Worrisome-Chinchilla — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,987

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-20 17:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

97% 0% $-2

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% 50% $-4

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 500 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?	5	$434	400	100	+300	open	—	05-20 17:00
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	5	$282	412	0	+412	open	—	05-20 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 27?	26	$222	252	0	+252	open	—	04-27 05:58
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	16	$180	235	28	+207	open	—	04-23 03:00
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 23c	7	$178	182	4	+178	open	—	04-18 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 27?	23	$170	243	0	+243	open	—	04-27 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	12	$152	238	0	+238	open	—	04-28 06:35
highest temperature in paris on april 20 2026 16c	11	$144	180	0	+180	open	—	04-20 16:27
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	3	$141	101	101	+0	open	—	05-20 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?	7	$129	148	0	+148	open	—	04-26 02:26
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 29c	10	$129	39	289	-249	open	—	04-23 03:52
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?	3	$120	200	0	+200	open	—	05-19 16:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?	13	$112	188	0	+188	open	—	04-25 04:32
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	11	$110	143	0	+143	open	—	04-20 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 28?	6	$108	121	0	+121	open	—	04-28 07:02
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 17c	9	$104	132	0	+132	open	—	04-23 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 27?	25	$97	271	0	+271	open	—	04-27 05:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	7	$85	94	0	+94	open	—	04-28 06:35
highest temperature in houston on april 21 2026 72forhigher	12	$83	104	0	+104	open	—	04-21 19:07
highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 12c	6	$83	93	0	+93	open	—	04-20 11:25
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 19corhigher	15	$83	105	0	+105	open	—	04-22 22:00
highest temperature in houston on april 21 2026 70 71f	13	$81	112	0	+112	open	—	04-21 19:08
highest temperature in mexico city on april 20 2026 26corhigher	11	$80	82	0	+82	open	—	04-20 21:57
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	5	$80	86	0	+86	open	—	04-26 16:33
highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 86 87f	1	$79	80	0	+80	open	—	04-24 18:24
highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 14c	6	$75	93	0	+93	open	—	04-20 11:25
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	17	$75	100	15	+85	open	—	04-22 22:33
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 22c	7	$75	77	13	+65	open	—	04-18 06:33
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 24	2	$74	80	0	+80	open	—	04-24 16:00
highest temperature in mexico city on april 20 2026 25c	11	$74	83	0	+83	open	—	04-20 21:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 17:00:55	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	72¢	$23	0xc6a6cf…
05-20 17:00:13	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xbd2c15…
05-20 14:59:58	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xf163c7…
05-20 13:04:00	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	69	72¢	$50	0xbeb845…
05-20 06:57:16	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	101	68¢	$69	0x2955a0…
05-20 06:27:45	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xa2daef…
05-20 06:27:17	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	112	90¢	$101	0xc23964…
05-20 06:25:58	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x2546e5…
05-19 16:53:21	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	67	70¢	$47	0x285d75…
05-19 16:28:20	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x7a27c5…
05-19 15:03:24	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xed1be0…
05-19 14:24:10	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x49c14d…
05-19 13:48:42	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x78afa8…
05-19 12:19:46	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x24b26b…
05-19 11:52:14	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x8c661d…
05-19 11:45:09	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x1afb09…
04-28 11:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xae12e2…
04-28 11:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8b439d…
04-28 11:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x045952…
04-28 10:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 28?	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0xd0de67…
04-28 10:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 28?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xc9aa7a…
04-28 10:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 28?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$9	0xbe8d59…
04-28 10:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 28?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x2f77b3…
04-28 10:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xed19ad…
04-28 10:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc22e9c…
04-28 10:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x9c68d2…
04-28 10:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 28?	No	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0xce5fa6…
04-28 10:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xbca9cd…
04-28 10:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x168c04…
04-28 10:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x629304…
04-28 09:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x0b9f38…
04-28 09:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 28?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$9	0x0b2085…
04-28 09:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xfff793…
04-28 09:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7389d4…
04-28 09:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2ddef6…
04-28 09:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf3aba6…
04-28 09:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xe63e69…
04-28 09:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8467a7…
04-28 09:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0dec29…
04-28 08:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x88a5fa…
04-28 08:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x596017…
04-28 08:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x13071e…
04-28 08:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xfe37da…
04-28 08:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xfd1646…
04-28 08:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x361ebe…
04-28 08:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x1c7b29…
04-28 08:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x1be47b…
04-28 08:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on April 29?	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0xbda444…
04-28 08:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on April 29?	No	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x99d053…
04-28 08:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 29?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x982ca5…
04-28 08:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdf151a…
04-28 08:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xaec069…
04-28 08:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xaa5883…
04-28 08:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x01a666…
04-28 08:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xbe4d38…
04-28 08:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x223550…
04-28 08:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x843e3b…
04-28 08:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4c6f24…
04-28 08:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x2ac1e1…
04-28 08:12:56	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 28?	No	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xee2465…
04-28 08:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 28?	No	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x8af792…
04-28 08:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on April 28?	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xf9286d…
04-28 08:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xd74352…
04-28 08:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xb97f13…
04-28 08:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x525c68…
04-28 08:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x633cf0…
04-28 07:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xb55a90…
04-28 07:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x8d2953…
04-28 07:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x2970fd…
04-28 07:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x04aeae…
04-28 07:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfa0554…
04-28 07:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xa2f105…
04-28 07:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0eb5a4…
04-28 07:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x922592…
04-28 07:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0xd23bbd…
04-28 07:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$4	0x35b76d…
04-28 07:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0b1890…
04-28 07:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbe4d3e…
04-28 07:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x712605…
04-28 07:35:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$4	0xd10a69…
04-28 07:35:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3dd287…
04-28 07:35:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0x23ca2f…
04-28 07:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on April 28?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0x0664e0…
04-28 07:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 28?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$9	0x9224ee…
04-28 07:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xdf074e…
04-28 07:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0xd9fe7b…
04-28 07:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0x59dcc8…
04-28 07:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0x46190b…
04-28 07:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$8	0xe33f11…
04-28 07:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?	No	BUY	68	9¢	$6	0x71243a…
04-28 07:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 28?	No	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0x4a63b3…
04-28 07:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x801861…
04-28 06:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	224	0¢	$1	0x3c8ede…
04-28 06:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0x9dd5af…
04-28 06:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x5d83d6…
04-28 06:17:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xaacf08…
04-28 06:17:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa20a49…
04-28 06:17:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x37be99…
04-28 06:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x944bef…
04-28 06:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xaefe81…