Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 13?
open
Total volume
$684
$829 in 24h
Trades
96
Unique wallets
67
Liquidity
$1,912
Latest YES mid
28¢
Latest NO mid
72¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 04:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+71.7¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $6
vs crowd: 28% YES on $613)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $6 | $172 | $165 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 62 | $167 | $258 | $91 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $11 | $10 | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 15 | $70 | $223 | $153 |
| Median | 18 | $26 | $53 | $27 |
| Below median | 12 | $15 | $63 | $48 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $34 | $8 | +$27 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $2 | $75 | $74 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 4 | $6 | $9 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +120 | $107 | $107 | 4 | 05-13 03:53 |
| Common-Thousand 0x572e…872b | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-13 03:26 |
| Shiny-Authorization 0x80bd…a8cd | Yes | +100 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-13 01:58 |
| Plain-Roast 0xa336…43f1 | Yes | +87 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-13 01:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | +65 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 05-13 01:08 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +58 | $45 | $45 | 4 | 05-13 01:56 |
| Spectacular-Sandwich 0x3007…8f81 | Yes | +50 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-11 18:09 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | +46 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-13 04:02 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | +38 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 03:43 |
| Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | +36 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 08:52 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-12 20:42 |
| Cheery-Jewel 0x3334…69b0 | Yes | +27 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 20:15 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +26 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 03:43 |
| Unfit-Official 0x4ef0…62e0 | No | +26 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-13 02:38 |
| Salty-Confidence 0x8fa9…a323 | No | +24 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-13 02:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fae…a4be | Yes | +22 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 02:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x476d…ceec | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 03:43 |
| Colorless-Earthworm 0x8d65…da6e | Yes | +17 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 06:24 |
| Forceful-Nick 0x5695…60e9 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 23:36 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 05-13 02:08 |
| Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | +13 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 01:43 |
| Second-Rainy 0xeb61…9969 | Yes | +11 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 01:06 |
| Caring-Pea 0x85d2…7479 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $6 | 2 | 05-13 04:14 |
| Rigid-Sphere-Composite 0x336e…bcc3 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 04:02 |
| Agile-Girlfriend 0x79b6…e042 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 01:59 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 03:53 |
| Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 03:57 |
| Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 01:59 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 02:53 |
| Shady-Pride 0x7a8c…1ddc | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-13 00:41 |
| Oddball-Bell 0x5d65…a25e | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 02:36 |
| Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 02:44 |
| Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 15:23 |
| Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 21:21 |
| Sad-Cube 0x4fc1…3b05 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 01:06 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 03:47 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 04:12 |
| Trusting-Bifocals 0x6c8f…1181 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 04:12 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 03:43 |
| Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 03:11 |
| Wavy-Surround 0x9a12…fe57 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:30 |
| Weepy-Creche 0x8fbf…0771 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 17:36 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 09:52 |
| Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 03:12 |
| Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 01:59 |
| Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 20:32 |
| Frightened-Outfielder 0x5c75…627b | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 02:06 |
| Actual-Hurt 0x5382…7e3a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 02:37 |
| Immaculate-Tugboat 0x13fa…52e8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 02:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 04:14:03 | Caring-Pea 0x85d2…7479 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x86c5f5… |
| 05-13 04:12:49 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x55aed7… |
| 05-13 04:12:32 | Trusting-Bifocals 0x6c8f…1181 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x70cc32… |
| 05-13 04:02:47 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 34¢ | $16 | 0x69b6c3… |
| 05-13 04:02:44 | Rigid-Sphere-Composite 0x336e…bcc3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x60d372… |
| 05-13 04:02:44 | Caring-Pea 0x85d2…7479 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x081f60… |
| 05-13 03:57:23 | Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x903dd8… |
| 05-13 03:56:19 | Elegant-Forearm 0x9fba…3adc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x3901f1… |
| 05-13 03:53:39 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0xa2c872… |
| 05-13 03:53:03 | Gray-Pizza 0x7f3b…7bb2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 42¢ | $3 | 0xdd9566… |
| 05-13 03:53:03 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0xe7e7b4… |
| 05-13 03:52:14 | Stark-Junior 0x82ca…3135 | No | SELL | 1 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x525d11… |
| 05-13 03:51:11 | Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | No | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xf8bed8… |
| 05-13 03:48:37 | Both-Van 0x939e…dc67 | No | SELL | 1 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x19b70f… |
| 05-13 03:47:25 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x3dca17… |
| 05-13 03:43:48 | (anonymous) 0x476d…ceec | Yes | BUY | 19 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xe1ae85… |
| 05-13 03:43:43 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x3101cd… |
| 05-13 03:43:41 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | BUY | 38 | 16¢ | $6 | 0x59091b… |
| 05-13 03:43:41 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 25¢ | $6 | 0x6feb77… |
| 05-13 03:32:22 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x5bab54… |
