Shocking-Clip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.5%

Resolved

Trades

236

lifetime

Volume

$22.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 05-24 20:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

48% 100% +$61

Other

45% — —

Crypto

7% 50% $-122

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	15	$1.3K	1,312	1,312	+0	open	—	05-23 10:41
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$942	545	545	+0	open	—	05-24 17:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$879	497	497	+0	open	—	05-24 15:19
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$755	448	443	+5	open	—	04-01 01:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$699	710	710	+0	open	—	05-24 20:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$671	421	421	+0	open	—	04-24 14:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$661	375	375	+0	No	+$61	05-06 21:57
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$619	344	344	+0	open	—	04-30 01:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$612	463	463	+0	open	—	05-24 20:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	3	$486	303	303	+0	open	—	05-24 20:08
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$465	294	294	+0	open	—	05-18 19:43
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	5	$456	324	324	+0	open	—	03-07 00:48
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	3	$453	266	266	+0	open	—	05-18 13:00
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	4	$453	247	247	+0	open	—	04-13 21:12
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$442	253	253	+0	open	—	05-01 13:50
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	2	$376	208	208	+0	open	—	04-25 12:52
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$367	244	244	+0	open	—	05-24 20:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$365	200	200	+0	open	—	05-21 11:36
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	8	$364	328	328	+0	open	—	05-24 03:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	3	$356	211	211	+0	open	—	05-13 12:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	2	$330	189	189	+0	open	—	04-23 20:30
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$326	185	185	+0	open	—	04-17 13:34
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	3	$296	190	190	+0	open	—	04-25 19:33
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	2	$282	166	166	+0	open	—	03-29 23:55
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$272	166	166	+0	open	—	05-17 17:41
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$271	154	154	+0	open	—	03-25 16:03
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	3	$270	151	151	+0	open	—	04-18 06:43
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$262	180	178	+3	open	—	04-01 01:31
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	2	$261	326	0	+326	open	—	02-28 11:25
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	4	$258	185	185	+0	open	—	03-08 12:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 20:17:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	463	89¢	$412	0x0a660e…
05-24 20:12:11	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	244	86¢	$210	0x1dd3b6…
05-24 20:08:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	303	79¢	$241	0xea0d37…
05-24 20:08:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	600	87¢	$524	0x070fc4…
05-24 17:20:35	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	295	99¢	$291	0xa04324…
05-24 15:20:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	120	93¢	$112	0x35fd15…
05-24 15:19:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	250	97¢	$241	0x39465c…
05-24 10:43:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	120	56¢	$67	0xc3d717…
05-24 03:41:00	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x6a6654…
05-24 01:01:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xc5760d…
05-23 22:23:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x9a4a37…
05-23 22:04:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xefb419…
05-23 21:27:32	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	SELL	275	50¢	$137	0x164918…
05-23 21:27:28	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x64ce31…
05-23 21:27:23	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x849d17…
05-23 21:16:35	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xe8a885…
05-23 21:16:18	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x7845a4…
05-23 10:41:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0xe77bb9…
05-23 10:41:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	741	40¢	$296	0xc74ca1…
05-22 22:20:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	600	2¢	$12	0x0a5ecd…
05-22 21:51:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x87d23d…
05-22 21:50:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	185	4¢	$7	0xc2d0bb…
05-22 21:50:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xe4c8f3…
05-22 21:47:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	190	10¢	$19	0x9877b7…
05-22 17:37:48	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x38abf9…
05-22 17:37:14	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xf309c1…
05-21 21:49:43	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	295	85¢	$250	0xe92f06…
05-21 18:54:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	126	76¢	$95	0x28fb7a…
05-21 17:52:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	177	85¢	$150	0xf1716b…
05-21 17:52:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x407e71…
05-21 11:37:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	110	79¢	$87	0xae8223…
05-21 11:36:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x10ef5e…
05-21 11:36:33	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	250	84¢	$210	0x29ec66…
