Subdued-Ascot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.4%

Resolved

Trades

859

lifetime

Volume

$1.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 08-03 23:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

55% 67% $-0

Other

41% 100% +$0

Tech

2% — —

Politics

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
New York Yankees vs. Athletics	6	$280	141	140	+1	open	—	05-31 21:47
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	3	$242	122	121	+2	open	—	05-31 20:11
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	44	$138	78	61	+16	Thunder	$-0	05-12 04:47
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	12	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-31 20:28
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants	9	$28	15	13	+1	open	—	05-23 05:12
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	8	$24	11	13	-3	open	—	05-31 22:27
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	5	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	05-29 19:17
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	5	$13	7	6	+0	open	—	05-30 20:40
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	5	$13	6	7	-1	open	—	05-20 19:45
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	6	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	05-25 22:30
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	5	$13	7	6	+0	open	—	05-31 04:29
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	4	$12	6	5	+1	open	—	05-19 01:40
Wong vs. Tarvet: Match O/U 22.5	4	$10	11	9	+2	open	—	06-01 07:01
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	3	$10	6	5	+1	open	—	05-21 01:31
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	3	$10	5	4	+1	open	—	05-20 02:33
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?	5	$9	25	23	+1	open	—	06-12 18:10
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	3	$8	5	4	+1	open	—	05-27 01:39
will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-05 04:31
orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 10 2026 1pt96	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	06-05 04:03
Potapova vs. Kalinskaya: Match O/U 21.5	3	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	06-01 06:55
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	3	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	05-31 18:37
will yann bisseck score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$7	4	3	+0	open	—	06-05 04:07
will wti crude oil wti hit low 90 in june	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	06-05 06:07
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	06-07 02:06
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	07-08 06:31
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)	2	$7	13	12	+1	open	—	06-01 06:45
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies	3	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-31 03:32
2026 genesis scottish open top20 jordan gumberg	2	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	07-08 06:47
Will Haiti reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	06-07 02:22
itf pavlova amorim 2026 07 08	2	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	07-08 06:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 23:54:42	fr2 nan rst 2026 08 08 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc9a63b…
08-03 23:40:36	will abnb dip to 150 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5252d1…
08-03 22:58:11	elc por qpr 2026 08 15 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6294e3…
08-03 05:27:54	val nv2 nrg 2026 08 06	NRG	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc9e9b8…
08-02 23:03:50	mlb bos lad 2026 08 02 hr kyle tucker 1pt5	Under	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb397c0…
08-02 23:02:15	atp zakaria glinka 2026 08 03	Daniil Glinka	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xa85bf3…
08-02 23:02:06	atp zakaria glinka 2026 08 03	Daniil Glinka	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9f560b…
08-02 15:55:56	mlb wsh atl 2026 08 02 hr cj abrams 1pt5	Under	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3f5685…
08-02 15:54:17	mlb stl tor 2026 08 02 hr nathan church 1pt5	Under	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf7311…
08-02 01:58:05	clf lfc lee 2026 08 02 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3784df…
08-01 22:00:09	uel lep ki 2026 08 06 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd28b36…
08-01 19:06:02	argpn chi smt 2026 08 01 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe0d1a3…
08-01 19:03:08	lol kc th 2026 08 03	Karmine Corp	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb47299…
08-01 18:35:32	arg rie bar 2026 08 02 spread home 2pt5	CA Barracas Central	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9edabc…
08-01 16:55:53	saf1 sek dur 2026 08 01 first half total 2pt5	Under	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xda9fd4…
08-01 16:55:39	saf1 sek dur 2026 08 01 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x647259…
08-01 14:21:56	clf idn avl 2026 08 01 first half total 1pt5	Over	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x97ff3f…
08-01 14:21:39	clf idn avl 2026 08 01 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa37ca3…
08-01 07:24:45	per1 cag sba 2026 08 01 spread home 2pt5	Sport Boys Association	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x804c69…
08-01 06:11:36	clf tok bvb 2026 08 01 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x266ecd…
08-01 06:06:35	enl fgr hal 2026 08 08 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x73ff93…
08-01 06:06:05	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 7 2026 20260724221849638	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x472d4c…
07-31 23:52:41	clf gir ars 2026 08 01 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa678e5…
07-31 23:51:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd66dfe…
07-31 23:50:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4dd55c…
07-31 23:04:42	swe bro mal 2026 08 02 spread away 2pt5	IF Brommapojkarna	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4b2173…
07-31 21:38:27	arg est def 2026 08 01 corners total 12pt5	Under	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x78b318…
07-31 21:38:02	rou1 aog din 2026 07 31 first half total 2pt5	Under	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x645f10…
07-31 21:37:47	rou1 aog din 2026 07 31 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x292b1d…
07-31 20:42:33	clf gir ars 2026 08 01 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbeb845…
07-31 20:31:17	arg gye uni 2026 08 01 spread away 1pt5	CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xcf1867…
07-31 18:10:06	por gui aro 2026 08 08 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6db439…
07-31 18:09:35	will abnb dip to 132 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xadb615…
07-31 18:07:50	kor gwo bch 2026 08 01 corners total 12pt5	Under	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf45f93…
07-31 18:07:15	rou1 aog din 2026 07 31 first half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9c28c5…
07-31 18:06:54	arg pla tal 2026 08 03 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7a6d14…
