Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$26,873
Trades
1,140
Unique wallets
185
Liquidity
$17,607
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-02-01
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-20 21:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.6¢
(top1%: 9% YES on $2.8K
vs crowd: 12% YES on $12.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 46 | $641 | $5.8K | $5.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 51 | $290 | $4.3K | $4.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 44 | $189 | $135 | +$54 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 44 | $266 | $340 | $74 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 27 | $253 | $2.6K | $2.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $223 | $660 | $437 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $2 | $38 | $35 |
| Median | 18 | $5 | $224 | $219 |
| Below median | 29 | $54 | $156 | $102 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 15 | $40 | $96 | $56 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 22 | $139 | $389 | $250 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 45 | $570 | $6.5K | $5.9K |
| unranked | 1 | $100 | — | +$100 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x7b7a…5790 | Yes | +1,330 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-26 22:36 |
| Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | +1,048 | $22 | $88 | 30 | 09-26 08:08 |
| Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | +943 | $800 | $800 | 2 | 07-01 11:54 |
| Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | +545 | $11 | $16 | 7 | 09-30 13:23 |
| Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | +516 | $63 | $63 | 5 | 06-09 20:14 |
| Witty-Teriyaki 0xacb1…1b1d | Yes | +503 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-11 14:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | No | +500 | $489 | $489 | 1 | 09-28 08:23 |
| Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | +406 | $26 | $41 | 3 | 08-05 17:30 |
| Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | +357 | $59 | $79 | 3 | 06-06 00:27 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +308 | $285 | $285 | 3 | 09-21 01:30 |
| Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | +293 | $25 | $33 | 34 | 09-13 00:36 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +274 | $18 | $18 | 10 | 10-02 16:20 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +271 | $251 | $590 | 79 | 09-28 08:33 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +241 | $15 | $52 | 86 | 09-28 08:49 |
| Winged-Layer 0x54db…0174 | Yes | +207 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-19 19:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | +200 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 08-06 04:33 |
| Alarming-Romaine 0x846a…8166 | Yes | +200 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-08 08:49 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +191 | $171 | $190 | 9 | 10-03 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | +183 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-20 21:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c0b…f0fb | No | +150 | $137 | $137 | 5 | 09-11 20:40 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +138 | $13 | $39 | 8 | 09-26 08:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x5787…5a48 | Yes | +127 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-29 21:17 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | +121 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 06-18 23:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xfadb…5645 | Yes | +100 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-30 13:23 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +96 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-26 08:06 |
| Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | +93 | $2 | $16 | 9 | 10-20 21:29 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +50 | -$4 | $33 | 9 | 10-17 19:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 12 | 09-26 09:40 |
| Unsung-Bamboo 0xb1b7…0373 | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-31 10:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x33cd…baf7 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-11 14:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 09-21 10:28 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | +40 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 09-27 18:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | No | +40 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 09-21 10:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +37 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-26 08:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ff4…17d1 | Yes | +28 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-05 09:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-08 19:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-08 19:01 |
| Neat-Derivation 0xed3c…8ae5 | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 18:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 09-13 09:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-13 09:41 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | +20 | $18 | $20 | 3 | 05-31 14:33 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 09-14 10:45 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +17 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 16:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xb06c…b574 | No | +7 | $2 | $236 | 3 | 10-17 19:33 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 08-27 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x9184…de17 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-13 09:41 |
| Relieved-Return 0x8f20…875c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-20 13:08 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +2 | $2 | $11 | 2 | 05-03 12:14 |
| Polite-Mineral 0xf069…a846 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-30 01:04 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | +2 | $2 | $171 | 9 | 07-07 22:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe91…4cd3 | No | +1 | $2 | $73 | 16 | 09-21 01:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 21:29:48 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 164 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x3dcf19… |
| 10-20 21:29:48 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3dcf19… |
| 10-20 21:29:48 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 164 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x3dcf19… |
| 10-20 21:29:27 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 164 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xddb913… |
| 10-20 21:29:27 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | SELL | 164 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xddb913… |
| 10-19 16:49:23 | Avaricious-Pickle 0x7d02…8c95 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x412a08… |
| 10-19 16:49:23 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x412a08… |
| 10-17 19:33:27 | (anonymous) 0xb06c…b574 | No | SELL | 120 | 97¢ | $117 | 0x7b5adb… |
| 10-17 19:33:27 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x7b5adb… |
| 10-17 19:33:23 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 469 | 3¢ | $14 | 0x508ae8… |
| 10-17 19:33:23 | Buzzing-Profession 0x4518…1cac | No | SELL | 469 | 97¢ | $456 | 0x508ae8… |
| 10-11 02:26:21 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | SELL | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0x8e9f13… |
| 10-11 02:26:21 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8e9f13… |
| 10-08 19:01:51 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | SELL | 240 | 98¢ | $235 | 0x15bd10… |
