Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d029…241f8a
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$9.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.55K
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved
180
Trades
153,293
lifetime
Volume
$3.90M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$21.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 07-20 12:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
58% 42% $-4,613
Politics
30% 67% $-59
Sports
6% — —
Tech
4% — —
Crypto
2% 43% $-4,407
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 4586 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,961 $588 100¢ $2.0K +$1,371 06-20 14:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,605 $563 98¢ $1.6K +$1,015 07-19 20:00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +1,638 $1,366 91¢ $1.5K +$122 07-20 06:38
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +2,366 $456 60¢ $1.4K +$975 07-12 21:28
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,735 $908 71¢ $1.2K +$324 07-04 20:33
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +1,262 $963 89¢ $1.1K +$160 06-17 06:54
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +1,252 $623 88¢ $1.1K +$485 07-09 03:10
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,734 $1,415 30¢ $807 $-608 07-05 01:47
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,626 $857 46¢ $756 $-101 07-14 12:45
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,200 $696 58¢ $702 +$6 07-10 04:53
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +774 $354 90¢ $698 +$344 07-13 08:06
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +700 $636 94¢ $661 +$25 06-18 17:39
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +723 $620 90¢ $655 +$35 07-10 18:30
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +677 $511 90¢ $606 +$95 07-17 05:52
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +600 $583 98¢ $587 +$4 06-29 16:35
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +586 $211 100¢ $585 +$374 07-20 13:24
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +801 $609 70¢ $565 $-44 07-04 20:42
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +568 $533 97¢ $550 +$17 07-07 14:58
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +511 $455 94¢ $482 +$27 05-30 05:42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +580 $392 79¢ $458 +$67 06-12 14:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +659 $197 68¢ $445 +$248 06-15 08:40
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No -447 $-417 96¢ $-427 $-10 06-26 23:21
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +477 $333 86¢ $408 +$74 07-20 04:45
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? Yes -402 $-400 95¢ $-382 +$18 06-22 10:12
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +378 $318 96¢ $361 +$43 06-14 21:56
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +421 $59 86¢ $360 +$301 06-16 03:34
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +380 $344 95¢ $360 +$15 06-16 10:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +380 $232 90¢ $340 +$108 06-05 20:28
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +368 $268 84¢ $309 +$40 05-29 20:25
Obama arrested before 2027? No +307 $283 97¢ $298 +$15 06-27 23:01