Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 14?
open
Total volume
$121
$319 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$922
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
75¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 04:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $4 | $100 | $96 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $23 | $21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | — | $32 | $32 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $28 | $28 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $14 | $14 |
| unranked | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +28 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-12 22:02 |
| Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | No | +19 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-13 01:50 |
| Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | No | +19 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-13 01:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | +18 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-13 00:01 |
| Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | +13 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 23:43 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-12 22:26 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 21:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xa819…5062 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 02:22 |
| Worldly-Simplification 0xed26…b18e | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 00:01 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 22:26 |
| Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 00:16 |
| Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 21:46 |
| Pertinent-Mole 0xc3dd…57b2 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 23:05 |
| Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 04:32:25 | Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x5334df… |
| 05-13 02:44:09 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 24¢ | $7 | 0x2ed1ce… |
| 05-13 02:22:01 | (anonymous) 0xa819…5062 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x496003… |
| 05-13 01:50:59 | Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | No | BUY | 19 | 75¢ | $14 | 0x0e0494… |
| 05-13 01:50:57 | Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | No | BUY | 19 | 75¢ | $14 | 0x1a837d… |
| 05-13 00:32:10 | Putrid-Filing 0xa7f4…1b2f | No | SELL | 6 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x2a9e8b… |
| 05-13 00:16:59 | Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | BUY | 2 | 74¢ | $2 | 0xaa1671… |
| 05-13 00:02:31 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x9c1eab… |
| 05-13 00:01:43 | Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x3cafd6… |
| 05-13 00:01:42 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x0e8ab5… |
| 05-13 00:01:38 | Worldly-Simplification 0xed26…b18e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xd916f3… |
| 05-12 23:43:21 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | BUY | 13 | 72¢ | $9 | 0x9803f9… |
| 05-12 23:05:59 | Pertinent-Mole 0xc3dd…57b2 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x104010… |
| 05-12 22:26:07 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x4c6984… |
| 05-12 22:26:03 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | BUY | 2 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x9e9787… |
| 05-12 22:26:00 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | No | SELL | 2 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x4c9515… |
| 05-12 22:26:00 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xc10da4… |
| 05-12 22:02:43 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 18 | 72¢ | $13 | 0x7ee06b… |
| 05-12 22:02:29 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0xb5b552… |
| 05-12 22:01:56 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | No | BUY | 2 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x0fa987… |
| 05-12 21:46:51 | (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x73e347… |
| 05-12 21:46:51 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x4e32bc… |
| 05-12 21:46:46 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x42f50f… |
| 05-12 21:46:44 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0xe6e581… |
| 05-12 21:46:44 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xa943d2… |
| 05-12 07:11:15 | Sparkling-Interject 0xc9de…81d9 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 28¢ | $4 | 0xcd7b83… |