Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d029…241f8a
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$9.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.03K
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved
180
Trades
30,751
lifetime
Volume
$986.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$18.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 06-10 06:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
47% 42% $-4,613
Politics
40% 67% $-59
Crypto
8% 43% $-4,407
Sports
3% — —
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 2554 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +1,824 $1,719 96¢ $1.8K +$32 06-08 10:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,956 $820 70¢ $1.4K +$559 06-01 13:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,425 $527 90¢ $1.3K +$762 05-29 15:12
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +1,303 $1,066 88¢ $1.1K +$79 06-10 06:05
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,414 $12 76¢ $1.1K +$1,063 06-08 13:41
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1,056 $729 100¢ $1.1K +$326 06-07 19:53
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? Yes +751 $688 98¢ $734 +$46 06-06 03:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +800 $296 90¢ $716 +$420 05-31 15:04
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +782 $579 84¢ $661 +$82 06-01 08:58
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No +670 $642 97¢ $653 +$11 06-05 12:02
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes +675 $452 94¢ $631 +$179 05-28 13:14
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +683 $581 88¢ $600 +$19 06-10 00:06
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +637 $499 94¢ $596 +$97 06-04 23:21
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +766 $512 75¢ $574 +$62 06-09 14:04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +626 $432 88¢ $553 +$121 06-08 16:18
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +569 $502 88¢ $500 $-2 06-09 18:42
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +511 $455 95¢ $488 +$32 05-30 05:42
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? No +459 $356 97¢ $444 +$87 06-07 06:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +524 $369 78¢ $406 +$36 06-05 16:15
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +400 $376 98¢ $393 +$17 06-08 07:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +1,197 $123 32¢ $389 +$266 06-08 22:42
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Yes +402 $361 91¢ $365 +$3 06-09 16:04
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +358 $341 100¢ $357 +$16 06-09 00:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +351 $327 98¢ $343 +$16 06-07 23:34
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No +445 $223 70¢ $312 +$89 06-09 17:14
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1,284 $-189 24¢ $308 +$497 06-08 12:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +380 $232 78¢ $298 +$67 06-05 20:28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +300 $280 97¢ $291 +$11 06-08 02:56
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +300 $270 96¢ $287 +$17 06-09 07:29
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +283 $268 100¢ $283 +$15 05-11 08:30