Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4bd2…aeac6b
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$855
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved
5,789
Trades
13,563
lifetime
Volume
$92.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$348
24 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 05-14 20:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
93% 64% +$837
Politics
5% 77% +$116
Crypto
2% 72% -$11
Tech
0% 42% -$87
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No +103 $99 100¢ $103 +$4 05-10 10:56
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 05-13 11:38
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 +$0 05-03 08:38
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 +$0 05-12 07:40
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +29 $28 89¢ $26 -$3 05-07 22:33
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +30 $14 66¢ $20 +$6 04-29 12:45
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +15 $13 90¢ $14 +$1 05-10 13:33
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 $0 05-06 15:34
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? No +12 $12 92¢ $11 -$1 05-06 13:50
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +19 $12 55¢ $10 -$2 05-07 03:42
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 05-03 20:34
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +26 $14 34¢ $9 -$5 05-01 02:39
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +19 $10 46¢ $9 -$1 05-07 03:42
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 05-13 08:14
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +8 $4 70¢ $5 +$2 05-03 17:57
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5 $3 99¢ $5 +$2 05-14 18:54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$0 05-05 13:46
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $0 05-03 03:52
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +3 $3 67¢ $2 -$1 05-05 13:37
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +5 $2 36¢ $2 $0 05-08 15:46
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? No +1 $0 99¢ $1 +$1 05-06 19:40
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +1 $1 68¢ $1 $0 05-12 04:53
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +1 $0 32¢ $0 +$0 05-12 04:55
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? No +5 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-14 20:04