Worrisome-Chinchilla — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.84K

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

6,915

Trades

18,144

lifetime

Volume

$125.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$127

9 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-21 09:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Other

87% 73% +$1,696

Sports

6% 79% +$76

Politics

5% 69% -$19

Tech

1% 73% -$2

Crypto

1% 72% +$53

Pop-Culture

0% 78% +$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+81	$60	70¢	$56	-$4	05-21 02:50
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+83	$19	31¢	$26	+$7	05-21 02:50
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?	No	+35	$10	44¢	$16	+$5	06-18 11:45
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	+15	$12	94¢	$14	+$1	05-15 14:54
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	+26	$4	24¢	$6	+$2	06-05 04:36
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	+12	$6	51¢	$6	$0	05-30 07:38
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	+26	$3	10¢	$3	-$1	05-23 20:55
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	+15	$2	6¢	$1	-$1	05-15 14:54
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	No	+1	$1	77¢	$1	+$0	06-05 04:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	35	$727	1,371	0	+1,371	Yes	-$727	05-30 18:59
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	20	$655	787	0	+787	No	+$132	04-29 20:43
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	26	$654	1,329	0	+1,329	No	+$675	05-30 18:55
Will San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?	30	$603	715	0	+715	Yes	-$603	05-03 03:40
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	29	$563	736	0	+736	No	+$173	05-04 15:22
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	24	$538	586	6	+579	No	+$47	05-24 20:57
Will Victor Wembanyama record the highest scoring game of the 2026 NBA Finals?	35	$504	286	286	+0	No	+$22	06-14 03:31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	18	$485	845	0	+845	No	+$360	04-29 20:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 29?	29	$456	471	55	+416	No	+$25	04-29 06:47
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-04-30?	13	$456	492	0	+492	No	+$36	04-30 17:41
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	20	$444	820	0	+820	Yes	-$444	04-29 20:43
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	15	$443	487	75	+412	No	+$92	05-19 19:48
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	11	$441	572	0	+572	No	+$130	05-04 15:22
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?	5	$434	400	100	+300	Yes	+$14	05-20 17:00
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-02?	13	$432	506	0	+506	Yes	-$432	05-03 01:24
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	23	$412	677	102	+576	No	+$311	06-03 13:29
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	23	$403	410	75	+335	No	+$8	05-24 20:57
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	6	$398	441	0	+441	No	+$42	05-02 08:05
Will FC Andorra vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?	14	$382	414	0	+414	No	+$33	05-01 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?	32	$378	405	145	+260	Yes	-$234	04-29 23:19
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?	16	$371	796	0	+796	Yes	-$371	05-04 15:22
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?	25	$371	653	28	+626	Yes	-$353	06-03 19:09
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03?	16	$369	430	0	+430	No	+$61	05-04 03:15
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?	16	$365	452	0	+452	No	+$87	05-02 15:50
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?	14	$353	470	0	+470	No	+$117	05-04 03:13
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?	11	$336	429	0	+429	Yes	-$336	05-02 15:30
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?	13	$330	434	0	+434	No	+$103	04-30 17:34
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-02?	17	$312	364	0	+364	No	+$52	05-03 04:34
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-02?	10	$311	418	0	+418	No	+$107	05-02 18:16
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?	10	$308	380	0	+380	No	+$72	05-02 11:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 09:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x8f153a…
10-21 09:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb1dda9…
10-21 09:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4efd18…
10-21 09:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x07be2b…
10-21 09:35:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x094dd9…
10-21 09:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5c34c5…
10-21 09:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd0724c…
10-21 09:25:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x84e34c…
10-21 09:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfc35c2…
10-21 09:23:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7b5595…
10-21 09:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x7b5b72…
10-21 09:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x5f3b35…
10-21 09:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x071500…
10-21 09:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x8181d2…
10-21 09:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf45207…
10-21 09:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x8d0a7a…
10-21 09:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xd9b25d…
10-21 09:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 22?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1a6ba2…
10-21 09:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 22?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x14301c…
10-21 09:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 22?	No	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x02f8ae…
10-14 05:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C or below on October 14?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xa141bc…
10-13 17:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x67c2ab…
10-12 09:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xeda553…
10-12 09:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x71e6d8…
10-12 08:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8213e8…
10-12 08:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C or below on October 14?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xd1b8dd…
10-12 08:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x79a897…
10-12 08:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x4d9028…
10-12 08:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xcbb276…
10-12 08:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb697b6…
10-12 08:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x528f57…
10-12 08:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5f7805…
10-12 08:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or higher on October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xde1488…
10-12 07:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x880925…
10-12 07:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x29b05b…
10-12 07:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xb6867b…
10-12 07:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf422ec…
10-12 07:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xfd712d…
10-12 07:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C or below on October 14?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xfdb136…
10-12 07:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x679f10…
10-12 07:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1226a2…
10-12 07:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe91490…
10-12 06:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C or higher on October 14?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4f9d88…
10-12 06:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x77a497…
10-12 05:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x140a50…
10-12 05:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x30c36d…
10-12 05:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x0114fe…
10-12 05:56:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6e69fe…
10-12 05:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4ec67e…
10-12 05:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd1ee86…
10-12 05:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x4cf2d8…
10-12 05:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 14?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x75c4a3…
10-12 05:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x36bde4…
10-12 05:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf82e24…
10-12 05:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd32b2f…
10-12 04:53:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe7eb8f…
10-12 04:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe8d514…
10-12 04:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xca9dd7…
10-12 04:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x066008…
10-12 04:52:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7752c2…
10-12 03:32:48	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8e0621…
10-12 01:00:24	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x3eb5a0…
10-11 23:37:59	Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 12°C or below on October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1d88c1…
10-11 23:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 11?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5e8397…
10-11 23:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb8fa9b…
10-11 23:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 11?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x767350…
10-11 23:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 11?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5f1895…
10-11 23:06:53	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x79e339…
10-11 23:06:36	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x010f2f…
10-11 23:06:20	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x205281…
10-11 23:06:05	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7467a5…
10-11 22:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x997412…
10-11 22:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6b2e8d…
10-11 22:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 13?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x2ca680…
10-11 22:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x599797…
10-11 21:29:05	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4b9fa1…
10-11 21:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x89a450…
10-11 21:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x179369…
10-11 21:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x433c5a…
10-11 21:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xed5bfe…
10-11 21:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb23bbe…
10-11 21:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7e8795…
10-11 21:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7e1b1e…
10-11 21:20:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb661f0…
10-11 20:52:35	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x503200…
10-11 20:51:35	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3ac321…
10-11 20:49:58	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf19749…
10-11 20:49:58	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x64e8b4…
10-11 20:49:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcf0a28…
10-11 20:49:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3117de…
10-11 20:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 13?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x06a355…
10-11 18:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 100°F or higher on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x68458f…
10-11 18:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0f5226…
10-11 17:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 13?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xccf9b6…
10-11 17:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 13?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0a4d40…
10-11 17:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 13?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xecac1b…
10-11 17:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 13?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa53ae7…
10-11 17:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8ca05a…
10-11 17:04:21	Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x429399…
10-11 17:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 11?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3db1c2…