Neat-Derivation 0xed3c0c…658ae5
new 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
35
lifetime
Volume
$35
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$30
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 13:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
77% 0% $-2
Politics
14% — —
Crypto
6% — —
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes +22 $1 19¢ $4 +$3 05-06 18:46
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country? Yes +100 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 05-06 18:51
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? Yes +100 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 05-06 19:00
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting? Yes +143 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 05-06 18:48
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? Yes +32 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 05-06 18:46
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +20 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 05-06 19:13
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +50 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 05-07 13:14
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 05-06 18:53
Human moon landing in 2026? Yes +26 $1 4¢ $1 $-0 05-06 19:03
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? Yes +8 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 05-06 19:15
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? Yes +67 $1 1¢ $1 $-0 05-06 19:14
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting? Yes +7 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 05-06 18:47
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +29 $1 3¢ $1 $-0 05-06 19:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? Yes +34 $1 3¢ $1 $-0 05-06 19:09
Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? Yes +91 $1 1¢ $1 $-0 05-06 19:10
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? Yes +111 $1 1¢ $1 $-0 05-06 19:10
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +29 $1 3¢ $1 $-0 05-06 19:04
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? Yes +59 $1 1¢ $1 $-0 05-06 19:15
Will Belgium be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $1 $-0 05-06 19:10
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? Yes +111 $1 1¢ $1 $-0 05-06 18:33
Will Georgia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +38 $1 2¢ $1 $-0 05-06 19:13
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting? Yes +250 $1 0¢ $1 $-0 05-07 13:10
Cerebras IPO before 2027? No +167 $1 0¢ $1 $-0 05-06 18:59
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +8 $1 8¢ $1 $-0 05-06 18:44
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting? Yes +200 $1 0¢ $1 $-0 05-06 18:44
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $0 $-0 05-06 18:54
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +167 $1 0¢ $0 $-0 05-06 19:04
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027? No +34 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 05-06 18:54
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting? Yes +88 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 05-06 18:45
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15? Yes +27 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 05-06 18:38