(anonymous) 0x3057b5…45bf7b
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,559
lifetime
Volume
$31.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$719
19 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 07-06 20:56
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
88% — —
Other
9% — —
Politics
3% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +201 $183 94¢ $188 +$5 06-18 18:54
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? No +186 $150 90¢ $166 +$16 06-19 05:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +111 $107 96¢ $107 $-0 07-05 08:45
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +160 $101 59¢ $95 $-6 07-04 15:32
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +82 $40 34¢ $28 $-12 06-17 07:36
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No -24 $-2 73¢ $-17 $-16 06-30 20:56
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +20 $14 74¢ $15 +$0 06-30 19:36
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +28 $13 46¢ $13 $-0 06-16 14:21
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +60 $16 19¢ $11 $-4 06-28 16:33
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +105 $13 10¢ $11 $-2 06-17 07:35
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +50 $8 22¢ $11 +$2 07-02 11:16
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? No +17 $13 64¢ $11 $-2 06-19 05:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 $-0 06-27 15:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +10 $5 96¢ $10 +$4 06-27 15:32
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 06-27 17:11
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +10 $6 76¢ $8 +$1 06-27 17:11
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? No +40 $18 14¢ $6 $-12 07-02 11:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $1 38¢ $4 +$2 06-27 15:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -10 $-1 6¢ $-1 +$0 06-25 12:14