Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$4,217
$365 in 24h
Trades
165
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$965
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-01-10
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-12 11:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+77.1¢
(top1%: 89% YES on $71
vs crowd: 12% YES on $2.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $8 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $219 | $218 | +$1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $38 | $18 | +$19 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $14 | $10 | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $63 | $8 | +$55 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $678 | $678 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $28 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 4 | $25 | $25 | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $45 | $190 | $145 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 14 | $118 | $29 | +$89 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | +1,119 | $999 | $1,187 | 3 | 06-12 11:23 |
| Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | +516 | $63 | $63 | 5 | 06-09 20:14 |
| Crisp-Gold 0x8ec6…d9ed | Yes | +500 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 06-02 14:24 |
| Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | +464 | $9 | $14 | 4 | 06-11 17:53 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | +156 | $139 | $139 | 1 | 06-08 14:29 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | +91 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-12 01:26 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | +60 | $5 | $31 | 16 | 06-12 11:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +31 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 06-06 08:15 |
| Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | +29 | $-7 | $46 | 12 | 06-12 03:26 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | +20 | $18 | $20 | 3 | 05-31 14:33 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 03:15 |
| Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-05 12:59 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 17:53 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-05 22:48 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +4 | $3 | $80 | 5 | 06-09 02:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xf71d…d9c3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 07:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 11:23:21 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | SELL | 98 | 96¢ | $94 | 0x0406de… |
| 06-12 11:23:21 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0406de… |
| 06-12 11:23:21 | Similar-Exasperation 0x4c68…7fab | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x0406de… |
| 06-12 11:23:21 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0406de… |
| 06-12 03:26:51 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 49 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe1a627… |
| 06-12 03:26:51 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 49 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe1a627… |
| 06-12 03:21:01 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe1793d… |
| 06-12 03:21:01 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe1793d… |
| 06-12 03:21:01 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 49 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe1793d… |
| 06-12 03:15:51 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x14182e… |
| 06-12 03:15:51 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x14182e… |
| 06-12 03:15:51 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x14182e… |
| 06-12 03:15:51 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x14182e… |
| 06-12 02:58:25 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5a7b1b… |
| 06-12 02:58:25 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5a7b1b… |
| 06-12 02:58:25 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5a7b1b… |
| 06-12 01:26:24 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x57c8c5… |
| 06-12 01:26:24 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x57c8c5… |
| 06-11 23:08:12 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x2640ff… |
| 06-11 23:08:12 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x2640ff… |
| 06-11 23:08:01 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x2dee7c… |
| 06-11 23:08:01 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x2dee7c… |
| 06-11 22:15:49 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x22eb21… |
| 06-11 22:15:49 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 9 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x22eb21… |
| 06-11 19:42:45 | Flaky-Settler 0xf804…d2b7 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xab76c8… |
| 06-11 19:42:45 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xab76c8… |
| 06-11 17:53:19 | Offbeat-Procurement 0x5d81…11a2 | Yes | SELL | 800 | 3¢ | $20 | 0x12726f… |
| 06-11 17:53:19 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 82 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12726f… |
| 06-11 17:53:19 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x12726f… |
| 06-11 17:53:19 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x12726f… |
| 06-11 17:53:19 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | BUY | 444 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x12726f… |
| 06-11 17:53:19 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x12726f… |
| 06-11 17:53:19 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x12726f… |
| 06-11 17:53:19 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x12726f… |
| 06-11 17:53:19 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 143 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x12726f… |
