Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
open
Total volume
$2,335
$47,768 in 24h
Trades
60
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$3,076,136
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 20:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $68 | $68 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $26 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $26 | — | +$26 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $84 | $84 |
| unranked | 19 | — | $1.2K | $1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yellow-Doorbell 0x23e2…9ecd | Yes | +3,200 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-04 20:24 |
| Big-Hearted-Pat 0x84ef…77d7 | No | +296 | $294 | $294 | 1 | 05-05 00:54 |
| Stained-Platypus 0xf32e…d2ac | No | +265 | $263 | $263 | 1 | 05-04 21:19 |
| Flowery-Example 0xb8c5…3a3c | No | +233 | $231 | $231 | 1 | 05-05 10:30 |
| Motionless-Philanthropy 0x6c80…e771 | No | +215 | $213 | $213 | 1 | 05-05 09:05 |
| Lovable-Drop 0x8d53…6ac7 | No | +85 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 05-05 03:25 |
| Whole-Repository 0x7ee0…bc39 | No | +85 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 05-05 03:25 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | +68 | $68 | $68 | 35 | 05-05 14:05 |
| Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | +1 | $1 | $8 | 5 | 05-05 19:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 20:55:06 | Insecure-Rhubarb 0x4367…9b0f | No | SELL | 109 | 99¢ | $108 | 0xb39905… |
| 05-05 20:13:38 | Unfinished-Length 0x5447…19c8 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3d8537… |
| 05-05 19:44:54 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x66a397… |
| 05-05 19:34:34 | Stark-Sauerkraut 0x4789…38c9 | No | SELL | 241 | 99¢ | $239 | 0xe2ed52… |
| 05-05 18:18:14 | (anonymous) 0x4c5c…f81b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x387f01… |
| 05-05 14:57:24 | Naive-Stalk 0xa040…d8b7 | No | SELL | 45 | 99¢ | $45 | 0x30286f… |
| 05-05 14:05:26 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf0c9b0… |
| 05-05 10:45:14 | Outgoing-Organ 0x3811…7993 | No | SELL | 75 | 99¢ | $74 | 0x0eb1c5… |
| 05-05 10:41:28 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x08771d… |
| 05-05 10:40:08 | Potable-Body 0x978a…b426 | No | SELL | 195 | 99¢ | $194 | 0x266dbe… |
| 05-05 10:36:28 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xb5238a… |
| 05-05 10:30:22 | Flowery-Example 0xb8c5…3a3c | No | BUY | 233 | 99¢ | $231 | 0xa5893a… |
| 05-05 09:51:24 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x04d493… |
| 05-05 09:46:26 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x570101… |
| 05-05 09:40:08 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd8915f… |
| 05-05 09:20:20 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe10626… |
| 05-05 09:05:04 | Motionless-Philanthropy 0x6c80…e771 | No | BUY | 215 | 99¢ | $213 | 0xbf5eb7… |
| 05-05 08:45:20 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xb890c7… |
| 05-05 08:45:16 | Memorable-Planning 0xadec…3c7b | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 1¢ | $7 | 0xe29ab9… |
| 05-05 08:31:08 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xebde6f… |
| 05-05 08:10:16 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x4c6de7… |
| 05-05 07:56:06 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x10c951… |
| 05-05 07:30:10 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xcf0e54… |
| 05-05 07:25:16 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x19d265… |
| 05-05 07:21:04 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x15f250… |
| 05-05 07:15:36 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6d5302… |
| 05-05 07:05:54 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xea0a92… |
| 05-05 06:30:44 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xfc2433… |
| 05-05 06:25:34 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xa7e7b6… |
| 05-05 06:20:16 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7c33fe… |
| 05-05 06:10:38 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x82967c… |
| 05-05 06:00:34 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x83b441… |
| 05-05 05:50:12 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x645dd8… |
| 05-05 05:30:46 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xc3add2… |
| 05-05 05:15:24 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x8a107b… |
| 05-05 04:45:10 | Responsible-Reference 0xbb9c…a907 | Yes | SELL | 210 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x99e6ed… |
| 05-05 03:55:26 | Calm-Diamond 0xb473…eb3c | No | SELL | 116 | 99¢ | $115 | 0xdb240e… |
| 05-05 03:39:56 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbb4e7d… |
| 05-05 03:30:08 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x971094… |
| 05-05 03:27:16 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x7305c2… |
| 05-05 03:25:06 | Lovable-Drop 0x8d53…6ac7 | No | BUY | 85 | 99¢ | $84 | 0x33c6ff… |
| 05-05 03:25:06 | Outgoing-Organ 0x3811…7993 | No | BUY | 75 | 99¢ | $74 | 0x0bd04d… |
| 05-05 03:25:06 | Whole-Repository 0x7ee0…bc39 | No | BUY | 85 | 99¢ | $84 | 0xc462de… |
| 05-05 03:22:32 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xe2feb3… |
| 05-05 03:14:32 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x8fc6dc… |
| 05-05 03:09:52 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9ccc0d… |
| 05-05 03:00:16 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x1f06ac… |
| 05-05 02:50:30 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x4323f2… |
| 05-05 01:49:48 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xb8a828… |
| 05-05 01:34:56 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x19ced3… |
| 05-05 01:04:46 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x912875… |
| 05-05 00:54:56 | Big-Hearted-Pat 0x84ef…77d7 | No | BUY | 296 | 99¢ | $294 | 0xe9d71c… |
| 05-05 00:44:54 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x777960… |
| 05-04 23:49:44 | Disgusting-Probe 0xdf47…5a07 | No | SELL | 173 | 99¢ | $172 | 0x63be1a… |
| 05-04 23:44:36 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x657ea9… |
| 05-04 23:40:04 | Jumpy-Miss 0x06a1…2ee9 | No | SELL | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0x960056… |
| 05-04 22:44:46 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9084a1… |
| 05-04 21:19:32 | Stained-Platypus 0xf32e…d2ac | No | BUY | 265 | 99¢ | $263 | 0x2c7a69… |
| 05-04 21:14:40 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x45d48e… |
| 05-04 20:24:28 | Yellow-Doorbell 0x23e2…9ecd | Yes | BUY | 3,200 | 1¢ | $26 | 0xb3aa63… |