Realized P&L
+$521
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
77.8%
Resolved
72
Trades
136
lifetime
Volume
$778
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$32
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 10-27 11:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Politics
72% 33% +$498
Other
14% 19% +$2
Sports
7% 31% +$54
Crypto
6% 19% -$33
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +30 $5 18¢ $6 +$1 08-24 07:04
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +76 $4 6¢ $4 +$1 10-13 02:36
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +42 $7 10¢ $4 -$3 07-29 10:02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +72 $7 6¢ $4 -$3 08-24 16:27
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +83 $6 5¢ $4 -$2 08-03 01:02
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +103 $8 3¢ $3 -$5 10-26 23:13
iran coup attempt by december 31 Yes +20 $3 8¢ $2 -$1 07-23 01:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +40 $3 4¢ $2 -$2 07-23 23:24
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +20 $2 5¢ $1 -$1 07-30 12:23
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes +50 $3 2¢ $1 -$3 07-31 10:34
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1 $1 58¢ $1 $0 06-02 00:16
Macron out by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-23 00:54
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +10 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-23 11:33