Realized P&L
+$813
Unrealized P&L
+$56
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved
107
Trades
565
lifetime
Volume
$34.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$581
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 10-06 06:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
64% 43% +$244
Politics
30% 48% +$465
Tech
6% 53% +$104
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -255 -$297 96¢ $-246 +$51 07-01 17:13
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -211 -$194 96¢ $-203 -$9 06-09 09:29
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +71 $65 95¢ $68 +$3 08-25 02:47
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +408 $41 9¢ $37 -$4 08-06 07:14
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +15 -$3 86¢ $13 +$16 10-06 06:46
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes +406 $26 2¢ $7 -$19 08-05 17:30
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +70 $6 7¢ $5 -$2 08-25 02:47
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +15 -$23 15¢ $2 +$25 10-06 06:46
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +0 $5 8¢ $0 -$5 09-29 14:57