Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,978
$55,547 in 24h
Trades
126
Unique wallets
92
Liquidity
$7,193
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 19:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 92 | $732 | $1.9K | $1.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $69 | $987 | $919 |
| Median | 3 | — | $50 | $50 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 84 | $662 | $829 | $167 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | +1,167 | $987 | $987 | 11 | 05-05 13:35 |
| Unfolded-Chemistry 0x86ff…7bfd | Yes | +800 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-05 13:21 |
| Trifling-Aquifer 0x0619…d801 | Yes | +765 | $107 | $107 | 1 | 05-05 01:25 |
| Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | +447 | $67 | $70 | 6 | 05-05 17:54 |
| Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | +420 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 05-05 03:23 |
| Joint-Wage 0xa26f…e9bf | Yes | +200 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 05-05 11:55 |
| Dishonest-Semicolon 0x2376…d5b4 | Yes | +200 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-05 17:07 |
| Dependable-Ranger 0x8e07…8178 | No | +200 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 05-05 15:14 |
| Wide-Eyed-Tensor 0x43d7…c453 | Yes | +186 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 05-05 09:11 |
| Plaintive-Nibble 0x36f0…9d10 | No | +132 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 05-05 16:34 |
| Thorny-Bronze 0x660b…e5ac | Yes | +125 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-05 06:30 |
| Focused-Reserve 0x3f55…d4b5 | Yes | +125 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-05 07:35 |
| Dramatic-Fender 0x50a8…98ed | Yes | +119 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-05 10:15 |
| Cool-Impostor 0x04a2…e16c | No | +110 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 05-05 16:22 |
| Enormous-Clarinet 0x4ab6…6099 | Yes | +100 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 13:40 |
| Trusting-Diadem 0x475b…e152 | No | +100 | $80 | $80 | 2 | 05-05 05:50 |
| Silky-Airplane 0x0e51…e4f7 | No | +84 | $70 | $70 | 3 | 05-05 00:15 |
| Impolite-View 0xee72…5d8d | Yes | +78 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-05 08:36 |
| Luminous-Still 0x0269…4cc9 | Yes | +75 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 16:27 |
| Nautical-Impulse 0xe7c0…d656 | Yes | +68 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 13:42 |
| Trusting-Diadem 0x475b…e152 | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 13:35 |
| Long-Term-Laptop 0x2065…2be5 | Yes | +50 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-04 20:29 |
| Watery-Rancher 0xbc54…3890 | No | +47 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-05 19:13 |
| Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b | Yes | +45 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 14:22 |
| Finished-Tensor 0x1772…15c1 | No | +44 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-05 16:07 |
| Sweet-Spur 0x9f5e…343c | Yes | +43 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 14:39 |
| Mediocre-Spice 0x1aed…0b9d | No | +43 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-05 01:15 |
| Equatorial-Fire 0x7141…8345 | Yes | +39 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 16:07 |
| Rude-Audit 0xbe8d…49a3 | Yes | +39 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 19:14 |
| Live-Position 0xe559…1300 | Yes | +36 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 07:30 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 04:44 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-05 16:22 |
| Unlined-Necklace 0xedc8…a743 | Yes | +29 | $82 | $142 | 3 | 05-05 14:19 |
| Overcooked-Broiler 0xced9…a1fa | No | +27 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 16:57 |
| Evergreen-Cod 0xb797…dc58 | Yes | +26 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 12:32 |
| Piercing-Lieu 0x0780…bd2b | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 12:56 |
