Hollow-Commitment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$401

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.3%

Resolved

1,197

Trades

1,570

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-21 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 149 days

Categories

Other

100% 72% +$401

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on May 25?	5	$50	69	+69	Yes	-$50	05-24 23:19
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 25?	6	$50	70	+70	No	+$20	05-24 19:01
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 24?	5	$43	68	+68	No	+$25	05-23 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26?	4	$40	54	+54	No	+$14	05-25 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 25?	4	$39	56	+56	Yes	-$39	05-24 13:43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 18?	7	$37	49	+49	No	+$12	05-17 19:54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16?	7	$36	53	+53	No	+$17	05-15 23:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 1?	6	$32	45	+45	Yes	-$32	04-30 18:33
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 8?	6	$31	45	+45	No	+$14	05-07 20:50
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25?	3	$30	41	+41	Yes	-$30	05-24 03:41
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 18?	6	$28	45	+45	Yes	-$28	05-17 20:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 15?	5	$26	35	+35	Yes	-$26	05-14 23:40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 3?	5	$25	41	+41	No	+$16	05-02 23:21
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on April 30?	5	$25	37	+37	No	+$12	04-29 22:26
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 80°F or higher on May 3?	5	$25	46	+46	Yes	-$25	05-02 23:06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 3?	5	$25	42	+42	No	+$17	05-02 11:18
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C or higher on May 1?	5	$25	50	+50	No	+$25	04-30 22:25
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 19?	3	$25	32	+32	No	+$7	07-18 02:27
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on May 13?	5	$24	33	+33	No	+$9	05-12 23:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?	5	$24	34	+34	No	+$10	05-10 23:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 7?	5	$24	39	+39	Yes	-$24	05-06 22:10
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 26?	3	$23	34	+34	No	+$11	05-25 08:36
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on May 1?	5	$22	44	+44	No	+$22	04-30 15:34
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 27?	2	$22	25	+25	No	+$3	07-26 23:41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 29?	5	$21	31	+31	No	+$10	04-28 21:31
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 1?	4	$21	28	+28	No	+$7	04-30 21:26
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 29?	4	$21	30	+30	No	+$9	04-28 21:58
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 1?	1	$21	22	+22	No	+$1	05-30 05:43
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 30?	3	$21	28	+28	Yes	-$21	05-29 08:28
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 27?	2	$21	22	+22	No	+$1	06-25 05:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 15:53:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 22?	No	BUY	48	9¢	$4	0xa9d15e…
10-20 09:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 21?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x02ba93…
10-19 05:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa5c93e…
10-18 23:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x48a16f…
10-18 19:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf08ccf…
10-18 00:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 19?	No	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xf3db08…
10-17 03:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 18?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xda8ba2…
10-16 07:26:09	highest temperature in lucknow on october 18 2026 33c	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe0ccbb…
10-15 22:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 16?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0e038f…
10-15 22:37:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 17?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc2cc90…
10-15 17:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x637aac…
10-15 16:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1b9347…
10-15 16:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x987c45…
10-15 16:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 16?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x182148…
10-15 16:01:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 17?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe053d2…
10-15 16:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on October 16?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x547282…
10-13 23:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 15?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0xa62d77…
10-13 16:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 14?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x6e82ce…
10-13 13:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x509f47…
10-13 13:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 15?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x7a72f2…
10-13 13:02:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 14?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x25c772…
10-13 11:40:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe3712c…
10-13 02:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xdb2dd7…
10-13 02:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x86773b…
10-13 02:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xaa9537…
10-10 03:30:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 11?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x586f0e…
10-09 12:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xf1b1a8…
10-09 12:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf42ae5…
10-09 06:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 11?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc47251…
10-09 06:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 10?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc1f5e3…
10-09 05:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 10?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x67f460…
10-09 05:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x6864af…
10-09 01:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 10?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xe57512…
10-08 22:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 10?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc79c9e…
10-08 09:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 9?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc0a64b…
10-08 08:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 10?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x49b6ca…
10-08 06:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 10?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xdee85c…
10-08 04:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 9?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6d387b…
10-07 18:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 9?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8caec4…
10-07 14:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 9?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x408afd…
10-07 13:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 9?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xbc5779…
10-07 09:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 8?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x98655b…
10-07 05:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd72adb…
10-07 03:41:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x47c64c…
10-06 22:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 7?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x9cb18c…
10-06 15:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 8?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x74c3ed…
10-06 11:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 7?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x6bee0a…
10-06 11:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 8?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5fd62b…
10-06 07:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 8?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x410ab3…
10-06 07:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 8?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x45c4de…
10-06 00:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 7?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x655bc2…
10-05 17:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x96c272…
10-05 16:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 7?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x15e243…
10-05 10:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 7?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x6f2730…
10-05 09:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 7?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x32daa7…
10-05 03:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xeb1853…
10-04 23:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 6?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb5b985…
10-04 17:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 6?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa661f4…
10-04 17:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 6?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x7ce764…
10-04 16:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 6?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x686888…
10-04 16:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x4954c9…
10-04 15:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 5?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa4ccae…
10-04 05:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xd88fb8…
10-04 03:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 5?	No	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x012027…
10-03 23:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 4?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x2e354d…
10-03 23:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 4?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x2821a7…
10-03 23:41:23	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 5?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xca8e7c…
10-03 22:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x4adb64…
10-03 21:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 5?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x11b357…
10-03 18:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x6b44d4…
10-03 18:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 5?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x067052…
10-03 17:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 4?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8a1a3c…
10-03 17:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 5?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x266aa3…
10-03 10:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x716896…
10-03 08:35:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x238148…
10-02 23:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x681319…
10-02 23:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 3?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb75b4b…
10-02 22:20:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xdf30e1…
10-02 17:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x016cb3…
10-02 15:49:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 4?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8a6a07…
10-02 08:44:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 4?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9ccb7c…
10-02 08:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x821cc4…
10-02 05:38:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 3?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x5ccb0f…
10-02 05:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x55143b…
10-01 23:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 2?	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x149222…
10-01 21:31:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xdb2044…
10-01 21:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 3?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x755bfd…
10-01 21:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x6e3809…
10-01 17:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xaa3570…
10-01 06:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x3d16ae…
10-01 05:50:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x7d226e…
09-30 23:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 1?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x13fcd4…
09-30 23:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe5be10…
09-30 17:25:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 2?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xff9efa…
09-30 16:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 1?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xe835f7…
09-30 16:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 2?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7ab21c…
09-30 05:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 2?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4c1ef9…
09-29 22:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xd607bf…
09-29 16:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 1?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x605a6e…
09-29 15:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on September 30?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x5c0157…