Parched-Evocation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

117

Trades

217

lifetime

Volume

$226

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 10-11 08:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

53% 54% -$10

Crypto

40% 74% -$2

Tech

6% 80% +$1

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	14	$21	10	10	+0	open	—	10-11 08:48
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	07-18 09:53
will the next claude opus model be released by august 31 2026 20260701204710233 223 869 558	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	07-18 09:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 15	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	02-15 14:42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 10?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	05-10 05:28
gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	07-02 05:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 16	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	02-16 15:45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 9?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-09 04:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 13?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-13 10:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 17	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	02-17 15:17
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-08 04:37
Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	08-01 16:24
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-07 23:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 19	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	02-19 14:36
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:50 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	08-01 16:53
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:05 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	08-02 03:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:35 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	08-02 03:37
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 300 319	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	02-20 19:52
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:20 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	08-02 03:21
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:25 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	08-02 03:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:15 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	08-02 03:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 18	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	02-18 08:27
gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-03 05:04
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 0 39	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	02-20 09:31
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:25 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	08-01 16:26
will msft dip to 345 in july 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	07-11 17:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 8?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	07-08 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 7?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	07-07 07:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:45 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	07-18 15:46
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 7?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	07-07 23:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 08:48:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa25316…
08-06 03:36:21	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe8c7c7…
08-03 16:37:39	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2be6bf…
08-02 03:48:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x60d5a0…
08-02 03:46:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x14014a…
08-02 03:43:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x4277a2…
08-02 03:43:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1b6f84…
08-02 03:37:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xde328a…
08-02 03:36:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x516090…
08-02 03:28:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x59be00…
08-02 03:27:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x68496f…
08-02 03:21:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xfaa589…
08-02 03:21:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5f576d…
08-02 03:18:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x82a430…
08-02 03:18:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7da701…
08-02 03:13:59	Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	38¢	$1	0x8d97f0…
08-02 03:13:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x341772…
08-02 03:08:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xd5d6e5…
08-02 03:07:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x12ecdf…
08-02 03:06:03	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1bb7c8…
08-02 03:03:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xee5717…
08-02 03:02:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8aa5bf…
08-02 03:02:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xc9ad05…
08-01 17:03:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x9f244a…
08-01 17:01:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x46da57…
08-01 16:56:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x4eff78…
08-01 16:55:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x851d24…
08-01 16:53:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc56fa2…
08-01 16:53:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd03ed4…
08-01 16:46:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x3721e9…
08-01 16:37:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x361cf3…
08-01 16:37:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x45bfa0…
08-01 16:32:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	47¢	$1	0x7aaa1a…
08-01 16:31:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x703c26…
08-01 16:26:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3cb84a…
08-01 16:26:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf4706a…
08-01 16:24:53	Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa5836e…
08-01 16:24:50	Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7c61ef…
08-01 16:23:32	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x85e30b…
08-01 16:20:29	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8add6d…
08-01 16:20:02	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x60e895…
08-01 16:19:12	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x33c3e4…
08-01 16:18:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x27ff03…
08-01 16:17:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3a14f9…
08-01 16:16:56	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x549d39…
08-01 16:14:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbbf93a…
08-01 16:08:51	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x689497…
08-01 16:07:18	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4a3e88…
08-01 16:02:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x3ab581…
08-01 16:01:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x577f0d…
08-01 15:53:57	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0xbf044c…
07-23 14:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1438e6…
07-23 14:38:30	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 23?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa9b0c4…
07-23 07:43:24	will ethereum dip to 1900 on july 23	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4a416f…
07-23 07:40:19	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 23?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd8a25e…
07-21 13:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 22?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6a5cde…
07-21 13:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcafa61…
07-21 03:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb54ac7…
07-21 03:26:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 20?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcb45b5…
07-21 03:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x401437…
07-21 01:57:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7ae258…
07-21 01:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 22?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x927c69…
07-21 01:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcf11af…
07-20 15:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9a1cf4…
07-20 12:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdcd7cc…
07-20 12:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6df07f…
07-20 09:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb9a926…
07-20 07:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x41e908…
07-20 07:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9364f4…
07-18 19:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 18?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa635a4…
07-18 19:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb67907…
07-18 19:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x5aae08…
07-18 19:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa1b9ec…
07-18 18:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 18?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9bb1d8…
07-18 18:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcf09c4…
07-18 15:46:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xb83e54…
07-18 15:46:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe3ad6b…
07-18 14:24:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6b487f…
07-18 14:18:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xef4eef…
07-18 14:14:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3db7a5…
07-18 14:09:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8ba1a1…
07-18 14:04:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd23993…
07-18 13:49:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x310e43…
07-18 13:44:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x56687d…
07-18 13:39:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0a2975…
07-18 13:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1d9cb3…
07-18 13:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2412bb…
07-18 13:24:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd2a2ea…
07-18 13:13:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x548fa1…
07-18 13:08:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8e7da3…
07-18 12:54:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x320cd9…
07-18 12:47:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x99d409…
07-18 11:39:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x40f85a…
07-18 09:53:37	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x5df0f1…
07-18 09:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 18?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6da365…
07-18 09:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdc08a7…
07-18 09:39:40	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x04ff9c…
07-18 09:39:00	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc04243…
07-18 09:37:55	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb8e26b…
07-18 09:17:46	will the next claude opus model be released by august 31 2026 20260701204710233 223 869 558	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc7da80…