| Uneven-Locker 0x84d7…8c5b | No | +25 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-05 18:46 |
| Cloudy-Canoe 0xdce0…2daf | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-05 18:53 |
| Corny-Folder 0x3f2c…6da7 | No | +24 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-05 16:49 |
| Outstanding-Clove 0x9d06…5f7b | Yes | +22 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 02:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x0246…15c5 | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-05 14:12 |
| Nervous-Death 0x1350…4c07 | Yes | +17 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 09:11 |
| Foolhardy-Babushka 0x287c…2ab4 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-05 15:14 |
| Quirky-Ninja 0x7809…536b | Yes | +14 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 08:20 |
| Enchanting-Cafe-Forebear 0x0b33…4651 | Yes | +12 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 11:16 |
| Disguised-Whelp 0x92ab…bb42 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 18:58 |
| Wild-Underwriting 0xdd2e…c438 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 12:41 |
| Ringed-Venue 0xe73d…b3df | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 16:29 |
| Mushy-Pocketwatch 0x4a99…e45c | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 15:34 |
| Deafening-Shortage 0x8fc2…78bb | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 21:39 |
| Our-Cream 0xfcc4…eaae | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 21:29 |
| Orange-Nondisclosure 0x8dce…8457 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 08:41 |
| Parched-Evocation 0x8ef1…c8e3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 02:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 19:14:54 | Rude-Audit 0xbe8d…49a3 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 15¢ | $6 | 0xdc42ef… |
| 05-05 19:13:16 | Watery-Rancher 0xbc54…3890 | No | BUY | 47 | 85¢ | $40 | 0xc16840… |
| 05-05 18:58:10 | Disguised-Whelp 0x92ab…bb42 | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0xb3a5c0… |
| 05-05 18:58:00 | Noted-Product 0xf099…a6c6 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6b7b76… |
| 05-05 18:54:28 | Slight-Campaign 0x7505…2978 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $9 | 0x26187b… |
| 05-05 18:53:00 | Cloudy-Canoe 0xdce0…2daf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x842fe8… |
| 05-05 18:47:48 | Brief-Brain 0x9772…a7e0 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x850f12… |
| 05-05 18:46:58 | Uneven-Locker 0x84d7…8c5b | No | BUY | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0x771023… |
| 05-05 18:43:06 | Slight-Campaign 0x7505…2978 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $9 | 0xa69fc4… |
| 05-05 18:36:00 | Actual-Characterization 0x4e4f…a849 | No | SELL | 47 | 85¢ | $40 | 0x6c83c0… |
| 05-05 18:33:00 | Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0294d8… |
| 05-05 18:28:08 | Actual-Characterization 0x4e4f…a849 | No | SELL | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0xb58d0a… |
| 05-05 18:28:00 | Foolhardy-Entrance 0x3b27…0b98 | No | SELL | 57 | 86¢ | $49 | 0xe05aac… |
| 05-05 18:21:12 | (anonymous) 0xc58e…44de | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x3063a8… |
| 05-05 18:09:34 | Slight-Campaign 0x7505…2978 | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x2bcfea… |
| 05-05 17:54:52 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0xf08bba… |
| 05-05 17:54:50 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x48c16a… |
| 05-05 17:54:48 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0xab0707… |
| 05-05 17:44:44 | Slight-Campaign 0x7505…2978 | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xc5f5b0… |
| 05-05 17:27:32 | Separate-Beast 0xc0c4…8129 | No | SELL | 200 | 86¢ | $172 | 0xda108e… |
| 05-05 17:14:44 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | BUY | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0x361e5f… |
| 05-05 17:07:46 | Dishonest-Semicolon 0x2376…d5b4 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 13¢ | $26 | 0x4daf4b… |
