Dark-Neonate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.9%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$578

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 08-01 14:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

58% 20% -$21

Politics

31% 25% -$16

Crypto

10% 41% -$15

Sports

2% 12% -$7

Tech

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	5	$115	182	138	+44	Yes	-$13	05-19 04:56
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$89	123	123	+0	No	+$1	05-14 10:28
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$45	62	0	+62	Yes	+$17	05-05 08:29
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$41	197	197	+0	No	-$6	05-15 08:18
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$31	64	0	+64	No	-$31	05-13 23:26
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	4	$24	193	135	+58	Yes	+$6	05-15 08:22
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	3	$18	40	30	+10	No	-$6	05-13 00:57
Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	3	$17	200	200	+0	No	+$5	05-13 00:29
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?	3	$13	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-10 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$11	56	56	+0	Down	+$1	05-03 16:10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	2	$11	47	0	+47	Yes	+$36	05-09 01:13
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	4	$10	22	13	+9	Yes	+$7	05-06 08:04
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	1	$10	34	0	+34	Yes	-$10	05-06 03:04
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	2	$8	102	0	+102	No	-$8	05-03 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$7	8	8	+0	Up	+$5	05-04 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	-$5	05-04 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	-$5	05-04 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$5	18	0	+18	Down	-$5	05-04 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	4	$4	75	5	+70	Up	-$2	05-08 04:10
Chirayu Rana sued?	1	$4	11	0	+11	Yes	-$4	05-07 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$4	10	0	+10	Up	-$4	05-04 07:13
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	2	$3	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-15 00:19
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	2	$3	332	332	+0	Yes	+$1	05-09 01:16
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	+$2	05-07 07:54
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	2	$3	14	0	+14	Yes	-$3	05-08 05:04
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	3	$3	588	0	+588	Yes	-$3	05-15 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$3	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 03:27
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 00:19
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$3	43	43	+0	open	—	05-15 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$2	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 03:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 14:25:47	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x7714be…
08-01 14:25:44	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0xe1a5ee…
05-19 04:56:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	32¢	$14	0x8d0157…
05-19 04:54:06	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x8a4baa…
05-17 06:00:03	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0x7e3074…
05-15 08:23:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9c99ce…
05-15 08:22:47	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbd6d88…
05-15 08:18:51	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	197	9¢	$18	0x62953f…
05-15 00:23:27	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	197	12¢	$24	0xa883d4…
05-15 00:20:36	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xa00a5a…
05-15 00:20:24	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xc59fb8…
05-15 00:20:20	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0x5b5235…
05-15 00:19:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	37¢	$13	0xea59ac…
05-15 00:19:22	Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x6b14f6…
05-15 00:19:05	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x34873a…
05-14 10:35:13	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x090f4b…
05-14 10:31:25	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x619d54…
05-14 10:28:28	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0x533e2e…
05-13 23:32:12	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2c5456…
05-13 23:31:52	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x09b128…
05-13 23:29:15	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xe75679…
05-13 23:26:57	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xbdecab…
05-13 23:26:20	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	36¢	$39	0xb3b1bb…
05-13 09:17:33	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	35¢	$38	0xe407f5…
05-13 09:16:42	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x47acf6…
05-13 09:10:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	104	37¢	$38	0xd808d4…
05-13 07:30:13	Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	127	1¢	$1	0xb3dad4…
05-13 07:27:15	Will J.D. Vance attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xd4abfe…
05-13 07:26:36	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x795fa6…
05-13 07:26:06	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0x2db03c…
05-13 00:57:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x2a74ac…
05-13 00:57:05	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x4070cc…
05-13 00:56:39	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0xc1ce25…
05-13 00:52:46	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xa21d6b…
05-13 00:52:27	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0x9c7ffc…
05-13 00:51:57	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	135	11¢	$15	0xd5a24a…
05-13 00:45:35	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa98bad…
05-13 00:42:21	Will Rachel Anderson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x92bf54…
05-13 00:42:16	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xa70f61…
05-13 00:41:58	Will Thornton Cooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	431	0¢	$1	0x78d6f4…
05-13 00:40:45	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0777d3…
05-13 00:40:40	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0e2fb8…
05-13 00:38:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x42f7aa…
05-13 00:38:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xe6d900…
05-13 00:37:15	Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe66169…
05-13 00:29:57	Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$11	0x2f7d28…
05-12 13:05:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x396e3d…
05-12 13:05:35	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x1f2159…
05-12 13:05:09	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	175	1¢	$1	0x1e52bf…
05-11 05:35:58	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd85b99…
05-10 20:51:47	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x4e7911…
05-10 09:07:33	Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0xcb4c2a…
05-10 09:06:44	Will Trump post "King" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe5bec2…
05-10 09:01:21	Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4e5a50…
05-10 08:57:35	Will Lee Jin-sook win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x763f4d…
05-10 08:55:52	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8fcf19…
05-10 08:49:06	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xb8542a…
05-10 08:48:59	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xd78bd5…
05-10 08:48:20	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x347daf…
05-10 08:48:13	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xd9b13e…
05-10 08:48:03	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcf5c34…
05-10 08:47:49	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x76e847…
05-10 08:44:38	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Weibo Gaming	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf397e1…
05-10 08:21:56	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x548963…
05-10 08:21:06	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x415d3b…
05-10 08:21:02	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc3f0f0…
05-10 08:15:33	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xac05cc…
05-10 01:55:50	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xb4dc29…
05-10 01:55:46	Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xed25ac…
05-10 01:53:30	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x14bd03…
05-10 01:50:31	Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Truist Championship?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xaf0c2b…
05-10 01:50:03	Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Truist Championship?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x14f39c…
05-10 01:37:48	Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0xa08758…
05-09 12:36:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9c7eca…
05-09 01:16:33	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	332	1¢	$2	0xf769ea…
05-09 01:13:37	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x0ff43c…
05-08 06:36:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xa1feb8…
05-08 05:44:09	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xfffe45…
05-08 05:39:54	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x390f58…
05-08 05:39:42	Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xc53ae4…
05-08 05:38:28	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x95a5e8…
05-08 05:37:53	Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x6a6667…
05-08 05:04:50	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x769fc4…
05-08 05:03:26	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x078e30…
05-08 04:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x92c4ed…
05-08 04:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xee0170…
05-08 04:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf2e2ca…
05-08 04:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8e63d8…
05-08 04:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x2cb9d0…
05-08 04:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xea631c…
05-08 04:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x6fc9a4…
05-08 04:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3f4b37…
05-08 03:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe98db4…
05-08 03:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xee674c…
05-08 03:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf28b91…
05-08 03:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x4641b4…
05-08 03:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa030db…
05-08 03:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x8aa78d…
05-08 03:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x68f2d1…
05-08 02:54:19	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0x791845…