33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +15 $6 40¢ $6 +$1 06-30 18:00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +15 $6 32¢ $5 -$1 06-30 17:59
jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison Yes -100 -$5 3¢ $-3 +$1 08-12 05:21
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10 $6 29¢ $3 -$3 07-26 15:16
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes -20 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$0 08-16 09:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -10 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 06-25 12:14
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 Yes +3 $2 9¢ $0 -$2 06-28 18:49
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -10 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 08-24 14:08