Imaginative-Retirement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$236

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.5%

Resolved

Trades

993

lifetime

Volume

$3.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-27 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

56% 42% -$68

Politics

28% 27% -$111

Sports

14% 46% -$22

Crypto

2% 6% -$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	13	$604	572	572	+0	No	-$17	01-15 16:36
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	12	$383	460	460	+0	Yes	+$29	10-11 03:58
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	39	$314	2,216	1,083	+1,132	open	—	10-21 12:07
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	35	$225	1,271	1,271	+0	open	—	10-16 14:53
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	2	$166	218	218	+0	Yes	+$35	10-07 18:46
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?	20	$144	664	664	+0	open	—	10-26 18:39
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$102	63	63	+0	Yes	+$1	01-22 09:08
nfl la chi 2026 01 18	2	$98	73	73	+0	Rams	-$4	01-19 00:17
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	172	$94	16,592	1,758	+14,834	No	-$90	06-20 11:38
nba det nop 2026 01 21	4	$90	51	51	+0	Pistons	+$11	01-22 03:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$88	300	0	+300	No	-$88	04-12 13:32
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	2	$87	300	300	+0	No	+$9	10-06 18:27
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	12	$86	778	778	+0	No	-$21	01-22 00:23
ukraine election called by march 31 2026	6	$82	1,040	1,040	+0	No	-$22	02-25 13:24
cbb day lasal 2026 01 21	2	$65	40	40	+0	La Salle Explorers	+$14	01-22 01:48
nba por gsw 2026 01 13 spread home 10pt5	2	$63	37	37	+0	Warriors	+$4	01-14 06:00
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	391	$60	17,955	10	+17,945	No	-$59	04-17 19:02
nba mil sas 2026 01 15	2	$58	38	38	+0	Spurs	+$8	01-16 02:17
nba phx mia 2026 01 13	2	$56	29	29	+0	Heat	+$3	01-14 03:12
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$55	108	108	+0	No	-$5	03-29 13:35
cdr rrc fcb 2026 01 15 fcb	2	$50	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	01-15 21:54
cbb nill emich 2026 01 13	2	$44	26	26	+0	Eastern Michigan Eagles	+$9	01-14 01:37
nba bos mia 2026 01 15	2	$43	40	40	+0	Celtics	-$23	01-16 02:48
nba mem orl 2026 01 15	2	$42	25	25	+0	Magic	+$8	01-15 21:43
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$39	782	0	+782	No	-$39	05-13 20:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	6	$37	350	350	+0	open	—	10-27 16:05
Will the US strike Iran next?	2	$36	81	81	+0	No	-$34	01-13 21:14
cs2 aur1 hotu 2026 01 13	2	$32	17	17	+0	Aurora Gaming	+$3	01-13 23:40
Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?	3	$31	140	140	+0	open	—	10-14 06:09
will sinners win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	3	$30	181	0	+181	Yes	+$151	03-16 00:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 16:05:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	350	2¢	$8	0xc4740e…
10-26 18:39:11	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	7¢	$2	0x077efb…
10-26 16:26:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x23daa2…
10-26 16:19:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x55f9b9…
10-26 16:15:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xefb244…
10-26 16:11:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x97f3ff…
10-25 22:08:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	250	2¢	$5	0x1dc40d…
10-25 16:02:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	168	11¢	$18	0x3e8760…
10-24 19:58:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0xa75969…
10-24 17:51:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe8bbf4…
10-24 01:29:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	162	6¢	$10	0xb81ec5…
10-24 00:43:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	162	7¢	$11	0xc6139d…
10-24 00:25:20	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0x056924…
10-24 00:25:18	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	5¢	$10	0x884a8b…
10-23 16:00:11	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0xe7eab9…
10-22 02:08:12	Hornets vs. Nets	Nets	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xb00fb3…
10-22 01:37:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0xdac854…
10-21 19:13:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	605	1¢	$4	0x7e0307…
10-21 18:58:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	70	11¢	$7	0xb4f096…
10-21 18:34:59	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc297d9…
10-21 12:08:41	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0x1c07f3…
10-21 12:07:11	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	74	4¢	$3	0x2b8a1d…
10-20 13:58:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	932	0¢	$1	0x3673b1…
10-20 13:57:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xb23f8b…
10-20 13:57:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x88a11e…
10-20 13:57:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	335	0¢	$0	0x0ee134…
10-20 13:54:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3a18d5…
10-20 04:07:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2,036	0¢	$2	0x1b113c…
10-20 03:29:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x0aebb3…
10-20 03:24:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xc76f1f…
10-20 03:23:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xb65b8d…
