Candid-Mixture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.04K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved

6,524

Trades

70,736

lifetime

Volume

$370.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 09-03 11:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 53% -$4,167

Other

23% 35% -$4,158

Politics

7% 46% +$216

Tech

2% 60% +$65

Sports

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 65 89	67	$2.4K	1,991	1,988	+3	No	-$45	03-07 08:21
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	90	$2.4K	1,650	1,255	+395	Yes	+$69	03-24 22:32
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	24	$2.3K	2,615	2,615	+0	Yes	-$103	04-06 20:16
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	12	$2.1K	1,795	1,795	+0	No	+$51	04-20 13:08
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	30	$1.9K	1,950	1,869	+82	No	-$57	02-24 16:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 04:45 UTC	244	$1.8K	2,464	787	+1,677	Down	+$58	02-04 04:59
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	38	$1.8K	1,891	1,891	+0	Yes	+$447	03-07 14:31
bitcoin up or down february 7 8am et	168	$1.8K	1,952	861	+1,091	Up	-$40	02-07 14:00
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	24	$1.6K	1,516	970	+545	Yes	+$712	04-06 23:17
r6siege 9z sn 2026 03 12 game1	2	$1.5K	1,470	1,470	+0	9z	-$1,176	03-11 01:49
r6siege 9z sn 2026 03 12 game2	2	$1.5K	1,470	1,470	+0	9z	-$1,176	03-11 01:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:45 UTC	161	$1.5K	1,652	805	+847	Up	-$3	02-04 08:59
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	44	$1.4K	2,651	1,551	+1,100	No	-$111	04-04 06:43
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	54	$1.4K	2,080	2,080	+0	Yes	+$426	03-03 18:08
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	106	$1.4K	3,746	2,530	+1,216	No	-$228	03-06 14:16
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	97	$1.4K	4,114	1,970	+2,144	No	-$332	03-05 15:23
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 04:30 UTC	199	$1.4K	2,287	586	+1,701	Down	+$134	02-04 04:45
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	72	$1.4K	1,584	1,437	+148	Yes	+$300	03-02 17:00
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	47	$1.4K	3,240	2,231	+1,009	No	+$66	03-05 09:37
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	20	$1.3K	1,177	1,177	+0	No	+$19	04-20 06:07
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	40	$1.3K	1,406	1,406	+0	Yes	+$321	03-06 16:02
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 05:45 UTC	143	$1.3K	1,991	218	+1,774	Up	+$2	02-04 06:00
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	29	$1.3K	1,117	1,117	+0	No	+$53	04-20 17:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 10:00 UTC	192	$1.2K	1,022	877	+145	Down	+$15	02-11 10:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 06:45 UTC	117	$1.2K	1,434	406	+1,028	Down	-$12	02-04 07:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	12	$1.2K	733	733	+0	Yes	+$178	04-08 14:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 07:30 UTC	68	$1.2K	1,070	629	+441	Up	-$20	02-04 07:43
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 65 89	34	$1.2K	2,592	2,541	+51	No	+$197	03-02 16:40
bitcoin up or down february 7 6am et	89	$1.2K	981	724	+257	Down	+$319	02-07 11:59
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	47	$1.2K	795	795	+0	Yes	-$4	03-29 03:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 11:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x583988…
09-03 09:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0e1392…
09-03 09:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x007a2e…
09-03 07:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xa9de96…
09-03 04:47:16	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x9c8271…
09-03 04:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc3bdb9…
09-03 04:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9d8e21…
09-03 03:48:03	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x03454b…
09-03 03:24:13	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x84b1fc…
09-03 02:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0xae3987…
09-03 00:27:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb40b4e…
09-03 00:27:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xaae1d6…
09-03 00:27:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x52036c…
09-03 00:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x901873…
09-02 23:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xaa1db9…
09-02 23:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x104b56…
09-02 21:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xfcb8ef…
09-02 21:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x1664e3…
09-02 21:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x41f4e3…
09-02 21:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x849631…
09-02 21:32:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xd51871…
09-02 21:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x870add…
09-02 21:19:51	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xd73296…
09-02 21:11:28	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x40a900…
09-02 21:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xf112ae…
09-02 21:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x4b7b0e…
09-02 21:03:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0x4cf3de…
09-02 21:01:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xd35168…
09-02 20:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8af9c3…
09-02 20:27:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x550352…
09-02 20:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x1fc30a…
09-02 20:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x086595…
09-02 20:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xfe5d5e…
09-02 20:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x590491…
09-02 20:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x07a16b…
09-02 19:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x07c792…
09-02 19:45:13	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb78183…
09-02 19:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xff32b9…
09-02 19:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xedb89f…
09-02 19:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xd65774…
09-02 19:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x9acf05…
09-02 19:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xe68cb3…
09-02 19:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x64ec17…
09-02 19:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xddd86c…
09-02 19:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc6b3e2…
09-02 19:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x71a047…
09-02 19:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x451dc7…
09-02 19:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x889952…
09-02 19:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x15b094…
09-02 19:08:37	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x942973…
09-02 19:08:13	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf7ede2…
09-02 19:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x21b5a4…
09-02 18:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xdb2b65…
09-02 18:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb9a14e…
09-02 18:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1a373e…
09-02 18:50:07	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x705cc2…
09-02 18:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x519529…
09-02 18:43:12	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xe47a2c…
09-02 18:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x75a32c…
09-02 18:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x0b072d…
09-02 18:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xc69c52…
09-02 18:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xea1740…
09-02 18:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x8b707d…
09-02 18:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x92c73d…
09-02 18:31:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x6c5238…
09-02 18:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xec1222…
09-02 18:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x550a27…
09-02 18:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x067671…
09-02 18:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa4ed5c…
09-02 18:18:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x9ead12…
09-02 18:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x4a1261…
09-02 18:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0x3818d1…
09-02 18:11:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x022010…
09-02 18:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xae0c81…
09-02 18:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb98e0a…
09-02 14:15:06	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x7f4c19…
09-02 12:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2ad138…
09-02 09:34:49	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x126cc0…
09-02 05:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xa0dd8e…
09-02 05:27:10	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x5be366…
09-02 05:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xf17f47…
09-02 05:00:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x72ca12…
09-02 05:00:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x52300b…
09-02 00:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x167fa9…
09-02 00:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x21a922…
09-02 00:03:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x91a197…
09-02 00:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x55c9d2…
09-01 23:56:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x6941e5…
09-01 23:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x17db75…
09-01 23:39:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x03807e…
09-01 22:33:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xca5e5c…
09-01 22:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xc29b1b…
09-01 22:05:39	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x3ae617…
09-01 22:04:01	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xbf8f3e…
09-01 21:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1e8510…
09-01 21:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x09941c…
09-01 21:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xeb8d24…
09-01 21:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc5084a…
09-01 21:21:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xe3ac90…
09-01 21:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x984f6b…