Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$10,089
$365 in 24h
Trades
380
Unique wallets
85
Liquidity
$965
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-01-10
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-23 10:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+9.5¢
(top1%: 19% YES on $534
vs crowd: 9% YES on $6.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $114 | $3.3K | $3.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 22 | $265 | $1.7K | $1.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 24 | $58 | $393 | $334 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $120 | $125 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $99 | $434 | $335 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $7 | $899 | $892 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $45 | $2.0K | $2.0K |
| Median | 5 | $14 | $4 | +$10 |
| Below median | 10 | $42 | $468 | $426 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $88 | $1.0K | $957 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $1 | $459 | $458 |
| unranked | 35 | $262 | $219 | +$43 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | +1,525 | $1,341 | $2,403 | 8 | 07-02 10:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b7a…5790 | Yes | +1,330 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-26 22:36 |
| Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | +516 | $63 | $63 | 5 | 06-09 20:14 |
| Witty-Teriyaki 0xacb1…1b1d | Yes | +503 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-11 14:37 |
| Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | +464 | $9 | $14 | 4 | 06-11 17:53 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | +381 | $22 | $51 | 6 | 07-11 14:42 |
| Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | +336 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 07-01 11:54 |
| Alarming-Romaine 0x846a…8166 | Yes | +200 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-08 08:49 |
| Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | +200 | $184 | $552 | 6 | 07-11 14:37 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +161 | $150 | $277 | 30 | 07-11 18:54 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | +156 | $139 | $139 | 1 | 06-08 14:29 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | +121 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 06-18 23:37 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +104 | $95 | $95 | 2 | 07-09 06:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x33cd…baf7 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-11 14:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x76c6…696f | No | +46 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 06-17 07:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | +41 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-22 21:21 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +40 | $5 | $23 | 32 | 07-23 10:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x184b…67b2 | Yes | +40 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-22 21:21 |
| Forked-Original 0x35a7…44f4 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-14 12:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 07-08 08:49 |
| Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | No | +20 | $18 | $55 | 3 | 06-26 22:39 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | +20 | $18 | $20 | 3 | 05-31 14:33 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +20 | $15 | $35 | 4 | 07-01 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-17 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:24 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +12 | $1 | $17 | 8 | 07-05 10:16 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $42 | 25 | 07-23 10:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1700…b560 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 13:31 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 17:53 |
| Relieved-Return 0x8f20…875c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-20 13:08 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-05 22:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xf71d…d9c3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 07:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 10:26:16 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x800850… |
| 07-23 10:26:16 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x800850… |
| 07-22 21:21:39 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xae4af3… |
| 07-22 21:21:39 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xae4af3… |
| 07-22 21:21:39 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xee3eef… |
| 07-22 21:21:39 | (anonymous) 0x184b…67b2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xee3eef… |
| 07-22 21:07:15 | (anonymous) 0x184b…67b2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8a5552… |
| 07-22 21:07:15 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8a5552… |
| 07-22 21:07:13 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfbc283… |
| 07-22 21:07:13 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfbc283… |
| 07-21 05:24:18 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc948f3… |
| 07-21 05:24:18 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc948f3… |
| 07-20 20:18:45 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x054c5d… |
| 07-20 20:18:45 | (anonymous) 0x5779…168d | No | SELL | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x054c5d… |
| 07-18 17:28:22 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xe2ad10… |
| 07-18 17:28:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 43 | 93¢ | $40 | 0xe2ad10… |
| 07-17 22:43:58 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9de516… |
| 07-17 22:43:58 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9de516… |
| 07-14 12:02:46 | Forked-Original 0x35a7…44f4 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd3aa2d… |
| 07-14 12:02:46 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xd3aa2d… |
| 07-13 15:58:13 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x189625… |
| 07-13 15:58:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x189625… |
| 07-11 18:54:17 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xc2245e… |
| 07-11 18:54:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xc2245e… |
| 07-11 18:54:17 | (anonymous) 0xac74…cc6e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc2245e… |
| 07-11 18:01:37 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0xdbf236… |
