Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$9,179
$365 in 24h
Trades
314
Unique wallets
72
Liquidity
$965
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-01-10
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-06 18:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+82.3¢
(top1%: 91% YES on $86
vs crowd: 9% YES on $5.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $114 | $3.1K | $3.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $210 | $1.3K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $33 | $402 | $369 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $114 | $95 | +$19 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $78 | $8 | +$70 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | — | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $45 | $2.0K | $1.9K |
| Median | 3 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Below median | 7 | $33 | $213 | $180 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $84 | $902 | $818 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $1 | $365 | $364 |
| unranked | 29 | $226 | $176 | +$50 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | +1,525 | $1,341 | $2,403 | 8 | 07-02 10:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b7a…5790 | Yes | +1,330 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-26 22:36 |
| Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | +516 | $63 | $63 | 5 | 06-09 20:14 |
| Ecstatic-Longitude 0xa579…aad0 | Yes | +464 | $9 | $14 | 4 | 06-11 17:53 |
| Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | +336 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 07-01 11:54 |
| Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | +234 | $27 | $51 | 21 | 07-03 09:06 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | +206 | $11 | $20 | 4 | 07-01 12:35 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935 | No | +156 | $139 | $139 | 1 | 06-08 14:29 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | Yes | +121 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 06-18 23:37 |
| Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | +100 | $89 | $457 | 5 | 07-06 18:07 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +99 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 07-06 18:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x76c6…696f | No | +46 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 06-17 07:25 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | +20 | $18 | $20 | 3 | 05-31 14:33 |
| Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | No | +20 | $18 | $55 | 3 | 06-26 22:39 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +20 | $15 | $35 | 4 | 07-01 10:12 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +12 | $1 | $17 | 8 | 07-05 10:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xac74…cc6e | Yes | +12 | $1 | $4 | 6 | 07-02 10:38 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $36 | 20 | 06-25 13:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x1700…b560 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 13:31 |
| Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $21 | 27 | 07-01 22:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-25 23:03 |
| Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-05 12:59 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 17:53 |
| Relieved-Return 0x8f20…875c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-20 13:08 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-05 22:48 |
| Alarming-Romaine 0x846a…8166 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-17 19:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xf71d…d9c3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 07:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 18:07:59 | Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | SELL | 99 | 91¢ | $90 | 0x60a737… |
| 07-06 18:07:59 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 99 | 91¢ | $90 | 0x60a737… |
| 07-05 10:16:07 | (anonymous) 0x30f8…4a66 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa87dfe… |
| 07-05 10:16:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa87dfe… |
| 07-04 13:31:02 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xb796e5… |
| 07-04 13:31:02 | (anonymous) 0x1700…b560 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb796e5… |
| 07-03 09:06:40 | (anonymous) 0x30f8…4a66 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe4448c… |
| 07-03 09:06:40 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe4448c… |
| 07-02 10:39:46 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5372fa… |
| 07-02 10:39:46 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x5372fa… |
| 07-02 10:39:43 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x80a4f8… |
| 07-02 10:39:43 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x80a4f8… |
| 07-02 10:39:41 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x9dbd47… |
| 07-02 10:39:41 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x9dbd47… |
| 07-02 10:39:40 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x9b35d5… |
| 07-02 10:39:40 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x9b35d5… |
| 07-02 10:39:37 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x21fcb7… |
| 07-02 10:39:37 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x21fcb7… |
| 07-02 10:39:34 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 18 | 90¢ | $17 | 0x1f8435… |
| 07-02 10:39:34 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x1f8435… |
| 07-02 10:39:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x1f8435… |
| 07-02 10:38:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 60 | 88¢ | $53 | 0x18f927… |
| 07-02 10:38:55 | (anonymous) 0xac74…cc6e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x18f927… |
| 07-02 10:38:55 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x18f927… |
| 07-02 10:38:55 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 561 | 89¢ | $500 | 0x18f927… |
| 07-02 10:38:55 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x18f927… |
| 07-02 10:38:55 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x18f927… |
| 07-02 10:38:55 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x18f927… |
| 07-02 06:00:29 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xe9c07e… |
| 07-02 06:00:29 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xe9c07e… |
| 07-02 05:11:31 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x22f44d… |
| 07-02 05:11:31 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x22f44d… |
