Lovable-Permafrost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.9%

Resolved

Trades

893

lifetime

Volume

$5.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 04-28 05:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

92% 0% $-4

Politics

6% 50% $-15

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 433 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$129	227	+227	open	—	04-25 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?	9	$115	162	+162	open	—	04-26 02:25
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 26?	4	$109	112	+112	open	—	04-26 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 26?	6	$93	94	+94	open	—	04-26 05:17
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on April 25?	1	$89	92	+92	open	—	04-26 03:57
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?	2	$89	89	+89	open	—	04-26 18:09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 26?	2	$86	86	+86	open	—	04-26 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?	4	$83	216	+216	open	—	04-26 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 26?	7	$79	133	+133	open	—	04-26 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 26?	8	$78	123	+123	open	—	04-26 05:11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 28?	5	$75	80	+80	open	—	04-28 04:45
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$63	99	+99	open	—	04-25 22:36
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 28?	3	$63	63	+63	open	—	04-28 04:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 26?	4	$58	59	+59	open	—	04-26 04:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?	4	$49	60	+60	open	—	04-26 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on April 26?	2	$49	53	+53	open	—	04-25 01:54
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on April 28?	1	$48	50	+50	open	—	04-28 04:41
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 25?	1	$47	49	+49	open	—	04-25 02:00
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on April 25?	1	$46	47	+47	open	—	04-26 00:37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 28?	3	$45	46	+46	open	—	04-28 04:50
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 26?	8	$43	61	+61	open	—	04-26 05:03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$42	50	+50	open	—	04-25 12:36
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on April 25?	1	$39	39	+39	open	—	04-25 14:31
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$39	39	+39	open	—	04-26 02:23
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$39	39	+39	open	—	04-25 20:39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$39	39	+39	open	—	04-26 02:22
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$38	40	+40	open	—	04-26 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?	4	$38	46	+46	open	—	04-28 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 28?	3	$37	64	+64	open	—	04-28 04:55
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$36	39	+39	open	—	04-28 04:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 05:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x8afb5d…
04-28 05:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	51	11¢	$6	0xcc92a0…
04-28 05:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 28?	No	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0xdab481…
04-28 05:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9a1877…
04-28 05:01:26	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	21	64¢	$14	0xa77d09…
04-28 05:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x96c2f5…
04-28 05:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x6b7248…
04-28 04:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x6cfe0b…
04-28 04:56:28	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x519be8…
04-28 04:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	No	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0x82d879…
04-28 04:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf75489…
04-28 04:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5e1334…
04-28 04:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0x61ef25…
04-28 04:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0a2d09…
04-28 04:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xea7598…
04-28 04:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd0bae5…
04-28 04:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xbd9cd7…
04-28 04:46:54	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xe82383…
04-28 04:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0xb5440d…
04-28 04:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x02e967…
04-28 04:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0xd0b2b8…
04-28 04:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xb2474f…
04-28 04:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x763631…
04-28 04:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x165172…
04-28 04:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb86cba…
04-28 04:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on April 28?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x890a75…
04-28 04:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	No	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0xad9de0…
04-28 04:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x79ba6e…
04-28 04:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 28?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x27e839…
04-28 04:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x760770…
04-28 04:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x357ac5…
04-28 04:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xb9e670…
04-28 04:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x05791e…
04-28 04:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xc2d0c9…
04-28 04:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 28?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc99a09…
04-28 04:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xf55faa…
04-28 04:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x177908…
04-28 04:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 28?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x112f7e…
04-28 04:21:32	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	91¢	$36	0x53e6d2…
04-28 04:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x37074d…
04-28 04:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 28?	No	BUY	34	65¢	$22	0x9f8870…
04-28 04:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8e25ef…
04-28 04:14:30	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	No	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0xdfd792…
04-28 04:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x464880…
04-28 04:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2ce5d7…
04-28 04:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 28?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xff7d44…
04-28 04:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 28?	No	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x48ea4b…
04-28 04:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 28?	No	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xe0b56a…
04-28 04:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x254115…
04-28 04:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x704990…
04-28 04:07:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 28?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x8f9780…
04-28 04:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa6a7b2…
04-28 04:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	No	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0x202263…
04-28 04:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x6b8d66…
04-28 04:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xef2f59…
04-28 04:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xab633f…
04-28 04:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f06ee…
04-28 04:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x3ae186…
04-28 04:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x598cfb…
04-28 04:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x8d12ae…
04-28 03:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0xf71a15…
04-28 03:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0xedc5fe…
04-28 03:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2c10d0…
04-28 03:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x0c9802…
04-28 03:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 28?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x319426…
04-28 03:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf11f1c…
04-28 03:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xd9f5a1…
04-28 03:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x7dd411…
04-28 03:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x7265b0…
04-28 03:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xe86385…
04-28 03:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x52ceb2…
04-28 03:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on April 29?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x436de9…
04-28 03:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 28?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xf55d69…
04-28 03:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xddcfc7…
04-28 03:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x145670…
04-28 03:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x35410d…
04-28 03:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xfc138f…
04-28 03:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x66f139…
04-28 03:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0df99f…
04-28 03:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x2cd58f…
04-28 03:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xf0f29f…
04-28 03:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x93da07…
04-28 03:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x9e3ce3…
04-28 03:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3151e1…
04-28 03:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3dfb8d…
04-28 03:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xffd959…
04-28 03:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C on April 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x47366b…
04-28 03:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x921b33…
04-28 03:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 29?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x865a39…
04-28 03:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe34a4c…
04-28 03:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x713c4f…
04-28 03:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x544a04…
04-28 03:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 28?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x5f3c8e…
04-28 03:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbce99…
04-28 03:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 29?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x38d218…
04-28 03:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x534188…
04-28 02:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on April 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2ff038…
04-28 02:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 28?	No	BUY	16	84¢	$14	0x907344…
04-28 02:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb768dc…
04-28 02:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x900e80…