Cheerful-Past 0x85c869…5480f8
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$949
Unrealized P&L
-$62
Hit rate
78.6%
Resolved
5,926
Trades
14,257
lifetime
Volume
$95.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$451
22 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 05-15 11:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
94% 65% +$987
Politics
4% 79% +$89
Crypto
2% 72% -$83
Tech
0% 50% -$44
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? No +98 $95 100¢ $98 +$3 05-08 04:02
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +126 $117 67¢ $84 -$32 05-06 21:11
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +38 $38 100¢ $38 +$0 05-07 09:04
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +30 $19 99¢ $30 +$11 05-05 16:06
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +28 $27 100¢ $28 +$1 05-03 08:38
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +94 $41 28¢ $26 -$14 05-12 06:39
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +48 $20 36¢ $17 -$3 05-12 07:40
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +18 $18 89¢ $16 -$2 05-03 16:30
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +15 $10 93¢ $14 +$4 05-10 15:17
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +38 $23 35¢ $13 -$10 05-09 21:16
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +18 $10 70¢ $13 +$3 05-03 16:30
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 05-06 13:50
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 05-06 15:34
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 $0 05-06 15:34
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $0 05-03 17:36
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +44 $28 12¢ $5 -$23 05-10 10:56
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 05-08 15:46
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 05-05 13:46
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 05-05 13:46
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +5 $2 89¢ $4 +$2 05-08 08:35
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 05-05 13:37
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? No +9 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 05-03 20:34