| 07-11 18:01:37 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xdbf236… |
| 07-11 18:01:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 45 | 93¢ | $42 | 0xdbf236… |
| 07-11 15:29:49 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x59e741… |
| 07-11 15:29:49 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x59e741… |
| 07-11 14:42:25 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 7¢ | $21 | 0xc42bb9… |
| 07-11 14:42:25 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 7¢ | $21 | 0xc42bb9… |
| 07-11 14:38:13 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x97179f… |
| 07-11 14:38:13 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 153 | 93¢ | $142 | 0x97179f… |
| 07-11 14:38:13 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 79 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x97179f… |
| 07-11 14:38:13 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x97179f… |
| 07-11 14:37:07 | Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x124fb4… |
| 07-11 14:37:07 | Witty-Teriyaki 0xacb1…1b1d | Yes | BUY | 503 | 6¢ | $30 | 0x124fb4… |
| 07-11 14:37:07 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x124fb4… |
| 07-11 14:37:07 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 73 | 94¢ | $68 | 0x124fb4… |
| 07-11 14:37:07 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x124fb4… |
| 07-11 14:37:07 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x124fb4… |
| 07-11 14:37:07 | (anonymous) 0x33cd…baf7 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x124fb4… |
| 07-10 22:02:29 | (anonymous) 0xdb2d…1dc7 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x65ced9… |
| 07-10 22:02:29 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0x65ced9… |
| 07-09 17:32:46 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xf425eb… |
| 07-09 17:32:46 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xf425eb… |
| 07-09 06:56:49 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd2a548… |
| 07-09 06:56:49 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd2a548… |
| 07-08 12:02:29 | (anonymous) 0x320a…781e | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xb3aa17… |
| 07-08 12:02:29 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb3aa17… |
| 07-08 08:49:40 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb1cbd2… |
| 07-08 08:49:40 | Alarming-Romaine 0x846a…8166 | Yes | BUY | 197 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xb1cbd2… |
| 07-08 08:49:40 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 47 | 95¢ | $45 | 0xb1cbd2… |
| 07-08 08:49:40 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb1cbd2… |
| 07-08 08:49:40 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 284 | 5¢ | $14 | 0xb1cbd2… |
| 07-08 08:49:40 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb1cbd2… |
| 07-08 01:06:05 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x1acb89… |
| 07-08 01:06:05 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x1acb89… |
| 07-08 01:05:56 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xa8c152… |
| 07-08 01:05:56 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xa8c152… |
| 07-08 01:05:56 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 8¢ | $10 | 0xa8c152… |
| 07-08 01:05:56 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xa8c152… |
| 07-08 01:05:56 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xa8c152… |
| 07-07 22:02:20 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x2e5a97… |
| 07-07 22:02:20 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x2e5a97… |
| 07-06 18:07:59 | Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | SELL | 99 | 91¢ | $90 | 0x60a737… |
| 07-06 18:07:59 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 99 | 91¢ | $90 | 0x60a737… |
| 07-05 10:16:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa87dfe… |
| 07-05 10:16:07 | (anonymous) 0x30f8…4a66 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa87dfe… |
| 07-04 13:31:02 | (anonymous) 0x1700…b560 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb796e5… |
| 07-04 13:31:02 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xb796e5… |
| 07-03 09:06:40 | (anonymous) 0x30f8…4a66 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe4448c… |
| 07-03 09:06:40 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe4448c… |
| 07-02 10:39:46 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5372fa… |
| 07-02 10:39:46 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x5372fa… |
| 07-02 10:39:43 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x80a4f8… |
| 07-02 10:39:43 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x80a4f8… |
| 07-02 10:39:41 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x9dbd47… |
| 07-02 10:39:41 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x9dbd47… |
| 07-02 10:39:40 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x9b35d5… |
| 07-02 10:39:40 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x9b35d5… |
| 07-02 10:39:37 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x21fcb7… |
| 07-02 10:39:37 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x21fcb7… |
| 07-02 10:39:34 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 18 | 90¢ | $17 | 0x1f8435… |
| 07-02 10:39:34 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x1f8435… |
| 07-02 10:39:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x1f8435… |
| 07-02 10:38:55 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x18f927… |
| 07-02 10:38:55 | (anonymous) 0xac74…cc6e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x18f927… |
| 07-02 10:38:55 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x18f927… |
| 07-02 10:38:55 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x18f927… |
| 07-02 10:38:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 60 | 88¢ | $53 | 0x18f927… |
| 07-02 10:38:55 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 561 | 89¢ | $500 | 0x18f927… |
| 07-02 10:38:55 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x18f927… |
| 07-02 06:00:29 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xe9c07e… |
| 07-02 06:00:29 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xe9c07e… |
| 07-02 05:11:31 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x22f44d… |
| 07-02 05:11:31 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x22f44d… |
| 07-01 22:45:35 | (anonymous) 0xac74…cc6e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x84a464… |
| 07-01 22:45:35 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x84a464… |