Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
open
Total volume
$762
$241 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$24,487
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-10 23:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $105
vs crowd: 0% YES on $759)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $263 | $263 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | — | $495 | $495 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $105 | $105 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $245 | $245 |
| Median | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $192 | $192 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $206 | $206 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +208 | $206 | $206 | 3 | 05-10 14:30 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +142 | $139 | $139 | 2 | 05-08 01:27 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +106 | $105 | $105 | 4 | 05-10 22:45 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +90 | $89 | $89 | 3 | 05-10 15:55 |
| Dark-Neonate 0xc357…e776 | Yes | +67 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 01:55 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 05-10 22:24 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +58 | $57 | $57 | 6 | 05-10 23:26 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 05-10 14:30 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 11:20 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 22:37 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 22:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 23:47:48 | Dreary-Suggestion 0xce31…19c4 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x222ab5… |
| 05-10 23:43:08 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xceb0ec… |
| 05-10 23:26:59 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xcf98cf… |
| 05-10 23:22:43 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x4a5f65… |
| 05-10 23:22:10 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x823ed0… |
| 05-10 23:21:14 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8a08e3… |
| 05-10 22:45:53 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 47 | 98¢ | $47 | 0x652a59… |
| 05-10 22:41:06 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xd57ac1… |
| 05-10 22:37:59 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xf89b61… |
| 05-10 22:24:55 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 14 | 98¢ | $13 | 0xd2aa2c… |
| 05-10 22:24:55 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0xb3904d… |
| 05-10 19:08:53 | Dreary-Suggestion 0xce31…19c4 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x865ae6… |
| 05-10 15:55:53 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xb2cc3a… |
| 05-10 15:55:53 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xa347a2… |
| 05-10 14:30:33 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 81 | 99¢ | $80 | 0x86203c… |
| 05-10 14:30:31 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x05ffd4… |
| 05-10 14:30:31 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 53 | 99¢ | $52 | 0x88d5fa… |
| 05-10 11:20:32 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x5e79ac… |
| 05-10 11:20:30 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x4ee5b5… |
| 05-10 10:41:13 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xa351ed… |
| 05-10 10:41:13 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xf3d67f… |
| 05-10 10:41:13 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 97 | 99¢ | $96 | 0x294299… |
| 05-10 10:40:41 | Cold-Badger 0xf040…3a86 | Yes | SELL | 124 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1d6ec3… |
| 05-10 03:31:33 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc1a7c6… |
| 05-10 02:16:39 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe91cfa… |
| 05-10 01:55:50 | Dark-Neonate 0xc357…e776 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb4dc29… |
| 05-10 01:20:48 | Dreary-Suggestion 0xce31…19c4 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc6b626… |
| 05-08 01:27:31 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 71 | 98¢ | $70 | 0x646405… |
| 05-08 01:27:22 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 71 | 98¢ | $70 | 0xe9799b… |
| 05-08 01:27:19 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x4a0146… |
| 05-06 04:48:38 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | SELL | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb9ab06… |