Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$10,667
$365 in 24h
Trades
525
Unique wallets
101
Liquidity
$965
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-01-10
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-12 15:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+82.1¢
(top1%: 93% YES on $107
vs crowd: 11% YES on $6.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $152 | $3.3K | $3.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 22 | $243 | $1.8K | $1.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 29 | $126 | $427 | $301 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $159 | $139 | +$21 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $99 | $8 | +$92 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $7 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $46 | $2.0K | $2.0K |
| Median | 5 | $45 | $4 | +$40 |
| Below median | 13 | $100 | $509 | $409 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $88 | $1.0K | $958 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $1 | $465 | $464 |
| unranked | 47 | $294 | $285 | +$9 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | +1,525 | $1,341 | $2,403 | 8 | 07-02 10:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b7a…5790 | Yes | +1,330 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-26 22:36 |
| Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | +516 | $63 | $63 | 5 | 06-09 20:14 |
| Witty-Teriyaki 0xacb1…1b1d | Yes | +503 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-11 14:37 |
| Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | +464 | $9 | $14 | 4 | 06-11 17:53 |
| Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | +406 | $26 | $41 | 3 | 08-05 17:30 |
| Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | +336 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 07-01 11:54 |
| Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | +329 | $29 | $29 | 31 | 08-06 11:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | +200 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 08-06 04:33 |
| Alarming-Romaine 0x846a…8166 | Yes | +200 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-08 08:49 |
| Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | +200 | $184 | $552 | 6 | 07-11 14:37 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | +165 | $153 | $318 | 40 | 08-06 07:50 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | +156 | $139 | $139 | 1 | 06-08 14:29 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +136 | $12 | $29 | 51 | 08-12 05:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5787…5a48 | Yes | +127 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-29 21:17 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | +121 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 06-18 23:37 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +104 | $95 | $95 | 2 | 07-09 06:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | +84 | $6 | $9 | 5 | 08-12 05:00 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | +62 | $7 | $47 | 28 | 08-12 09:30 |
| Unsung-Bamboo 0xb1b7…0373 | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-31 10:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x33cd…baf7 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-11 14:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x76c6…696f | No | +46 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 06-17 07:25 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +27 | $24 | $309 | 19 | 08-12 15:13 |
| Forked-Original 0x35a7…44f4 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-14 12:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 07-08 08:49 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | +20 | $18 | $20 | 3 | 05-31 14:33 |
| Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | No | +20 | $18 | $55 | 3 | 06-26 22:39 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +20 | $15 | $35 | 4 | 07-01 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1700…b560 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 13:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe91…4cd3 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 08-05 17:30 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 17:53 |
| Relieved-Return 0x8f20…875c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-20 13:08 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-05 22:48 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +4 | $-0 | $21 | 14 | 08-12 12:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc03…a759 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-03 20:23 |
| Polite-Mineral 0xf069…a846 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-30 01:04 |
| Best-Dot 0x0d42…f124 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-06 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xf71d…d9c3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 07:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 15:13:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x10c5b2… |
| 08-12 15:13:10 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x10c5b2… |
| 08-12 12:10:30 | (anonymous) 0x980c…e98b | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xc4026e… |
| 08-12 12:10:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc4026e… |
| 08-12 09:30:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xd60dc9… |
| 08-12 09:30:36 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd60dc9… |
| 08-12 05:00:58 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0b4771… |
| 08-12 05:00:58 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x0b4771… |
| 08-12 05:00:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 7 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x0b4771… |
| 08-12 05:00:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x0b4771… |
| 08-06 19:18:03 | Acceptable-Alteration 0x4ab2…aa6c | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x5793a6… |
| 08-06 19:18:03 | Best-Dot 0x0d42…f124 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x5793a6… |
| 08-06 18:48:18 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc50a5a… |
| 08-06 18:48:18 | Acceptable-Alteration 0x4ab2…aa6c | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xc50a5a… |
| 08-06 11:37:50 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8bc580… |
| 08-06 11:37:50 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8bc580… |
| 08-06 09:36:24 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x20c4fa… |
| 08-06 09:36:24 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x20c4fa… |
| 08-06 07:51:26 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc447f0… |
