Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?
open
Total volume
$6,582
$545 in 24h
Trades
369
Unique wallets
75
Liquidity
$2,968
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
1970-01-01
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-23 00:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+76.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $116
vs crowd: 23% YES on $4.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $291 | $2.6K | $2.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $125 | $268 | $143 |
| 🐟 Fish | 25 | $382 | $417 | $35 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $188 | $47 | +$141 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $116 | — | +$116 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $63 | $2.1K | $2.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $31 | $61 | $30 |
| Median | 8 | $73 | $98 | $25 |
| Below median | 12 | $70 | $85 | $16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $69 | $51 | +$18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $253 | — | +$253 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $93 | $513 | $419 |
| unranked | 27 | $220 | $400 | $180 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | +2,267 | $1,933 | $1,933 | 17 | 07-23 00:50 |
| Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | Yes | +850 | $116 | $116 | 4 | 07-21 14:47 |
| Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | Yes | +735 | $76 | $76 | 2 | 07-10 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x36f9…9971 | Yes | +241 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-27 19:32 |
| Daring-President 0x2c41…133e | Yes | +240 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-15 18:23 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | +193 | $19 | $19 | 8 | 07-15 17:34 |
| Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | +188 | $19 | $19 | 3 | 07-06 14:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x3057…bf7b | No | +186 | $150 | $150 | 2 | 06-19 05:34 |
| Prize-Jar 0xdd1b…ff31 | Yes | +125 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 07-22 12:20 |
| Precious-Ford 0xfdc0…1851 | Yes | +123 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-17 23:17 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +100 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-02 15:35 |
| Big-Asparagus 0x6268…6031 | Yes | +76 | $6 | $78 | 25 | 07-15 18:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +74 | $32 | $69 | 10 | 06-27 19:35 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +59 | $50 | $191 | 4 | 07-22 21:45 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +59 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 06-01 19:44 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +51 | $23 | $76 | 7 | 07-15 18:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +50 | $4 | $4 | 10 | 07-10 00:04 |
| Dense-Whip 0xbea0…e19d | Yes | +34 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-21 18:43 |
| Euphoric-Headline 0x377d…dddd | Yes | +30 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-25 13:32 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-19 05:34 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $27 | $95 | 7 | 07-15 17:34 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $2 | $59 | 19 | 07-22 21:15 |
| Embellished-Toast-Cake 0x1452…449c | Yes | +29 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-21 21:36 |
| Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | No | +23 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-18 11:40 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | +20 | $9 | $124 | 11 | 07-02 02:15 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $8 | $21 | 4 | 07-22 07:11 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-15 14:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +10 | $7 | $171 | 12 | 07-15 18:23 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-02 16:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $4 | $32 | 8 | 07-12 10:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | +5 | $4 | $14 | 3 | 07-11 06:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $4 | $39 | 8 | 07-22 03:40 |
| Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 05:26 |
| Cheery-Cane 0xd2c1…742e | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 12:00 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $9 | 5 | 06-17 21:03 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 12:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 00:50:37 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 45 | 84¢ | $38 | 0x4df266… |
| 07-23 00:50:37 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 45 | 84¢ | $38 | 0x4df266… |
| 07-22 21:45:51 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x346e97… |
| 07-22 21:45:51 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 0 | 86¢ | $0 | 0x346e97… |
| 07-22 21:15:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x992b12… |
| 07-22 21:15:40 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0x992b12… |
| 07-22 21:03:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x3b0dfc… |
| 07-22 21:03:16 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x3b0dfc… |
| 07-22 21:01:36 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x8c26e6… |
| 07-22 21:01:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x8c26e6… |
| 07-22 12:20:27 | Prize-Jar 0xdd1b…ff31 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 18¢ | $22 | 0x02b804… |
| 07-22 12:20:27 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 125 | 82¢ | $102 | 0x02b804… |
| 07-22 07:11:13 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x84ce07… |
| 07-22 07:11:13 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x84ce07… |
| 07-22 03:40:43 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x925d36… |
| 07-22 03:40:43 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x925d36… |
| 07-22 00:52:01 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x87f313… |
| 07-22 00:52:01 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x87f313… |
| 07-22 00:52:01 | (anonymous) 0x39b2…157c | No | SELL | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0x87f313… |
| 07-21 14:47:12 | (anonymous) 0x39b2…157c | No | BUY | 12 | 87¢ | $11 | 0xcb7452… |
| 07-21 14:47:12 | Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xcb7452… |
| 07-21 14:47:09 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | Yes | SELL | 1,006 | 14¢ | $138 | 0x7032bd… |
| 07-21 14:47:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 65 | 87¢ | $57 | 0x7032bd… |
| 07-21 14:47:09 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 83 | 85¢ | $70 | 0x7032bd… |
| 07-21 14:47:09 | Rex416 0x9a3f…914a | Yes | BUY | 438 | 13¢ | $57 | 0x7032bd… |