| 07-01 22:45:35 | (anonymous) 0xac74…cc6e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x84a464… |
| 07-01 22:45:35 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x84a464… |
| 07-01 22:30:40 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x4f53fe… |
| 07-01 22:30:40 | (anonymous) 0xac74…cc6e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x4f53fe… |
| 07-01 21:58:35 | (anonymous) 0xac74…cc6e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x987718… |
| 07-01 21:58:35 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x987718… |
| 07-01 13:06:29 | (anonymous) 0xac74…cc6e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa702af… |
| 07-01 13:06:29 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 86 | 89¢ | $77 | 0xa702af… |
| 07-01 13:06:29 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 95 | 11¢ | $10 | 0xa702af… |
| 07-01 12:35:37 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x75ce22… |
| 07-01 12:35:37 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x75ce22… |
| 07-01 11:54:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 21 | 89¢ | $19 | 0xc9c8f7… |
| 07-01 11:54:34 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc9c8f7… |
| 07-01 11:54:34 | Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | BUY | 336 | 89¢ | $300 | 0xc9c8f7… |
| 07-01 11:54:34 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xc9c8f7… |
| 07-01 11:54:34 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 285 | 89¢ | $255 | 0xc9c8f7… |
| 07-01 10:12:14 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xbf9e45… |
| 07-01 10:12:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0xbf9e45… |
| 07-01 10:12:14 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 42 | 89¢ | $37 | 0xbf9e45… |
| 07-01 10:12:14 | Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | SELL | 63 | 11¢ | $7 | 0xbf9e45… |
| 06-28 14:51:52 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | SELL | 19 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x723a85… |
| 06-28 14:51:52 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 19 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x723a85… |
| 06-28 13:16:59 | (anonymous) 0x5605…23fe | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x8b51fd… |
| 06-28 13:16:59 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | SELL | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x8b51fd… |
| 06-28 10:00:46 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x37cdb1… |
| 06-28 10:00:46 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x37cdb1… |
| 06-28 09:55:46 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x44490a… |
| 06-28 09:55:46 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x44490a… |
| 06-28 09:50:37 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xba7bc6… |
| 06-28 09:50:37 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xba7bc6… |
| 06-28 09:50:37 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xba7bc6… |
| 06-28 07:38:16 | Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | BUY | 91 | 88¢ | $81 | 0x18a526… |
| 06-28 07:38:16 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 91 | 88¢ | $81 | 0x18a526… |
| 06-28 00:00:41 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x5be613… |
| 06-28 00:00:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x5be613… |
| 06-28 00:00:38 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | SELL | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0x5aeaaf… |
| 06-28 00:00:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0x5aeaaf… |
| 06-27 13:57:41 | Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x823f2e… |
| 06-27 13:57:41 | (anonymous) 0x5605…23fe | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x823f2e… |
| 06-26 22:40:55 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x94e6de… |
| 06-26 22:40:55 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x94e6de… |
| 06-26 22:40:55 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | BUY | 45 | 90¢ | $40 | 0x94e6de… |
| 06-26 22:39:20 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x3fc880… |
| 06-26 22:39:20 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x3fc880… |
| 06-26 22:39:20 | Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x3fc880… |
| 06-26 22:39:20 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 229 | 90¢ | $207 | 0x3fc880… |
| 06-26 22:39:20 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x3fc880… |
| 06-26 22:39:20 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 91¢ | $73 | 0x3fc880… |
| 06-26 22:38:37 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 53 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xd44954… |
| 06-26 22:38:37 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 53 | 91¢ | $48 | 0xd44954… |
| 06-26 22:36:50 | Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | SELL | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x75b6d1… |
| 06-26 22:36:50 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 44 | 94¢ | $41 | 0x75b6d1… |
| 06-26 22:36:50 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 144 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x75b6d1… |
| 06-26 22:36:02 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0xf454f0… |
| 06-26 22:36:02 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | No | BUY | 27 | 92¢ | $25 | 0xf454f0… |
| 06-26 22:36:02 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | BUY | 369 | 92¢ | $340 | 0xf454f0… |
| 06-26 22:36:02 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 160 | 92¢ | $148 | 0xf454f0… |
| 06-26 22:36:02 | Small-Blowhole 0xb24c…eefe | No | BUY | 200 | 93¢ | $186 | 0xf454f0… |
| 06-26 22:36:02 | (anonymous) 0x7b7a…5790 | Yes | BUY | 1,330 | 8¢ | $100 | 0xf454f0… |
| 06-26 22:36:02 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0xf454f0… |
| 06-26 22:36:02 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xf454f0… |
| 06-26 22:36:02 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 294 | 93¢ | $273 | 0xf454f0… |
| 06-25 23:03:29 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc15595… |
| 06-25 23:03:29 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 45 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xc15595… |
| 06-25 23:03:29 | Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xc15595… |
| 06-25 23:03:29 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc15595… |
| 06-25 23:03:29 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xc15595… |
| 06-25 13:02:10 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x006e8c… |