| 05-13 03:28:43 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd895a7… |
| 05-13 03:26:21 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x6f95f2… |
| 05-13 03:26:21 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xe9db30… |
| 05-13 03:26:21 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x46f270… |
| 05-13 03:26:21 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xd806c8… |
| 05-13 03:26:11 | Common-Thousand 0x572e…872b | No | BUY | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0x6b889e… |
| 05-13 03:26:07 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x40c6d7… |
| 05-13 03:26:07 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x1e0f0f… |
| 05-13 03:26:07 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x704561… |
| 05-13 03:26:07 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x038ba5… |
| 05-13 03:26:07 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x1526ac… |
| 05-13 03:26:07 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xda09a2… |
| 05-13 03:26:07 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x272ad7… |
| 05-13 03:26:07 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xba3edc… |
| 05-13 03:26:07 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa9bc72… |
| 05-13 03:26:07 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x04f94a… |
| 05-13 03:26:07 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x73c849… |
| 05-13 03:16:51 | Both-Van 0x939e…dc67 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x9ff93c… |
| 05-13 03:13:54 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x96c379… |
| 05-13 03:13:54 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x996cc1… |
| 05-13 03:12:46 | Courteous-Syndrome 0xca5e…4a1c | No | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0x2860c4… |
| 05-13 03:11:17 | Unaware-Footnote 0xe018…a22d | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xb7df9c… |
| 05-13 03:00:52 | Every-Lottery 0xc327…d803 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xcfd803… |
| 05-13 02:58:20 | Direct-Plywood 0xf64a…db74 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0x911b28… |
| 05-13 02:53:33 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x04f635… |
| 05-13 02:53:31 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | BUY | 8 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x68af4b… |
| 05-13 02:53:31 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xdf2146… |
| 05-13 02:53:15 | (anonymous) 0x6fae…a4be | Yes | BUY | 22 | 32¢ | $7 | 0xf637e0… |
| 05-13 02:53:08 | Immaculate-Tugboat 0x13fa…52e8 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x4d55c9… |
| 05-13 02:42:08 | Every-Lottery 0xc327…d803 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 34¢ | $20 | 0xcb1211… |
| 05-13 02:38:56 | Unfit-Official 0x4ef0…62e0 | No | BUY | 26 | 64¢ | $17 | 0x184933… |
| 05-13 02:37:44 | Actual-Hurt 0x5382…7e3a | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x1bb174… |
| 05-13 02:36:41 | Salty-Confidence 0x8fa9…a323 | No | BUY | 24 | 64¢ | $16 | 0x6daa91… |
| 05-13 02:36:01 | Oddball-Bell 0x5d65…a25e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 41¢ | $3 | 0x38d1b1… |
| 05-13 02:08:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 67¢ | $2 | 0x994f81… |
| 05-13 02:06:12 | Frightened-Outfielder 0x5c75…627b | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xe54401… |
| 05-13 02:05:58 | Each-Scripture 0x69cd…0c69 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x145977… |
| 05-13 01:59:00 | Agile-Girlfriend 0x79b6…e042 | No | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0x447b60… |
| 05-13 01:59:00 | Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xd32f46… |
| 05-13 01:59:00 | Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x2d9314… |
| 05-13 01:58:57 | Shiny-Authorization 0x80bd…a8cd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 36¢ | $36 | 0x06f0c4… |
| 05-13 01:56:07 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 6 | 67¢ | $4 | 0x8371aa… |
| 05-13 01:47:52 | Every-Lottery 0xc327…d803 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0xa3d50f… |
| 05-13 01:43:38 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 31¢ | $4 | 0xf7a491… |
| 05-13 01:41:18 | Plain-Roast 0xa336…43f1 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x89328e… |
| 05-13 01:33:46 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x48b0e1… |
| 05-13 01:33:45 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x8d99d9… |
| 05-13 01:31:56 | Plain-Roast 0xa336…43f1 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 28¢ | $20 | 0x30ac1e… |
| 05-13 01:08:43 | (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | BUY | 7 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x18afb9… |
| 05-13 01:07:52 | (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | BUY | 59 | 75¢ | $44 | 0x68524a… |
| 05-13 01:06:58 | Sad-Cube 0x4fc1…3b05 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xa6d4e9… |
| 05-13 01:06:14 | Second-Rainy 0xeb61…9969 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x4b67d7… |
| 05-13 00:41:55 | Shady-Pride 0x7a8c…1ddc | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x2fa92e… |
| 05-13 00:23:34 | Every-Lottery 0xc327…d803 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xe542bb… |
| 05-12 23:11:16 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x6d6868… |
| 05-12 22:56:11 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x7232ca… |
| 05-12 21:21:41 | Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x1f089e… |
| 05-12 20:42:45 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 69¢ | $21 | 0xcbbb8d… |
| 05-12 20:15:48 | Cheery-Jewel 0x3334…69b0 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 32¢ | $9 | 0x68b675… |
| 05-12 19:30:27 | Wavy-Surround 0x9a12…fe57 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x4ed747… |
| 05-12 17:36:35 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x5c8c7e… |
| 05-12 17:36:31 | Weepy-Creche 0x8fbf…0771 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x0209a8… |
| 05-12 16:21:25 | Dimpled-Jodhpurs 0x5bbf…002f | No | SELL | 15 | 73¢ | $11 | 0x9f4768… |
| 05-12 15:23:15 | Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x36e4c7… |
| 05-12 09:52:23 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x2f0be8… |
| 05-12 08:52:29 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | BUY | 36 | 26¢ | $9 | 0x2a783c… |
| 05-12 05:41:05 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x768d71… |
| 05-12 02:44:05 | Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x608c8f… |
| 05-12 01:03:27 | Shady-Pride 0x7a8c…1ddc | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xa67eba… |
| 05-11 23:36:57 | Forceful-Nick 0x5695…60e9 | No | BUY | 14 | 74¢ | $10 | 0x58c495… |
| 05-11 23:36:27 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0x80ab62… |
| 05-11 23:36:23 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0xf889f5… |
| 05-11 20:32:02 | Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x75ddc6… |
| 05-11 18:09:19 | Spectacular-Sandwich 0x3007…8f81 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 34¢ | $17 | 0xd2e0fc… |
| 05-11 12:08:49 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x0467c7… |
| 05-11 06:24:16 | Colorless-Earthworm 0x8d65…da6e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x7b00bb… |