Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$524
$1,300 in 24h
Trades
75
Unique wallets
60
Liquidity
$2,934
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 23:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $102 | $102 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 54 | $66 | $297 | $231 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $4 | $38 | $34 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $7 | $21 | $14 |
| Median | 19 | $29 | $218 | $189 |
| Below median | 15 | $10 | $43 | $33 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $15 | $15 | $0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $62 | $62 |
| unranked | 5 | $1 | $12 | $11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smooth-Influence 0x3032…99e7 | No | +158 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-14 19:27 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +60 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 05-14 22:19 |
| Shocking-Clip 0x3c11…33c9 | No | +50 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-14 19:27 |
| Remorseful-Relish 0x2a87…a55a | Yes | +50 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 04:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe7f…7428 | Yes | +40 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 20:32 |
| Strident-Omega 0xb55c…04ea | No | +40 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-14 01:01 |
| Dismal-Wrestler 0xc769…0925 | Yes | +35 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 13:34 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +32 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 05-13 21:23 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-14 12:00 |
| Juicy-Temporariness 0xd2c1…5b62 | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-13 05:08 |
| Nifty-Shelf 0xce05…ff90 | No | +28 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-14 22:12 |
| Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | No | +21 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 10:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 22:20 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 10:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc398…e242 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 22:54 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +19 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-13 23:38 |
| Buoyant-Postage 0x3972…a677 | No | +17 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-14 22:10 |
| Tedious-Postage 0x0838…64f6 | Yes | +16 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 21:28 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +14 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 05-14 19:24 |
| Altruistic-Blast-Input 0xb6db…d970 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 22:52 |
| Firm-Luxury 0x9838…8469 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 00:08 |
| Wilted-Goodbye 0x3543…c63f | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 11:12 |
| Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 06:04 |
| Detailed-Pan 0x222b…1e07 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:22 |
| Snoopy-Conviction 0xe587…dc56 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 19:02 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 23:28 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 16:59 |
| Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:44 |
| Rosy-Planula 0x1096…a162 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 12:08 |
| Live-Yolk 0x3102…9ba8 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 19:27 |
| Enchanted-Epoxy 0x7eee…d321 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7f6…712f | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 10:24 |
| Candid-Mixture 0x478e…a576 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 10:04 |
| Dirty-Dulcimer 0xcb9f…b5f6 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 21:14 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 19:27 |
| Uniform-Wrench 0xe196…b2b8 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 10:04 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 20:24 |
| Plaintive-Bob 0x0820…4b09 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:58 |
| Brisk-Hive 0xee2a…729b | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:39 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 21:26 |
| Purple-Leopard 0x96ce…0171 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:57 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 00:08 |
| Thankful-Blackboard 0x4fbc…8dd2 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 16:36 |
| Roasted-Olive 0x5979…98b7 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 17:18 |
| Tired-Gosling 0x3deb…3278 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 06:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 23:28:58 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x8b6b42… |
| 05-14 22:54:54 | Quick-Transport 0x1294…35bb | Yes | SELL | 19 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x1d8672… |
| 05-14 22:52:12 | Altruistic-Blast-Input 0xb6db…d970 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x68542e… |
| 05-14 22:20:01 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xac34ee… |
| 05-14 22:19:54 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x4f4a71… |
| 05-14 22:19:54 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xe8a9fc… |
| 05-14 22:19:54 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x26de5b… |
| 05-14 22:12:35 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0xce4ce2… |
| 05-14 22:12:32 | Nifty-Shelf 0xce05…ff90 | No | BUY | 28 | 77¢ | $22 | 0x867886… |
| 05-14 22:10:06 | Buoyant-Postage 0x3972…a677 | No | BUY | 17 | 76¢ | $13 | 0x1875b2… |
| 05-14 21:56:52 | Quick-Transport 0x1294…35bb | Yes | SELL | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x888ce5… |
| 05-14 21:28:43 | Tedious-Postage 0x0838…64f6 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x2dcf54… |
| 05-14 21:14:54 | Dirty-Dulcimer 0xcb9f…b5f6 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xb99d8a… |
