Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
6.4%
Resolved
4
Trades
816
lifetime
Volume
$1.90K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$33
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 07-20 14:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Sports
56% 67% $-0
Other
40% 100% +$0
Tech
2%
Politics
1%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-01 07:07
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +2 $2 91¢ $2 +$0 07-08 06:32
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-17 04:09
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? No +2 $2 54¢ $1 $-0 06-01 07:03
Will the Golden State Valkyries make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 07-08 13:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2 $2 55¢ $1 $-1 06-01 07:10
Will the Miami Marlins win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 07-08 07:06
OKX IPO in 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-02 14:51
Will GBP/USD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-17 04:51
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-11 22:03
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-17 04:59
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-18 12:51
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-20 23:41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 07-13 20:58
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 07-18 05:10
ByteDance IPO before 2027? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 06-15 19:33
Will Alec Pierce be traded? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 06-18 04:32
Will the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 74.5 +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 07-09 21:58
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-20 05:50
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-20 04:31
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 07-20 00:43
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win more than 82.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 82.5 +1 $1 98¢ $1 $-0 06-19 21:17
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 07-19 19:20
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 $-0 07-09 22:58
Japan recession in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 07-08 17:15
Will the Athletics clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 07-18 23:23
Will the Chicago White Sox win more than 67.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 67.5 +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 07-19 19:20
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-01 09:48
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +6 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-02 20:23
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +47 $1 $1 $-1 06-01 20:51