Fearless-Penny — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$183

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

6,334

Trades

44,960

lifetime

Volume

$77.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-23 11:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 56% -$478

Other

41% 85% +$350

Sports

0% 0% -$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 1096 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	6	$330	281	281	+0	Down	+$30	09-21 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	93	$256	0	457	-457	Up	-$41	09-10 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	4	$207	1,355	1,355	+0	Up	-$73	09-21 06:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?	65	$162	145	180	-35	No	+$129	05-25 11:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?	67	$161	170	165	+5	No	+$131	05-22 11:43
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	5	$160	99,107	0	+99,107	Yes	-$160	05-30 19:00
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 4am et	56	$156	0	307	-307	Down	-$9	04-23 08:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 09:15 UTC	59	$141	0	286	-286	Up	+$3	04-23 09:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?	67	$140	55	280	-225	Yes	-$204	05-22 11:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 06:45 UTC	4	$121	1,436	1,436	+0	Up	-$39	09-21 06:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 06:00 UTC	4	$113	336	336	+0	Up	-$19	09-21 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	46	$112	0	227	-227	Up	-$1	05-05 04:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 25?	65	$112	70	255	-185	No	+$79	05-25 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	51	$107	0	253	-253	Down	-$8	10-06 13:57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	1	$100	217	0	+217	No	-$100	05-11 19:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 03:45 UTC	46	$92	0	194	-194	Down	-$3	04-19 03:57
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?	65	$90	20	304	-284	No	+$80	05-25 11:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 22?	67	$90	65	270	-205	No	+$35	05-22 11:43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?	34	$89	90	80	+10	Yes	-$133	05-23 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	40	$89	0	209	-209	Up	-$21	10-06 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 15:25 UTC	12	$88	0	165	-165	Up	+$5	03-25 15:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?	40	$86	70	130	-60	No	+$57	05-26 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 31?	36	$85	75	105	-30	No	+$57	05-31 02:24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?	34	$84	60	110	-50	No	+$83	05-23 11:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?	46	$83	45	185	-140	Yes	-$163	05-31 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	11	$83	85	85	+0	Down	-$8	09-23 18:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 12:00 UTC	34	$81	0	148	-148	Up	-$1	03-25 12:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?	38	$80	45	145	-100	No	+$72	05-23 09:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	40	$79	45	155	-110	Yes	-$123	05-26 11:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?	40	$79	65	135	-70	No	+$38	05-26 11:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 11:22:54	Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	206	3¢	$7	0x771c39…
10-22 16:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x2c0a12…
10-22 16:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x547a72…
10-22 16:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xa52ef0…
10-22 16:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x72143f…
10-22 16:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$3	0xfb2251…
10-22 16:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0xfe08aa…
10-22 16:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xe9410c…
10-22 16:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x2cd9bb…
10-22 16:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x94dd52…
10-22 16:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x2a7090…
10-22 16:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xd5d74f…
10-22 16:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x65078f…
10-22 16:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xc552e0…
10-22 16:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x0bbb9b…
10-22 16:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x406d80…
10-22 16:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x414e9a…
10-22 16:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xb426d3…
10-22 16:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x15019b…
10-22 16:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x571643…
10-22 16:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x5d13a9…
10-22 16:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	78¢	$4	0x2a9dc5…
10-22 16:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x524839…
10-22 16:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x96c0c4…
10-22 16:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xe91d74…
10-22 16:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xc01f6c…
10-22 16:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x2d4770…
10-22 16:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x57c80f…
10-22 16:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x76a616…
10-22 16:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xd3003b…
10-22 16:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe6066a…
10-22 16:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x91882f…
10-22 16:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	79¢	$4	0xc46b81…
10-22 16:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x6f7958…
10-22 16:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x22ef8a…
10-22 16:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0xaa395f…
10-22 16:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x0ab485…
10-22 16:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x3f044a…
10-22 16:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x9f6ccc…
10-22 16:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xc0066f…
10-22 16:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0xede98e…
10-22 16:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x716a69…
10-22 16:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$3	0x207254…
10-22 16:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x98f90d…
10-22 16:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x9b0238…
10-22 16:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x2da31e…
10-22 16:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x6e099f…
10-22 16:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xfa9c8e…
10-22 15:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xae0944…
10-22 15:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xb14847…
10-22 15:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x8130fc…
10-22 15:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x1bfb40…
10-22 15:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x6b6328…
10-22 15:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x532015…
10-22 15:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$4	0x744a0d…
10-22 15:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xf35480…
10-22 15:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x553dc0…
10-22 15:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xa74d97…
10-22 15:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x255505…
10-22 15:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xd8e316…
10-22 15:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x4071d1…
10-22 15:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x528d32…
10-22 15:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$2	0x8ab1ac…
10-22 15:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xd5c5ba…
10-22 15:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x56f246…
10-22 15:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xce4118…
10-22 15:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$0	0xe1b202…
10-22 15:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xc7608a…
10-22 15:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x3a079d…
10-22 15:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xe8333b…
10-22 15:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x27d6bf…
10-22 15:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x55a6c9…
10-22 15:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xcdb102…
10-22 15:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$3	0x6c9eff…
10-22 15:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x521b56…
10-22 15:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x37de1f…
10-22 15:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xf3d6ea…
10-22 15:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	63¢	$3	0x711c8b…
10-22 15:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$2	0x61329b…
10-22 15:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x3fe0a0…
10-22 15:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x95d368…
10-22 15:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x163a9a…
10-22 15:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x802871…
10-22 15:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x1692a5…
10-22 15:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$4	0xfee2e5…
10-22 15:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xa23a37…
10-22 15:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	78¢	$4	0xc47b2b…
10-22 15:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x2175e0…
10-22 15:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xf3ca8c…
10-22 15:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$2	0x956c6a…
10-22 15:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x10e89a…
10-22 15:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$2	0x8db934…
10-22 15:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd69f57…
10-22 15:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcc8200…
10-22 15:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xfbf6da…
10-22 15:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x3039ad…
10-22 15:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xed0e17…
10-22 15:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$4	0x2720be…
10-22 15:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xf6e543…
10-22 15:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x101a78…