Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d029…241f8a
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$9.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.84K
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved
180
Trades
94,499
lifetime
Volume
$2.70M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$44.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 06-30 12:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
52% 42% $-4,613
Politics
37% 67% $-59
Sports
5% — —
Tech
3% — —
Crypto
3% 43% $-4,407
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 4586 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +8,190 $5,943 100¢ $8.2K +$2,226 06-26 20:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -3,434 $-3,947 100¢ $-3418 +$529 06-27 14:18
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +2,950 $2,775 100¢ $2.9K +$172 06-21 06:10
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +2,752 $1,693 99¢ $2.7K +$1,023 06-26 18:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +2,034 $1,914 100¢ $2.0K +$117 06-17 17:11
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,961 $588 100¢ $2.0K +$1,371 06-20 14:19
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,766 $1,528 100¢ $1.8K +$236 06-29 13:01
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No +1,623 $1,511 100¢ $1.6K +$109 06-22 18:50
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No -1,429 $-1,440 100¢ $-1424 +$16 06-29 14:54
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +2,289 $1,373 60¢ $1.4K +$12 06-28 08:44
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -1,418 $-1,307 95¢ $-1341 $-34 06-29 20:11
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1,392 $1,287 91¢ $1.3K $-22 06-30 05:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,811 $765 64¢ $1.2K +$404 06-14 22:14
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +1,262 $963 88¢ $1.1K +$154 06-17 06:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,308 $803 82¢ $1.1K +$276 06-14 22:58
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +1,064 $984 99¢ $1.1K +$72 06-24 10:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No +1,040 $1,004 100¢ $1.0K +$34 06-18 04:39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +1,042 $537 98¢ $1.0K +$482 06-19 12:19
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +894 $824 100¢ $892 +$68 06-17 14:59
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +881 $627 100¢ $879 +$252 06-22 08:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No +851 $807 100¢ $850 +$43 06-12 20:53
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? No +857 $671 99¢ $849 +$178 06-21 15:25
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +805 $732 99¢ $799 +$66 06-21 15:53
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +782 $579 90¢ $708 +$129 06-01 08:58
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +700 $636 93¢ $648 +$12 06-18 17:39
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +600 $583 97¢ $584 +$1 06-29 16:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +583 $387 100¢ $581 +$195 06-11 22:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +551 $470 100¢ $550 +$81 06-21 13:08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +580 $392 90¢ $525 +$133 06-12 14:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +513 $3 100¢ $511 +$508 06-18 05:17