| 08-06 07:51:26 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc447f0… |
| 08-06 07:51:26 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x73eb0c… |
| 08-06 07:51:26 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x73eb0c… |
| 08-06 07:51:17 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe2f928… |
| 08-06 07:51:17 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe2f928… |
| 08-06 07:51:06 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe547fd… |
| 08-06 07:51:06 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe547fd… |
| 08-06 07:50:59 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x8b5ef5… |
| 08-06 07:50:59 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x8b5ef5… |
| 08-06 07:50:50 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x9d9719… |
| 08-06 07:50:50 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x9d9719… |
| 08-06 07:50:41 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x318143… |
| 08-06 07:50:41 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x318143… |
| 08-06 07:50:30 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7c9149… |
| 08-06 07:50:30 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7c9149… |
| 08-06 07:50:21 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $3 | 0xf784cc… |
| 08-06 07:50:21 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf784cc… |
| 08-06 07:50:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0xf784cc… |
| 08-06 07:50:11 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0603ed… |
| 08-06 07:50:11 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0603ed… |
| 08-06 07:50:02 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x764ed1… |
| 08-06 07:50:02 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x764ed1… |
| 08-06 07:49:51 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x377438… |
| 08-06 07:49:51 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x377438… |
| 08-06 07:42:08 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8f55ca… |
| 08-06 07:42:08 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8f55ca… |
| 08-06 07:41:59 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x6605b6… |
| 08-06 07:41:59 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x6605b6… |
| 08-06 07:41:48 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9e8dbd… |
| 08-06 07:41:48 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9e8dbd… |
| 08-06 07:41:38 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x564413… |
| 08-06 07:41:38 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x564413… |
| 08-06 07:41:27 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2bbd19… |
| 08-06 07:41:27 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2bbd19… |
| 08-06 07:41:17 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xff0448… |
| 08-06 07:41:17 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xff0448… |
| 08-06 07:41:08 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xc11479… |
| 08-06 07:41:08 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xc11479… |
| 08-06 07:40:57 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xec0d31… |
| 08-06 07:40:57 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xec0d31… |
| 08-06 07:40:48 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x29edeb… |
| 08-06 07:40:48 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x29edeb… |
| 08-06 07:40:38 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xcaa637… |
| 08-06 07:40:38 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xcaa637… |
| 08-06 07:40:26 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe78730… |
| 08-06 07:40:26 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe78730… |
| 08-06 07:40:17 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8d953c… |
| 08-06 07:40:17 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8d953c… |
| 08-06 07:40:06 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9ca1c1… |
| 08-06 07:40:06 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x9ca1c1… |
| 08-06 07:39:56 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb0a1c1… |
| 08-06 07:39:56 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb0a1c1… |
| 08-06 07:39:47 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x5cfe8e… |
| 08-06 07:39:47 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x5cfe8e… |
| 08-06 07:39:38 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb41cb0… |
| 08-06 07:39:38 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb41cb0… |
| 08-06 07:39:29 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd2766a… |
| 08-06 07:39:29 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd2766a… |
| 08-06 07:39:18 | Energetic-Mansion 0xc185…7020 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x845bf6… |
| 08-06 07:39:18 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x845bf6… |
| 08-06 04:33:47 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 130 | 8¢ | $10 | 0x375298… |
| 08-06 04:33:47 | (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 8¢ | $10 | 0x375298… |
| 08-05 20:44:26 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x37c65c… |
| 08-05 20:44:26 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x37c65c… |
| 08-05 20:39:05 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x226a98… |
| 08-05 20:39:05 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x226a98… |
| 08-05 20:34:05 | (anonymous) 0xf17d…6f86 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xefd961… |
| 08-05 20:34:05 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xefd961… |
| 08-05 17:37:12 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xf79976… |
| 08-05 17:37:12 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xf79976… |
| 08-05 17:37:08 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xcb62b9… |
| 08-05 17:37:08 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 26 | 92¢ | $24 | 0xcb62b9… |
| 08-05 17:31:50 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6d487f… |
| 08-05 17:31:50 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x6d487f… |
| 08-05 17:30:39 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x87846d… |
| 08-05 17:30:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x87846d… |
| 08-05 17:30:38 | (anonymous) 0xfe91…4cd3 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xf26771… |
| 08-05 17:30:38 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xf26771… |
| 08-05 17:30:38 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xf26771… |
| 08-05 17:30:38 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xf26771… |
| 08-05 17:30:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0xf26771… |