07-31 18:06:39	arg pla tal 2026 08 03 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x828e7f…
07-30 22:26:44	swe ifk deg 2026 08 02 spread home 2pt5	Degerfors IF	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x96fa83…
07-30 22:26:15	will donald trump publicly insult someone on august 16 2026 20260724221849647	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xde40a0…
07-29 22:00:30	chi1 cdl cdu 2026 08 01 team total away 2pt5	Under	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xb2cd30…
07-29 21:59:48	chi1 cls ohf 2026 08 02 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x5375f2…
07-29 21:59:48	chi1 cdl cdu 2026 08 01 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x0a4e3a…
07-28 07:00:18	col dec rij 2026 07 30 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x840ed6…
07-20 14:36:45	Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xe8394e…
07-20 00:43:12	Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5d1706…
07-20 00:37:48	den sjs mid 2026 07 26 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbf942d…
07-20 00:20:45	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8d9165…
07-20 00:20:30	Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x027618…
07-20 00:09:18	will databricks valuation hit high 180b by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x36d424…
07-19 22:55:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x7bd238…
07-19 19:20:46	Will the Chicago White Sox win more than 67.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	O 67.5	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe3bcf0…
07-19 19:20:12	Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xefcf3b…
07-19 19:19:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 8pt5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7d9ce9…
07-19 19:19:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x10b44b…
07-19 19:18:37	wta abbagna burel 2026 07 20 first set winner Abbagnato vs Burel	Burel	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6d2bd3…
07-19 13:10:43	will jason koon make the final table in the 2026 wsop main event 20260706161820327	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b1494…
07-19 03:08:22	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 20 2026 20260630182730898	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x97821b…
07-19 01:10:48	lol t1 gen 2026 07 19 game1 both teams destroy inhibitors	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7f372c…
07-19 01:06:13	arg def ald 2026 07 23 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf81a6f…
07-19 01:05:10	will erik seidel make the final table in the 2026 wsop main event 20260706161820324	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d4873…
07-18 23:23:37	Will the Athletics clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xba9be6…
07-18 22:41:28	cs2 aur1 fokus 2026 07 23	Aurora Gaming	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3714fd…
07-18 22:01:30	will exequiel palacios miss a penalty in the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716175341442	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x882a54…
07-18 22:01:19	will exequiel palacios miss a penalty in the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716175341442	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9812ee…
07-18 21:39:43	bra cru bot 2026 07 26 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf9ed79…
07-18 20:14:15	will jerome powell be time person of the year 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc12fbe…
07-18 20:13:30	Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x36ec0d…
07-18 20:13:12	Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd7b1db…
07-18 05:12:33	will revoluts valuation hit high 110b by july 31 20260630204859524	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcf0968…
07-18 05:10:31	Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4fdc75…
07-18 02:48:07	kor jej gwo 2026 07 21 spread away 2pt5	Jeju SK FC	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9aa065…
07-18 02:20:33	arg new tal 2026 07 25 spread away 1pt5	CA Newell's Old Boys	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x46fa77…
07-17 20:33:18	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 shots harry kane gte5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd52d05…
07-17 20:31:52	2026 the open championship top10 sam stevens	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa239ad…
07-17 20:31:40	2026 the open championship top10 sam stevens	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x51c471…
07-16 22:54:53	itf mccormi syed 2026 07 16	Tristan Mccormick	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6c5b9a…
07-16 22:40:07	mls nas mim 2026 07 22 spread away 1pt5	Nashville SC	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa28ed2…
07-16 21:00:55	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 assists bukayo saka gte1	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb0c1a5…
07-16 20:02:50	bra2 goi rec 2026 07 22 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc8ea7b…
07-16 20:01:58	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9e22ac…
07-16 20:01:44	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf3cb46…
07-16 19:47:04	Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe0971d…
07-16 19:46:53	Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4ecffc…
07-14 21:16:08	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x631621…
07-14 21:15:50	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4e1194…
07-14 14:36:08	Will the Connecticut Sun make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x969643…
07-14 14:35:55	Will the Connecticut Sun make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x69640d…
07-13 21:05:44	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals plus assists noni madueke gte4	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x64b35e…
07-13 20:58:59	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x60e59e…
07-13 12:55:52	swe hif deg 2026 07 19 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5e1d6a…
07-12 21:54:53	uel fcu dyn 2026 07 16 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6faae9…
07-12 21:41:56	mlb tor sd 2026 07 12 k kevin gausman 3pt5	Over	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x484119…
07-12 21:41:47	mlb tor sd 2026 07 12 k kevin gausman 3pt5	Over	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaab067…
07-12 21:41:11	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals plus assists manu kone gte4	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4f26e8…
07-12 21:16:11	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xaccba7…
07-12 21:15:56	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5b731d…
07-12 21:14:52	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals plus assists nicolas paz gte4	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xee7de9…
07-12 20:57:23	wnba nyl tor 2026 07 12 total 177pt5	Over	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x99beef…
07-12 20:55:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc9204b…
07-12 20:54:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3ec17d…