Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
open
Total volume
$2,821
$55,873 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$3,526,540
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $3 | $2.4K | $2.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 19 | $3 | $2.4K | $2.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frozen-Palace 0x8a66…b08a | No | +1,497 | $1,488 | $1,488 | 1 | 05-05 05:20 |
| Humiliating-Injunction 0x7e50…3912 | Yes | +429 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 19:17 |
| Messy-Friction 0x5323…38c5 | No | +192 | $191 | $191 | 1 | 05-05 02:50 |
| Only-Wallaby 0xee42…3604 | No | +142 | $141 | $141 | 1 | 05-05 04:05 |
| Slippery-Space 0xaa5e…2901 | No | +115 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 05-05 04:05 |
| Thorough-Oyster 0xf190…a022 | No | +88 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 05-05 05:04 |
| Humble-Remark 0x34c1…df43 | No | +76 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 05-05 19:43 |
| Waterlogged-Campaigning 0x6d02…1871 | No | +71 | $71 | $71 | 1 | 05-05 04:24 |
| Safe-Guacamole 0x6b6a…43b5 | No | +55 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-05 10:01 |
| Pleasant-Underestimate 0x169d…05f8 | No | +53 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 05-05 05:30 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-05 14:24 |
| Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 01:35 |
| Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | +2 | $2 | $9 | 4 | 05-05 19:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 21:35:04 | Spiffy-Province 0x546f…2972 | No | SELL | 133 | 99¢ | $132 | 0xc6a156… |
| 05-05 19:44:58 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xbcc967… |
| 05-05 19:43:00 | Humble-Remark 0x34c1…df43 | No | BUY | 76 | 99¢ | $76 | 0x9d90f4… |
| 05-05 19:17:58 | Humiliating-Injunction 0x7e50…3912 | Yes | BUY | 429 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x6cb297… |
| 05-05 18:42:44 | (anonymous) 0x4c5c…f81b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x38c0ce… |
| 05-05 15:17:18 | Brave-Yolk 0xefe6…6815 | No | SELL | 31 | 99¢ | $31 | 0x1112b9… |
| 05-05 14:32:28 | Detailed-Keep 0x5aed…38cd | No | SELL | 58 | 99¢ | $58 | 0x4b831c… |
| 05-05 14:24:48 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x75b94f… |
| 05-05 12:25:30 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xda5d5a… |
| 05-05 11:41:48 | Lopsided-Wisteria 0xc8a5…6994 | No | SELL | 138 | 99¢ | $137 | 0xdbdcb0… |
| 05-05 10:01:42 | Safe-Guacamole 0x6b6a…43b5 | No | BUY | 55 | 99¢ | $55 | 0x2dfe50… |
| 05-05 09:01:02 | Memorable-Planning 0xadec…3c7b | Yes | SELL | 5,500 | 1¢ | $33 | 0x4de845… |
| 05-05 08:40:08 | Unwelcome-Engagement 0xfece…ef64 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb45f25… |
| 05-05 07:36:08 | Unwelcome-Engagement 0xfece…ef64 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfdcc15… |
| 05-05 06:30:08 | Unwelcome-Engagement 0xfece…ef64 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb9c549… |
| 05-05 05:30:10 | Pleasant-Underestimate 0x169d…05f8 | No | BUY | 53 | 99¢ | $53 | 0xe72a04… |
| 05-05 05:20:22 | Frozen-Palace 0x8a66…b08a | No | BUY | 1,497 | 99¢ | $1,488 | 0x4ed671… |
| 05-05 05:04:52 | Thorough-Oyster 0xf190…a022 | No | BUY | 88 | 99¢ | $87 | 0xc7f7e8… |
| 05-05 04:24:58 | Waterlogged-Campaigning 0x6d02…1871 | No | BUY | 71 | 99¢ | $71 | 0x3c4828… |
| 05-05 04:05:10 | Slippery-Space 0xaa5e…2901 | No | BUY | 115 | 99¢ | $114 | 0x580663… |
| 05-05 04:05:06 | Lopsided-Wisteria 0xc8a5…6994 | No | BUY | 138 | 99¢ | $137 | 0x9c6090… |
| 05-05 04:05:06 | Only-Wallaby 0xee42…3604 | No | BUY | 142 | 99¢ | $141 | 0x47b4c2… |
| 05-05 03:30:08 | Unwelcome-Engagement 0xfece…ef64 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5436cf… |
| 05-05 02:50:26 | Messy-Friction 0x5323…38c5 | No | BUY | 192 | 99¢ | $191 | 0xccaf52… |
| 05-05 01:35:00 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xf5be2c… |
| 05-04 22:44:42 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6cc250… |
| 05-04 21:19:34 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x58d946… |
| 05-04 21:14:48 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x04c0e3… |