Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d029…241f8a
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$259.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$20.1K
Hit rate
70.3%
Resolved
45,801
Trades
391,889
lifetime
Volume
$11.3M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$137.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 10-27 15:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 188 days
Categories
Other
63% 46% +$162,480
Politics
25% 55% +$68,895
Sports
6% 43% +$32,522
Tech
3% 56% +$2,289
Crypto
2% 46% -$7,943
Pop-Culture
0% 61% +$1,219
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3363 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +14,139 $5,087 98¢ $13.8K +$8,762 10-25 17:29
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +19,927 $6,601 64¢ $12.7K +$6,103 10-26 00:20
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +12,512 $8,796 66¢ $8.3K -$475 10-27 03:21
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 Yes +21,209 $13,256 36¢ $7.7K -$5,568 10-27 03:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +7,363 $5,933 78¢ $5.7K -$226 10-27 16:30
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5,289 $5,154 98¢ $5.2K +$11 10-27 16:48
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +4,742 $4,119 96¢ $4.6K +$457 10-21 20:49
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +5,230 $3,936 85¢ $4.5K +$528 10-26 17:02
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10,653 $4,779 36¢ $3.9K -$912 10-27 16:49
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +4,218 $827 92¢ $3.9K +$3,032 09-14 10:38
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,491 $3,720 84¢ $3.8K +$70 10-26 20:52
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +4,970 $3,531 73¢ $3.6K +$113 10-24 12:16
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,897 $3,705 93¢ $3.6K -$98 10-27 05:04
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +3,880 $3,327 92¢ $3.6K +$243 10-27 17:08
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +4,241 $3,404 84¢ $3.6K +$164 10-27 06:11
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +3,555 $3,222 97¢ $3.4K +$218 10-27 01:18
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +10,221 $2,371 34¢ $3.4K +$1,052 10-25 17:43
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,590 $3,233 94¢ $3.4K +$145 10-27 16:52
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +4,008 $2,757 84¢ $3.4K +$614 10-24 21:17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +3,676 $2,500 92¢ $3.4K +$869 10-26 23:00
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +3,340 $3,081 99¢ $3.3K +$238 10-26 18:54
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +3,305 $2,241 100¢ $3.3K +$1,059 10-05 09:57
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +4,059 $3,370 80¢ $3.2K -$137 10-27 14:11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +3,285 $1,689 98¢ $3.2K +$1,514 10-27 04:03
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +3,287 $1,712 97¢ $3.2K +$1,468 10-22 19:14
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +3,733 $2,504 85¢ $3.2K +$669 10-06 16:41
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +3,268 $3,105 96¢ $3.2K +$47 10-26 20:58
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,226 $3,030 96¢ $3.1K +$56 10-25 18:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +3,558 $2,974 86¢ $3.0K +$70 10-26 12:41
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,103 $3,017 98¢ $3.0K +$24 10-27 11:17