Realized P&L
-$104
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
43.6%
Resolved
1,492
Trades
3,308
lifetime
Volume
$3.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$69
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-25
last 09-08 09:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 153 days
Categories
Other
55% 39% -$52
Crypto
29% 35% -$51
Politics
10% 32% -$5
Sports
4% 33% +$5
Tech
2% 0% $0
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No — -8 -$8 100¢ $-8 +$0 06-25 10:05
2026 Balance of Power: Other No -7 -$7 100¢ $-7 $0 06-24 19:52
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2026 American League MVP Award? No -7 -$7 100¢ $-7 $0 06-26 12:39
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22? No -7 -$7 100¢ $-7 $0 06-26 10:16
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? No -7 -$7 100¢ $-7 +$0 06-26 08:51
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 06-27 14:07
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 06-27 14:06
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 +$0 06-27 14:07
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -3 -$2 89¢ $-3 -$1 05-20 13:37
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -2 -$1 59¢ $-1 +$0 06-02 09:37
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No -2 -$2 59¢ $-1 +$1 06-02 09:36
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -1 -$1 92¢ $-1 $0 05-20 13:36
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 $0 05-11 12:44
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 05-11 12:16
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 05-11 12:33
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 05-11 12:45
New pandemic in 2026? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 05-11 12:31
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -1 -$1 93¢ $-1 $0 05-17 12:46
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -2 $0 41¢ $-1 -$1 06-01 18:30
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No -2 -$1 41¢ $-1 $0 06-01 18:31
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -1 -$1 76¢ $-1 $0 05-20 13:36
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 61¢ $-1 +$0 05-11 12:42
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No -1 -$1 57¢ $-1 +$0 05-11 12:18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 $0 84¢ $-1 $0 06-01 10:10
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -0 $0 97¢ $-0 $0 05-13 08:40
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1 $0 43¢ $-0 $0 06-21 12:24
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -0 $0 84¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 12:39
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1 -$1 39¢ $-0 +$0 06-12 12:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -0 $0 99¢ $-0 $0 05-14 09:22
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -0 $0 99¢ $-0 $0 05-25 16:13