Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
open
Total volume
$8,380
$21,382 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$41,585
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-22
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 07:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $2.9K | $2.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $3 | $5.4K | $5.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $3.4K | $3.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 4 | — | $782 | $782 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $120 | $120 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 9 | $2 | $4.0K | $3.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Husky-Labourer 0x5409…79db | No | +2,874 | $2,865 | $2,865 | 2 | 05-13 10:03 |
| Appropriate-Cylinder 0x5798…5902 | No | +1,105 | $1,101 | $1,101 | 1 | 05-13 04:58 |
| Quintessential-Brief 0xdc4e…8252 | No | +1,047 | $1,044 | $1,044 | 1 | 05-13 05:01 |
| Humming-Retrospective 0x0b03…32b8 | No | +863 | $860 | $860 | 1 | 05-13 05:11 |
| Helpful-Trader 0x4ac0…11dd | No | +754 | $752 | $752 | 1 | 05-13 05:02 |
| Fickle-Scorn 0x0c44…5be4 | No | +687 | $685 | $685 | 1 | 05-13 05:06 |
| Red-Enrollment 0xed34…a8c7 | No | +500 | $498 | $498 | 1 | 05-13 15:53 |
| Drafty-Sulfur 0x9509…f646 | No | +207 | $206 | $206 | 1 | 05-14 03:56 |
| Wise-Phrase 0xc614…b14b | Yes | +200 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 04:20 |
| Melodic-Guestbook 0x897d…7ed4 | Yes | +150 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 08:59 |
| Wordy-Belligerency 0x6b6d…a4b7 | Yes | +116 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 10:22 |
| Lovable-Chain 0xf50c…3850 | No | +46 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-14 04:01 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-13 00:48 |
| Honorable-Pneumonia 0xf35f…7508 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 04:09 |
| Friendly-Sequence 0xf3f8…4b34 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 04:21 |
| Better-Concrete 0xcad1…1461 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 04:41 |
| Likely-Tinderbox-Elm 0xdf48…136d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 05:34 |
| Best-Mutt 0x890e…7ec1 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 07:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 07:59:10 | Best-Mutt 0x890e…7ec1 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9aef80… |
| 05-14 04:41:08 | Better-Concrete 0xcad1…1461 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x08eb33… |
| 05-14 04:21:21 | Friendly-Sequence 0xf3f8…4b34 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x99dbf2… |
| 05-14 04:20:13 | Wise-Phrase 0xc614…b14b | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x16963f… |
| 05-14 04:09:59 | Honorable-Pneumonia 0xf35f…7508 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x97be61… |
| 05-14 04:01:15 | Lovable-Chain 0xf50c…3850 | No | BUY | 46 | 100¢ | $46 | 0x1514e4… |
| 05-14 03:56:07 | Drafty-Sulfur 0x9509…f646 | No | BUY | 207 | 100¢ | $206 | 0x39dd60… |
| 05-13 15:53:29 | Red-Enrollment 0xed34…a8c7 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $498 | 0xe20678… |
| 05-13 10:03:56 | Husky-Labourer 0x5409…79db | No | BUY | 2,294 | 100¢ | $2,288 | 0x30f165… |
| 05-13 10:03:50 | Husky-Labourer 0x5409…79db | No | BUY | 580 | 100¢ | $578 | 0x0964a7… |
| 05-13 08:59:46 | Melodic-Guestbook 0x897d…7ed4 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2ec306… |
| 05-13 05:58:56 | Easy-Going-Liar 0x290a…0cc0 | No | SELL | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x004700… |
| 05-13 05:33:05 | Easy-Going-Liar 0x290a…0cc0 | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x522af7… |
| 05-13 05:11:06 | Humming-Retrospective 0x0b03…32b8 | No | BUY | 863 | 100¢ | $860 | 0xdfdea9… |
| 05-13 05:06:06 | Fickle-Scorn 0x0c44…5be4 | No | BUY | 687 | 100¢ | $685 | 0x190c50… |
| 05-13 05:02:17 | Helpful-Trader 0x4ac0…11dd | No | BUY | 754 | 100¢ | $752 | 0x0276bb… |
| 05-13 05:01:23 | Quintessential-Brief 0xdc4e…8252 | No | BUY | 1,047 | 100¢ | $1,044 | 0x18993b… |
| 05-13 04:58:49 | Appropriate-Cylinder 0x5798…5902 | No | BUY | 1,105 | 100¢ | $1,101 | 0x55b8dc… |
| 05-13 00:48:43 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x13db62… |
| 05-13 00:48:39 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x3e9ace… |
| 05-13 00:48:29 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x549d15… |
| 05-12 22:05:52 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa1eb49… |
| 05-12 15:18:09 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaddd8d… |
| 05-12 11:47:29 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8b11a… |
| 05-12 11:42:30 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38a0ce… |
| 05-12 10:22:19 | Wordy-Belligerency 0x6b6d…a4b7 | Yes | BUY | 116 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf7e747… |
| 05-12 09:27:32 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b157f… |
| 05-12 09:27:31 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5f9ace… |
| 05-12 08:22:32 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb9b1e5… |
| 05-12 05:34:40 | Likely-Tinderbox-Elm 0xdf48…136d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x911d04… |