| 05-14 20:32:26 | Hurtful-Captain 0x2b13…62d3 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xa282f5… |
| 05-14 20:32:10 | (anonymous) 0xfe7f…7428 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0xe2883f… |
| 05-14 20:24:19 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x8095c5… |
| 05-14 20:24:19 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xcff740… |
| 05-14 20:24:19 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x565da4… |
| 05-14 19:57:33 | Purple-Leopard 0x96ce…0171 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x7696a5… |
| 05-14 19:54:01 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x9b8e2d… |
| 05-14 19:27:55 | Shocking-Clip 0x3c11…33c9 | No | BUY | 50 | 64¢ | $32 | 0x6b84ba… |
| 05-14 19:27:51 | Enchanted-Epoxy 0x7eee…d321 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xfaeb9b… |
| 05-14 19:27:35 | Live-Yolk 0x3102…9ba8 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xedfd85… |
| 05-14 19:27:34 | Smooth-Influence 0x3032…99e7 | No | BUY | 158 | 63¢ | $100 | 0xaf2eac… |
| 05-14 19:27:09 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x9cbbcf… |
| 05-14 19:27:07 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x7607d2… |
| 05-14 19:24:44 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0xeb185a… |
| 05-14 19:02:15 | Snoopy-Conviction 0xe587…dc56 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xcf1571… |
| 05-14 18:01:21 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x830b27… |
| 05-14 18:01:21 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x85e1ee… |
| 05-14 17:18:49 | Roasted-Olive 0x5979…98b7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x0dbff7… |
| 05-14 16:59:36 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | BUY | 9 | 73¢ | $7 | 0x67da6a… |
| 05-14 16:36:28 | Thankful-Blackboard 0x4fbc…8dd2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x422d57… |
| 05-14 15:48:56 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x1eafe8… |
| 05-14 14:04:13 | Submissive-Squid 0x5c9d…cb94 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 25¢ | $13 | 0x67f7d8… |
| 05-14 13:34:25 | Dismal-Wrestler 0xc769…0925 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x69c633… |
| 05-14 12:00:45 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 76¢ | $23 | 0x2734e0… |
| 05-14 11:12:29 | Wilted-Goodbye 0x3543…c63f | No | BUY | 12 | 77¢ | $9 | 0x343831… |
| 05-14 10:24:22 | (anonymous) 0xf7f6…712f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x91af73… |
| 05-14 10:04:19 | Candid-Mixture 0x478e…a576 | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xe4dbe7… |
| 05-14 10:04:18 | Uniform-Wrench 0xe196…b2b8 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xf2bd40… |
| 05-14 10:04:05 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 20 | 74¢ | $15 | 0xc85b52… |
| 05-14 10:04:04 | Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | No | BUY | 21 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x042eb9… |
| 05-14 04:26:29 | Remorseful-Relish 0x2a87…a55a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x63feda… |
| 05-14 01:01:55 | Strident-Omega 0xb55c…04ea | No | BUY | 40 | 83¢ | $33 | 0x0140f2… |
| 05-14 00:39:25 | Brisk-Hive 0xee2a…729b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x295f05… |
| 05-14 00:27:03 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0xe393bc… |
| 05-14 00:08:34 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 3 | 82¢ | $3 | 0x8219d4… |
| 05-14 00:08:34 | Firm-Luxury 0x9838…8469 | No | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0xc48c48… |
| 05-13 23:38:30 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xbbb015… |
| 05-13 23:29:50 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xf09316… |
| 05-13 23:23:46 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x5aa9f5… |
| 05-13 22:54:17 | (anonymous) 0xfe09…b1ee | Yes | SELL | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x3f247e… |
| 05-13 22:54:13 | (anonymous) 0x4624…d4bf | Yes | SELL | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xbf0163… |
| 05-13 22:54:13 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xad90b8… |
| 05-13 22:54:11 | (anonymous) 0xc398…e242 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xcad8a4… |
| 05-13 22:22:01 | Detailed-Pan 0x222b…1e07 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x57eef3… |
| 05-13 21:44:01 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc66136… |
| 05-13 21:26:59 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x0b89fd… |
| 05-13 21:23:57 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0xa311d7… |
| 05-13 21:23:57 | (anonymous) 0xf94e…4ffb | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x65f928… |
| 05-13 21:23:13 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x977cb9… |
| 05-13 20:02:55 | (anonymous) 0xa819…5062 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xaa8d3e… |
| 05-13 19:37:59 | Repentant-Spelling 0x0675…1ec0 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xae2c73… |
| 05-13 17:37:46 | Repentant-Spelling 0x0675…1ec0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x6c6f79… |
| 05-13 12:08:14 | Rosy-Planula 0x1096…a162 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xd555a3… |
| 05-13 11:08:11 | Sandy-Driver 0x2dc3…19e0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xccee8e… |
| 05-13 06:41:04 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x553303… |
| 05-13 06:04:12 | Inconsequential-Spectacles 0x14da…0af1 | No | SELL | 3 | 79¢ | $2 | 0xa09774… |
| 05-13 06:04:09 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x099303… |
| 05-13 06:04:07 | Inconsequential-Spectacles 0x14da…0af1 | No | SELL | 2 | 77¢ | $2 | 0x3729f3… |
| 05-13 06:04:02 | Tired-Gosling 0x3deb…3278 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x24f3ea… |
| 05-13 05:08:37 | Juicy-Temporariness 0xd2c1…5b62 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 19¢ | $3 | 0xd98078… |
| 05-13 05:03:36 | Juicy-Temporariness 0xd2c1…5b62 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x413303… |
| 05-13 04:58:37 | Plaintive-Bob 0x0820…4b09 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xe356e5… |