05-21 01:21:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3b62f1…
05-20 16:06:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	466	68¢	$317	0x4f8bd5…
05-20 16:06:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	14	68¢	$9	0xc70fe0…
05-20 15:53:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0x4ba3b5…
05-20 15:52:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	44	68¢	$30	0x490fee…
05-19 19:12:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x043ce5…
05-19 19:12:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	153	48¢	$73	0x48f0d1…
05-19 17:32:19	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	29	76¢	$22	0xa4b237…
05-19 17:11:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	221	76¢	$168	0x41c890…
05-19 16:42:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xafb076…
05-18 19:43:45	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	294	90¢	$265	0x432287…
05-18 13:00:18	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	266	93¢	$247	0xffe66c…
05-17 19:49:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	110	69¢	$76	0x40879a…
05-17 17:42:16	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	145	65¢	$94	0xeaf88c…
05-17 17:42:00	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	99	64¢	$63	0x4d27e0…
05-17 17:41:04	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	166	95¢	$158	0x2691e1…
05-16 18:58:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	225	96¢	$217	0x60a4a1…
05-15 22:03:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xc9c3ef…
05-13 12:53:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	133	97¢	$129	0x3d7970…
05-13 12:51:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	78	97¢	$76	0x6ee1e0…
05-10 20:28:55	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	193	78¢	$150	0x505829…
05-06 21:57:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x130d05…
05-06 21:56:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	384	73¢	$280	0x3ccbb4…
05-06 21:07:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	375	96¢	$361	0x66086a…
05-06 15:32:06	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xdde015…
05-06 09:24:38	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	166	69¢	$114	0x9586cb…
05-05 17:48:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	211	71¢	$150	0x5a3b54…
05-04 19:58:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x8f162d…
05-03 23:42:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x82eb05…
05-02 12:49:20	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x6e54b0…
05-02 12:48:58	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x21f0e1…
05-02 12:47:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x584745…
05-01 13:50:34	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	253	100¢	$252	0x97c4e1…
04-30 01:21:56	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	344	100¢	$342	0x54b17b…
04-29 01:51:10	Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	253	75¢	$190	0xc138ad…
04-25 20:31:30	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x8bc3c3…
04-25 19:34:08	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	114	81¢	$93	0x3bbf40…
04-25 19:33:54	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	97	95¢	$92	0xd71597…
04-25 12:54:04	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	93	90¢	$84	0xec41f2…
04-25 12:52:50	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	237	84¢	$199	0x74b897…
04-25 12:52:36	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	208	96¢	$200	0x04e34a…
04-24 23:48:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	128	87¢	$111	0x65cb1b…
04-24 19:35:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0xcd1838…
04-24 19:27:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x68cc05…
04-24 19:23:12	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	146	68¢	$100	0x1ccf4b…
04-24 14:37:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	421	98¢	$411	0xb607fc…
04-23 20:32:12	Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	226	80¢	$180	0xbd3238…
04-23 20:30:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	189	95¢	$180	0x9a40a9…
04-23 09:13:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	70¢	$60	0x2c195c…
04-23 00:41:56	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	112	54¢	$60	0x689f5f…
04-23 00:41:32	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	133	90¢	$120	0x980945…
04-22 10:19:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	189	80¢	$151	0xaae4a4…
04-21 19:31:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	250	60¢	$150	0x96d4b9…
04-21 14:56:02	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	98	66¢	$65	0x641639…
04-21 14:55:54	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xa1c820…
04-21 14:55:30	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	SELL	139	92¢	$128	0x836f3b…
04-21 14:52:22	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x51c6dc…
04-21 14:52:00	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0xf57b49…
04-20 10:02:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	156	75¢	$117	0x4f5fc7…
04-20 10:01:44	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	No	SELL	124	94¢	$117	0x59258e…
04-18 06:44:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	152	61¢	$93	0x56425e…
04-18 06:43:46	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	98	94¢	$92	0x2d9311…
04-17 23:06:48	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	190	63¢	$120	0x07c77e…
04-17 23:06:34	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	128	94¢	$121	0x5a0b2e…
04-17 16:36:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x5149cd…
04-17 16:36:36	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x25ded5…
04-17 13:35:16	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	208	85¢	$177	0x8aa3b8…