| 05-05 16:57:30 | Overcooked-Broiler 0xced9…a1fa | No | BUY | 27 | 87¢ | $24 | 0x6cc249… |
| 05-05 16:49:26 | Corny-Folder 0x3f2c…6da7 | No | BUY | 24 | 87¢ | $21 | 0x5a6e1f… |
| 05-05 16:34:46 | Plaintive-Nibble 0x36f0…9d10 | No | BUY | 132 | 86¢ | $114 | 0xf0b91e… |
| 05-05 16:29:50 | Ringed-Venue 0xe73d…b3df | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x84fc24… |
| 05-05 16:27:48 | Luminous-Still 0x0269…4cc9 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 14¢ | $10 | 0x0b0fad… |
| 05-05 16:22:26 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | SELL | 47 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x423fa0… |
| 05-05 16:22:26 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x3a2a55… |
| 05-05 16:22:24 | Cool-Impostor 0x04a2…e16c | No | BUY | 110 | 87¢ | $95 | 0x4098ff… |
| 05-05 16:19:52 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | SELL | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x73bb9c… |
| 05-05 16:07:20 | Equatorial-Fire 0x7141…8345 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xfd6f21… |
| 05-05 16:07:16 | Finished-Tensor 0x1772…15c1 | No | BUY | 44 | 89¢ | $39 | 0xca75ba… |
| 05-05 15:34:54 | Mushy-Pocketwatch 0x4a99…e45c | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x2e4ce4… |
| 05-05 15:14:40 | Dependable-Ranger 0x8e07…8178 | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x3de69c… |
| 05-05 15:14:38 | Foolhardy-Babushka 0x287c…2ab4 | No | BUY | 16 | 92¢ | $15 | 0xa549ed… |
| 05-05 15:07:22 | Boring-Gemsbok 0xd661…0d4e | No | SELL | 134 | 93¢ | $124 | 0x5643b0… |
| 05-05 14:57:26 | Alert-Demand 0x017b…1ef4 | No | SELL | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x653ac9… |
| 05-05 14:39:42 | Sweet-Spur 0x9f5e…343c | Yes | BUY | 43 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x34501c… |
| 05-05 14:22:14 | Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b | Yes | BUY | 45 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xea6511… |
| 05-05 14:19:52 | Unlined-Necklace 0xedc8…a743 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 6¢ | $30 | 0x074b78… |
| 05-05 14:14:48 | Worthy-Tapioca 0xa251…505f | Yes | SELL | 274 | 7¢ | $19 | 0x49ca47… |
| 05-05 14:12:16 | (anonymous) 0x0246…15c5 | No | BUY | 19 | 93¢ | $18 | 0xeac06a… |
| 05-05 14:02:16 | Cloudy-Canoe 0xdce0…2daf | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0b9ec8… |
| 05-05 13:50:26 | Irritating-Duty 0x15ce…d47e | Yes | SELL | 250 | 6¢ | $15 | 0xa9cc84… |
| 05-05 13:42:08 | Nautical-Impulse 0xe7c0…d656 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xb4ebf7… |
| 05-05 13:40:26 | Enormous-Clarinet 0x4ab6…6099 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x0db09e… |
| 05-05 13:35:28 | Trusting-Diadem 0x475b…e152 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x02ebc9… |
| 05-05 13:35:28 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x687bce… |
| 05-05 13:30:28 | Colorless-Spelling 0xf35c…a03a | No | SELL | 150 | 94¢ | $141 | 0x5160b5… |
| 05-05 13:26:56 | Elated-Census 0x582c…eb16 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x01f61e… |
| 05-05 13:21:54 | Unfolded-Chemistry 0x86ff…7bfd | Yes | BUY | 800 | 5¢ | $40 | 0x6ca410… |
| 05-05 13:20:34 | Numb-Eligibility 0x29e7…fbbf | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x9bc1f9… |
| 05-05 13:20:28 | Well-Documented-Sin 0x93b6…f567 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc03545… |
| 05-05 13:10:24 | Growing-Defendant 0x7072…e65c | Yes | SELL | 526 | 2¢ | $11 | 0x51c98a… |
| 05-05 12:56:38 | Piercing-Lieu 0x0780…bd2b | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x4a4280… |
| 05-05 12:55:36 | Kind-Advertisement 0xf01e…51cb | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x095774… |
| 05-05 12:51:48 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 19 | 93¢ | $18 | 0x79815b… |
| 05-05 12:51:46 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 18 | 93¢ | $17 | 0x724ff7… |
| 05-05 12:51:44 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 18 | 93¢ | $17 | 0xced18c… |
| 05-05 12:51:40 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 18 | 93¢ | $17 | 0x4a4169… |
