Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
6.4%
Resolved
4
Trades
477
lifetime
Volume
$1.47K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$36
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 06-09 23:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Sports
68% 67% $-0
Other
29% 100% +$0
Tech
2%
Politics
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? Yes +2 $2 95¢ $2 $-0 06-01 07:07
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? No +2 $2 70¢ $2 $-0 06-01 07:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $-0 06-05 04:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2 $2 77¢ $2 $-0 06-01 07:10
Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $-0 06-05 07:51
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 06-01 09:39
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $-0 06-07 02:56
Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +2 $1 93¢ $2 +$0 06-01 20:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 06-05 06:20
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-01 06:36
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +47 $1 $1 $-0 06-01 20:51
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 06-01 06:33
Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-01 09:11
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-01 07:10
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 06-07 02:05
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +6 $1 19¢ $1 +$0 06-02 20:23
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-01 06:33
Trump goes to space in 2026? Yes +30 $1 $1 $-0 06-01 08:21
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-07 02:03
OKX IPO in 2026? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 $-0 06-02 14:51
Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-07 20:45
Over $15M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-07 22:13
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? Yes +3 $1 31¢ $1 $-0 06-01 07:03
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-05 04:11
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 06-05 04:20
Will Haiti reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 $-0 06-07 02:22
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 $-0 06-01 09:48
Will Iraq reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 06-01 09:48
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam? Yes +5 $0 15¢ $1 +$1 06-01 17:51
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 06-01 07:11