| 07-21 14:47:09 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x7032bd… |
| 07-21 14:16:30 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0x36879a… |
| 07-21 14:16:30 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0x36879a… |
| 07-21 13:37:18 | Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x7886a0… |
| 07-21 13:37:18 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x7886a0… |
| 07-21 13:37:18 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x7886a0… |
| 07-16 12:47:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0xd7b6c4… |
| 07-16 12:47:44 | (anonymous) 0xef5d…fb23 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd7b6c4… |
| 07-15 18:23:05 | Daring-President 0x2c41…133e | Yes | BUY | 240 | 11¢ | $26 | 0x411482… |
| 07-15 18:23:05 | Big-Asparagus 0x6268…6031 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 11¢ | $7 | 0x411482… |
| 07-15 18:23:05 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x411482… |
| 07-15 18:23:05 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 91 | 89¢ | $81 | 0x411482… |
| 07-15 18:23:05 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x411482… |
| 07-15 17:34:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0x43102d… |
| 07-15 17:34:13 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 71 | 10¢ | $7 | 0x43102d… |
| 07-15 17:34:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 46 | 90¢ | $42 | 0x43102d… |
| 07-15 14:22:23 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xd6d7e9… |
| 07-15 14:22:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 56 | 91¢ | $51 | 0xd6d7e9… |
| 07-15 14:22:23 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xd6d7e9… |
| 07-15 14:22:23 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xd6d7e9… |
| 07-15 14:22:23 | Big-Asparagus 0x6268…6031 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd6d7e9… |
| 07-15 14:22:23 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 9¢ | $8 | 0xd6d7e9… |
| 07-13 09:36:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xaedc02… |
| 07-13 09:36:16 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xaedc02… |
| 07-12 18:46:26 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x251ff0… |
| 07-12 18:46:26 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x251ff0… |
| 07-12 10:32:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 31 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x0684d0… |
| 07-12 10:32:50 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 31 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x0684d0… |
| 07-12 10:28:38 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0x1f269d… |
| 07-12 10:28:38 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x1f269d… |
| 07-12 10:28:38 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x1f269d… |
| 07-12 10:28:38 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x1f269d… |
| 07-12 09:00:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 25 | 90¢ | $23 | 0x055a5f… |
| 07-12 09:00:16 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x055a5f… |
| 07-11 10:26:53 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xa348a7… |
| 07-11 10:26:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xa348a7… |
| 07-11 10:26:02 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xc72f3d… |
| 07-11 10:26:02 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc72f3d… |
| 07-11 10:26:02 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xc72f3d… |
| 07-11 10:26:02 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xc72f3d… |
| 07-11 06:42:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc8c760… |
| 07-11 06:42:58 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xc8c760… |
| 07-11 06:42:58 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc8c760… |
| 07-11 06:40:43 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xdb4bd3… |
| 07-11 06:40:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xdb4bd3… |
| 07-11 03:54:25 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x1f79f5… |
| 07-11 03:54:25 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…a76e | Yes | SELL | 53 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x1f79f5… |
| 07-11 03:54:25 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x1f79f5… |
| 07-11 03:54:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x1f79f5… |
| 07-11 03:54:25 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x1f79f5… |
| 07-11 03:54:25 | Big-Asparagus 0x6268…6031 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1f79f5… |
| 07-11 03:54:25 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x1f79f5… |
| 07-11 03:42:13 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd74315… |
| 07-11 03:42:13 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xd74315… |
| 07-11 01:32:25 | Big-Asparagus 0x6268…6031 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xd729fe… |
| 07-11 01:32:25 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xd729fe… |
| 07-11 01:32:25 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd729fe… |
| 07-10 19:26:01 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x555b5e… |
| 07-10 19:26:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x555b5e… |
| 07-10 19:26:01 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x555b5e… |
| 07-10 19:26:01 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x555b5e… |
| 07-10 19:26:01 | Understated-Blood 0xe05a…0bde | Yes | SELL | 74 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x555b5e… |
| 07-10 19:26:01 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | No | SELL | 45 | 92¢ | $41 | 0x555b5e… |
| 07-10 08:45:37 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xa3897d… |
| 07-10 08:45:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xa3897d… |
| 07-10 05:37:23 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x053998… |
| 07-10 05:37:23 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0x053998… |
| 07-10 05:37:23 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x053998… |
| 07-10 00:35:44 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $45 | 0xef02a3… |
| 07-10 00:35:44 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xef02a3… |
| 07-10 00:17:41 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | No | SELL | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0xae7e37… |
| 07-10 00:17:41 | Big-Asparagus 0x6268…6031 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xae7e37… |
| 07-10 00:17:41 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xae7e37… |
| 07-10 00:08:19 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | No | BUY | 45 | 91¢ | $41 | 0xc4ccdc… |
| 07-10 00:08:19 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xc4ccdc… |