| 05-05 12:51:38 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 17 | 93¢ | $16 | 0x99afdb… |
| 05-05 12:45:26 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 23 | 92¢ | $21 | 0x4714c8… |
| 05-05 12:45:26 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x10ade5… |
| 05-05 12:45:24 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 19 | 91¢ | $17 | 0x084ebd… |
| 05-05 12:45:22 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xa8fd13… |
| 05-05 12:41:46 | Wild-Underwriting 0xdd2e…c438 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x6e5749… |
| 05-05 12:32:00 | Evergreen-Cod 0xb797…dc58 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x7a9b99… |
| 05-05 11:55:16 | Joint-Wage 0xa26f…e9bf | Yes | BUY | 200 | 28¢ | $56 | 0xbd7aa4… |
| 05-05 11:45:12 | Mammoth-Lever 0xbe60…c2f7 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x986b73… |
| 05-05 11:40:26 | Joint-Wage 0xa26f…e9bf | No | SELL | 100 | 72¢ | $72 | 0x62d4d2… |
| 05-05 11:40:24 | Wrathful-Needle 0x827e…93fe | No | SELL | 406 | 73¢ | $295 | 0xdac2d2… |
| 05-05 11:16:58 | Enchanting-Cafe-Forebear 0x0b33…4651 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x2ee631… |
| 05-05 11:05:12 | Rusty-Faith 0x9522…7af0 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x80484d… |
| 05-05 10:56:38 | Overlooked-Cantaloupe 0x67f8…b229 | Yes | SELL | 332 | 24¢ | $80 | 0xa9a140… |
| 05-05 10:56:24 | Overlooked-Cantaloupe 0x67f8…b229 | Yes | SELL | 332 | 25¢ | $83 | 0x88e325… |
| 05-05 10:21:08 | Concrete-Nonsense 0x5a45…58b5 | No | SELL | 4 | 74¢ | $3 | 0xe3d3e1… |
| 05-05 10:15:08 | Dramatic-Fender 0x50a8…98ed | Yes | BUY | 119 | 25¢ | $30 | 0xa47e34… |
| 05-05 09:11:14 | Wide-Eyed-Tensor 0x43d7…c453 | Yes | BUY | 186 | 24¢ | $45 | 0xa5b9f4… |
| 05-05 09:11:12 | Nervous-Death 0x1350…4c07 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xa027d9… |
| 05-05 08:41:06 | Orange-Nondisclosure 0x8dce…8457 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xe75165… |
| 05-05 08:36:04 | Impolite-View 0xee72…5d8d | Yes | BUY | 78 | 22¢ | $17 | 0xde47d1… |
| 05-05 08:35:08 | Precious-Weeder 0x5a4e…1855 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x3123ad… |
| 05-05 08:25:14 | Foolish-Junket 0x2596…cc19 | No | SELL | 44 | 78¢ | $34 | 0xac39d6… |
| 05-05 08:20:08 | Quirky-Ninja 0x7809…536b | Yes | BUY | 14 | 22¢ | $3 | 0xc53d9a… |
| 05-05 08:05:10 | Leafy-Bugle 0x38a5…91c5 | No | SELL | 38 | 79¢ | $30 | 0xc8fd41… |
| 05-05 07:36:14 | Aggressive-Trigger-Milkshake 0x55d6…1f24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x1a5c39… |
| 05-05 07:35:16 | Focused-Reserve 0x3f55…d4b5 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 22¢ | $28 | 0x71b314… |
| 05-05 07:30:10 | Live-Position 0xe559…1300 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x1340c6… |
| 05-05 07:26:08 | Unlined-Necklace 0xedc8…a743 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 25¢ | $7 | 0x6117ee… |
| 05-05 06:45:10 | (anonymous) 0x25f2…0822 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xc22f30… |
| 05-05 06:40:38 | (anonymous) 0xfb48…17d7 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 21¢ | $6 | 0x33a1b3… |
| 05-05 06:40:08 | Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf | Yes | BUY | 56 | 20¢ | $11 | 0xd7a09f… |
| 05-05 06:30:12 | Thorny-Bronze 0x660b…e5ac | Yes | BUY | 125 | 20¢ | $25 | 0x619458… |
| 05-05 06:15:00 | Rigid-Limitation 0x4c5f…356a | No | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xfd6659… |
| 05-05 06:10:06 | (anonymous) 0xfb48…17d7 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 20¢ | $7 | 0x99bbb8… |
| 05-05 06:10:04 | Well-Documented-Sin 0x93b6…f567 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x7e091a… |
| 05-05 05:50:58 | Trusting-Diadem 0x475b…e152 | No | BUY | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x6c3fcf… |
| 05-05 05:40:08 | Elated-Census 0x582c…eb16 | Yes | SELL | 170 | 20¢ | $33 | 0xbea320… |
| 05-05 05:35:04 | Pitiful-Roommate 0x9c37…eee6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x9cc50a… |