| 10-08 19:01:51 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 240 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x15bd10… |
| 10-08 19:01:41 | Honored-Satellite 0x6131…fd16 | Yes | SELL | 4,395 | 2¢ | $88 | 0xbb29e2… |
| 10-08 19:01:41 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | SELL | 4,395 | 98¢ | $4,307 | 0xbb29e2… |
| 10-08 19:01:24 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0xfa06d6… |
| 10-08 19:01:24 | (anonymous) 0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdccb6f… |
| 10-08 19:01:24 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | SELL | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0xfa06d6… |
| 10-08 19:01:24 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xdccb6f… |
| 10-08 19:01:24 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 240 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xdccb6f… |
| 10-08 19:01:24 | Honored-Satellite 0x6131…fd16 | Yes | SELL | 846 | 2¢ | $18 | 0xdccb6f… |
| 10-08 19:01:24 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 571 | 2¢ | $12 | 0xdccb6f… |
| 10-08 12:44:26 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3f2101… |
| 10-08 12:44:26 | Ambitious-Optimist 0x9f60…3a16 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3f2101… |
| 10-08 11:54:38 | (anonymous) 0x5212…3a52 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x56a286… |
| 10-08 11:54:38 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x56a286… |
| 10-05 02:30:34 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x0746e7… |
| 10-05 02:30:34 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0746e7… |
| 10-03 21:43:07 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5dc4bc… |
| 10-03 21:43:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 96 | 97¢ | $94 | 0x5dc4bc… |
| 10-03 21:43:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 65 | 97¢ | $63 | 0x5dc4bc… |
| 10-03 14:38:51 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8dfa28… |
| 10-03 14:38:51 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8dfa28… |
| 10-02 16:20:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x4028f7… |
| 10-02 16:20:42 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | SELL | 65 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x4028f7… |
| 09-30 13:23:59 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x4f2145… |
| 09-30 13:23:59 | (anonymous) 0xfadb…5645 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x4f2145… |
| 09-30 13:23:59 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 70 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x4f2145… |
| 09-29 21:24:50 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x66b651… |
| 09-29 21:24:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x66b651… |
| 09-29 21:24:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x66b651… |
| 09-28 10:01:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0xc85779… |
| 09-28 10:01:56 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc85779… |
| 09-28 10:01:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x103195… |
| 09-28 10:01:06 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x103195… |
| 09-28 09:05:15 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcd9bb9… |
| 09-28 09:05:15 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcd9bb9… |
| 09-28 09:02:42 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc10136… |
| 09-28 09:02:42 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc10136… |
| 09-28 09:02:42 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc10136… |
| 09-28 09:02:29 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0886af… |
| 09-28 09:02:29 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x0886af… |
| 09-28 09:02:02 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x7f09cf… |
| 09-28 09:02:02 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7f09cf… |
| 09-28 09:00:24 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xaf5d35… |
| 09-28 09:00:24 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | BUY | 164 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xaf5d35… |
| 09-28 09:00:24 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 104 | 98¢ | $103 | 0xaf5d35… |
| 09-28 08:59:33 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x64e73e… |
| 09-28 08:59:33 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x64e73e… |
| 09-28 08:59:32 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x35ddce… |
| 09-28 08:59:32 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x35ddce… |
| 09-28 08:59:32 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x35ddce… |
| 09-28 08:54:21 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x12578d… |
| 09-28 08:54:21 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x12578d… |
| 09-28 08:50:18 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x44c488… |
| 09-28 08:50:18 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x44c488… |
| 09-28 08:49:23 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaecdd0… |
| 09-28 08:49:23 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xaecdd0… |
| 09-28 08:49:23 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xaecdd0… |
| 09-28 08:47:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2d86df… |
| 09-28 08:47:24 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2d86df… |
| 09-28 08:45:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x03b390… |
| 09-28 08:45:35 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x03b390… |
| 09-28 08:44:03 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa7747d… |
| 09-28 08:44:03 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa7747d… |
| 09-28 08:44:03 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa7747d… |
| 09-28 08:38:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xa63236… |
| 09-28 08:38:35 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa63236… |
| 09-28 08:38:35 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa63236… |
| 09-28 08:33:27 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x662e28… |
| 09-28 08:33:27 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x662e28… |
| 09-28 08:24:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xe391fb… |
| 09-28 08:24:38 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 12 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xe391fb… |
| 09-28 08:24:35 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x359e42… |
| 09-28 08:24:35 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | SELL | 27 | 98¢ | $26 | 0x359e42… |
| 09-28 08:24:35 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 12 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x359e42… |
| 09-28 08:24:33 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 27 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc1e2af… |
| 09-28 08:24:33 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 27 | 98¢ | $26 | 0xc1e2af… |
| 09-28 08:23:39 | Purple-Yarn 0x7c9e…db3d | Yes | BUY | 594 | 2¢ | $13 | 0x84f124… |
| 09-28 08:23:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x84f124… |
| 09-28 08:23:39 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x84f124… |
| 09-28 08:23:39 | (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | No | BUY | 500 | 98¢ | $489 | 0x84f124… |
| 09-27 18:07:33 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x655bad… |
| 09-27 18:07:33 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x655bad… |
| 09-27 13:38:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 26 | 98¢ | $26 | 0x063c11… |
| 09-27 13:38:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x063c11… |
| 09-27 13:38:27 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | SELL | 89 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x063c11… |
| 09-27 13:16:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xac0040… |