10-20 03:23:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xda9ee5…
10-20 03:22:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x81d0cc…
10-20 03:22:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x8ae943…
10-20 03:21:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x30c3b9…
10-20 03:20:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x844be4…
10-20 03:19:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x13262e…
10-20 03:19:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x85ca4d…
10-20 03:19:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x7f4ab4…
10-20 03:18:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xa779f5…
10-20 03:17:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3caac8…
10-20 03:17:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x488752…
10-20 03:16:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x53adfc…
10-20 03:16:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8c540f…
10-20 03:15:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x7049a4…
10-20 03:15:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xdad177…
10-20 03:14:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x203b06…
10-20 03:14:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb72b6a…
10-20 03:13:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x28be25…
10-20 03:13:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x4a2057…
10-20 03:11:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7fe1f3…
10-20 03:11:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xf2486d…
10-20 03:10:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x0a1f40…
10-20 03:10:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xd0c558…
10-20 03:09:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xf44cdb…
10-20 03:09:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x9c090d…
10-20 03:08:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x0f4426…
10-20 03:08:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xc934b0…
10-20 03:07:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x569711…
10-20 03:07:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x80ee86…
10-20 03:06:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x8c22c2…
10-20 03:06:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xcb9a00…
10-20 03:05:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x457a43…
10-20 03:05:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x23e17a…
10-20 03:04:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x02116d…
10-20 03:03:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x829091…
10-20 03:03:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x030041…
10-20 03:03:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7b2754…
10-20 03:02:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x13b6eb…
10-20 03:01:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4b9713…
10-20 03:01:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xc51c25…
10-20 03:00:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x8f99ad…
10-20 02:59:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1a567d…
10-20 02:58:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x2ec529…
10-20 02:58:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x795d3e…
10-20 02:57:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xd4f772…
10-20 02:56:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x577e9c…
10-20 02:55:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xb3f6e4…
10-20 02:27:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	505	0¢	$1	0x1c0ee6…
10-20 02:25:20	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0xac701a…
10-19 14:55:38	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	4¢	$3	0x783e33…
10-19 14:53:00	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	95	4¢	$4	0x771d40…
10-19 14:27:56	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	3¢	$3	0xe4f372…
10-19 14:23:32	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	78	4¢	$3	0x20a06f…
10-18 00:05:51	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xed5ff5…
10-18 00:02:09	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0xbad83a…
10-17 20:03:48	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x8d54f8…
10-17 17:34:30	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xc8bfcb…
10-16 14:54:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	440	0¢	$0	0x9ab231…
10-16 14:54:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2,460	0¢	$2	0x7e072a…
10-16 14:53:19	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	74	8¢	$6	0xc94907…
10-14 18:20:45	will grok bot be available on the free plan by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	70	5¢	$3	0x53fe99…
10-14 12:19:36	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	338	5¢	$17	0x57e9c4…
10-14 06:09:20	Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	9¢	$13	0xcf51d3…
10-12 19:59:21	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x51a7ef…
10-12 19:59:18	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	73	9¢	$7	0xbce5d4…
10-11 21:01:16	Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	682	0¢	$1	0x0621a5…
10-11 13:21:42	Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x68b06a…
10-11 08:51:37	Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	235	0¢	$0	0x1e271f…
10-11 03:58:12	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	Yes	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0xd67928…