| 06-10 12:54:04 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xfc6944… |
| 06-10 12:54:04 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 33 | 90¢ | $30 | 0xfc6944… |
| 06-10 12:54:04 | Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | SELL | 637 | 90¢ | $572 | 0xfc6944… |
| 06-10 12:54:04 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 759 | 90¢ | $682 | 0xfc6944… |
| 06-10 12:54:04 | Similar-Exasperation 0x4c68…7fab | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xfc6944… |
| 06-10 12:54:04 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 19 | 90¢ | $17 | 0xfc6944… |
| 06-10 12:54:04 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xfc6944… |
| 06-09 20:14:10 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd65f26… |
| 06-09 20:14:10 | Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xd65f26… |
| 06-09 20:14:04 | Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | BUY | 121 | 12¢ | $14 | 0x0a5aa5… |
| 06-09 20:14:04 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | BUY | 31 | 88¢ | $27 | 0x0a5aa5… |
| 06-09 20:14:04 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 90 | 88¢ | $79 | 0x0a5aa5… |
| 06-09 17:31:19 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xbea705… |
| 06-09 17:31:19 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xbea705… |
| 06-09 16:08:15 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x4fffce… |
| 06-09 16:08:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x4fffce… |
| 06-09 16:08:15 | Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | BUY | 181 | 12¢ | $21 | 0x4fffce… |
| 06-09 16:08:15 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4fffce… |
| 06-09 16:08:15 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | SELL | 136 | 12¢ | $16 | 0x4fffce… |
| 06-09 10:27:27 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xbeb102… |
| 06-09 10:27:27 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | No | SELL | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0xbeb102… |
| 06-09 09:04:39 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xf8bdb9… |
| 06-09 09:04:39 | (anonymous) 0xbecc…f560 | No | SELL | 25 | 89¢ | $22 | 0xf8bdb9… |
| 06-09 09:04:39 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf8bdb9… |
| 06-09 02:20:13 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 28 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xc49aa0… |
| 06-09 02:20:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 28 | 92¢ | $26 | 0xc49aa0… |
| 06-09 02:20:07 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x1e582c… |
| 06-09 02:20:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x1e582c… |
| 06-09 02:20:07 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x1e582c… |
| 06-08 14:29:03 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x52d4e5… |
| 06-08 14:29:03 | Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | BUY | 156 | 89¢ | $139 | 0x52d4e5… |
| 06-08 14:29:03 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x52d4e5… |
| 06-08 14:29:03 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x52d4e5… |
| 06-08 12:50:19 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd3f920… |
| 06-08 12:50:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xd3f920… |
| 06-08 12:50:19 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 41 | 89¢ | $37 | 0xd3f920… |
| 06-08 12:45:25 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x279c1e… |
| 06-08 12:45:25 | Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x279c1e… |
| 06-08 12:45:25 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 381 | 90¢ | $344 | 0x279c1e… |
| 06-08 12:45:25 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 458 | 90¢ | $411 | 0x279c1e… |
| 06-08 12:45:25 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x279c1e… |
| 06-08 12:45:25 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x279c1e… |
| 06-08 07:48:28 | (anonymous) 0xf71d…d9c3 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x68b158… |
| 06-08 07:48:28 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x68b158… |
| 06-06 08:15:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x8754c3… |
| 06-06 08:15:09 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x8754c3… |
| 06-06 08:09:55 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x0b6c2e… |
| 06-06 08:09:55 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x0b6c2e… |
| 06-06 08:04:48 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x1131fc… |
| 06-06 08:04:48 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x1131fc… |
| 06-06 08:04:48 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x1131fc… |
| 06-06 00:27:04 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x5868aa… |
| 06-06 00:27:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x5868aa… |
| 06-06 00:27:04 | Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x5868aa… |
| 06-06 00:27:04 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 15 | 77¢ | $12 | 0x5868aa… |
| 06-06 00:27:04 | Stingy-Sushi 0x8487…c1db | No | SELL | 75 | 78¢ | $58 | 0x5868aa… |
| 06-06 00:27:04 | Helpful-Canopy 0x7c15…c9db | No | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x5868aa… |
| 06-05 22:49:04 | (anonymous) 0xc318…d82a | No | SELL | 9 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x19014e… |
| 06-05 22:49:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x19014e… |
| 06-05 22:48:19 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x82569c… |
| 06-05 22:48:19 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 13 | 90¢ | $12 | 0x82569c… |
| 06-05 22:48:13 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xe0b15a… |
| 06-05 22:48:13 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe0b15a… |
| 06-05 22:48:13 | (anonymous) 0xc318…d82a | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xe0b15a… |
| 06-05 15:47:07 | (anonymous) 0xf1e4…f622 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x4eeddc… |