Realized P&L
-$77
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
13.4%
Resolved
158
Trades
190
lifetime
Volume
$230
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$5
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 08-24 09:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
52% 4% -$27
Politics
24% 9% -$7
Crypto
12% 0% -$26
Sports
8% 0% -$19
Tech
3% 50% +$3
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 05-06 18:40
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +14 $1 5¢ $1 $0 06-10 18:18
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? Yes +67 $1 1¢ $1 $0 05-06 19:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +7 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 05-06 18:52
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 06-10 18:17
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes +22 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-06 18:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +17 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-06 18:52
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes +11 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-07 14:02
Human moon landing in 2026? Yes +26 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 05-06 19:03
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? Yes +59 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-06 19:15
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +100 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-06 18:57
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? Yes +9 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-06 18:44
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +29 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-06 19:04