Realized P&L
+$20.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.22K
Hit rate
93.7%
Resolved
19,849
Trades
290,663
lifetime
Volume
$7.70M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$220.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 07-11 15:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 189 days
Categories
Other
57% 87% +$16,063
Sports
19% 90% +$8,225
Politics
17% 86% +$4,314
Crypto
5% 64% +$1,791
Tech
1% 66% -$10,442
Pop-Culture
1% 88% +$194
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +20,983 $20,839 100¢ $21.0K +$112 06-02 13:50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +20,988 $20,708 99¢ $20.8K +$133 06-02 13:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +21,049 $17,361 94¢ $19.7K +$2,320 06-02 13:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +21,086 $13,739 76¢ $15.9K +$2,181 06-02 13:50
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +10,238 $9,369 97¢ $10.0K +$597 06-03 03:29
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +9,895 $6,205 100¢ $9.9K +$3,676 06-03 03:29
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +7,842 $7,729 100¢ $7.8K +$101 05-14 13:13
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +7,843 $7,718 100¢ $7.8K +$109 05-14 13:13
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +7,848 $7,596 100¢ $7.8K +$216 05-14 13:13
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +7,844 $7,701 99¢ $7.8K +$72 05-14 13:13
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +7,849 $7,570 95¢ $7.5K -$86 05-14 13:13
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +7,856 $7,376 93¢ $7.3K -$70 05-14 13:13
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +7,880 $6,644 92¢ $7.2K +$566 05-14 13:13
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +7,885 $6,452 90¢ $7.1K +$605 05-14 13:13
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +7,878 $6,698 89¢ $7.0K +$313 05-14 13:13
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +7,868 $7,035 86¢ $6.7K -$308 05-14 13:13
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +21,054 $11,027 30¢ $6.4K -$4,606 06-02 13:50
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,303 $6,094 100¢ $6.3K +$200 06-23 20:32
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,299 $6,207 100¢ $6.3K +$83 06-23 20:32
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,312 $5,862 100¢ $6.3K +$421 06-23 20:32
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +6,225 $5,296 99¢ $6.1K +$845 06-23 20:32
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +7,897 $5,902 56¢ $4.5K -$1,440 05-14 13:13
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,662 $1,644 100¢ $1.7K +$16 06-02 02:29
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,662 $1,644 100¢ $1.7K +$15 06-02 02:29
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,662 $1,645 100¢ $1.7K +$14 06-02 02:29
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,662 $1,648 100¢ $1.7K +$11 06-02 02:29
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,663 $1,582 100¢ $1.7K +$77 06-02 02:29
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,662 $1,645 100¢ $1.7K +$13 06-02 02:29
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,662 $1,646 100¢ $1.7K +$11 06-02 02:29
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,662 $1,636 100¢ $1.7K +$20 06-02 02:29