Worldly-Simplification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$114

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

1,433

Trades

2,790

lifetime

Volume

$6.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-12 19:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 67% -$159

Other

21% 37% +$46

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in beijing on april 14 2026 18corbelow	11	$111	104	100	+4	Yes	+$80	04-14 06:28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	5	$104	1,790	1,790	+0	No	+$4	04-12 19:04
highest temperature in los angeles on april 12 2026 68 69f	5	$81	85	81	+4	Yes	+$78	04-12 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:05 UTC	20	$81	80	64	+17	Up	+$1	03-29 11:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 19:55 UTC	34	$52	110	110	+0	Up	-$11	03-24 19:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$45	770	770	+0	Yes	-$2	04-12 19:04
highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 68 69f	7	$43	219	209	+10	No	+$24	04-15 15:03
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 12:00 UTC	12	$38	40	40	+0	Down	-$7	03-29 12:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:30 UTC	13	$38	55	0	+55	Up	+$17	03-20 14:30
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 20:30 UTC	7	$35	30	30	+0	Down	-$6	03-28 20:34
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 88 89f	7	$34	64	61	+3	No	+$12	04-15 19:26
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 14:00 UTC	8	$30	30	30	+0	Up	$0	03-29 14:02
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 20:30 UTC	8	$24	31	30	+0	Down	-$7	03-28 20:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:45 UTC	10	$22	40	10	+30	Up	+$1	06-12 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 18:15 UTC	10	$21	45	0	+45	Down	-$11	06-12 18:17
highest temperature in chicago on april 16 2026 70 71f	6	$20	32	31	+1	No	+$2	04-16 18:54
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 15 2026 35corhigher	5	$18	46	44	+2	Yes	+$6	04-14 14:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 19:15 UTC	4	$18	15	15	+0	Down	+$4	03-24 19:23
highest temperature in ankara on april 13 2026 9corbelow	9	$16	294	0	+294	No	-$16	04-12 23:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 19:20 UTC	3	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	03-24 19:23
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 14 2026 31corhigher	9	$15	277	0	+277	No	-$15	04-13 01:19
highest temperature in nyc on april 16 2026 88 89f	4	$14	31	30	+1	No	+$4	04-16 09:31
highest temperature in seattle on april 12 2026 56 57f	2	$14	15	14	+1	Yes	+$10	04-12 22:41
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 18:45 UTC	3	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	03-24 18:54
highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 74forhigher	7	$13	113	0	+113	No	-$13	04-15 21:37
highest temperature in dallas on april 16 2026 80 81f	7	$12	210	0	+210	No	-$12	04-15 21:38
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 52 53f	3	$12	44	42	+2	No	+$5	04-16 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:20 UTC	5	$12	25	0	+25	Up	+$3	03-20 14:20
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 16:00 UTC	4	$12	12	8	+4	Down	$0	03-29 16:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 16:30 UTC	4	$11	10	5	+5	Down	-$1	03-24 16:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 19:41:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xc27afc…
06-12 19:41:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x46a0ee…
06-12 19:40:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa265be…
06-12 19:32:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x39b979…
06-12 19:32:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xeaa7f9…
06-12 19:23:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x912d2a…
06-12 19:23:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x20d772…
06-12 19:23:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc0aa88…
06-12 19:18:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x6c2086…
06-12 19:18:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xac0a54…
06-12 19:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd9ec98…
06-12 19:17:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xc6324e…
06-12 19:13:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x1ddcb0…
06-12 19:13:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xcf0294…
06-12 19:13:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8ffea8…
06-12 19:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8b4781…
06-12 19:13:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf3a555…
06-12 18:17:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb1caf6…
06-12 18:16:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcc9540…
06-12 18:16:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x418c96…
06-12 18:16:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x496b76…
06-12 18:16:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4e114d…
06-12 18:16:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x357dac…
06-12 18:15:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x7300e8…
06-12 18:15:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x46b069…
06-12 18:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdc2fac…
06-12 18:15:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb6213d…
06-12 18:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x860712…
06-12 17:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x4ad38a…
06-12 17:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x91760e…
06-12 17:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x47ea97…
06-12 17:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x139e65…
06-12 17:51:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x09590b…
06-12 17:49:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x4147aa…
06-12 17:48:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xadebd2…
06-12 17:48:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x63e0e2…
06-12 17:46:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x11113a…
06-12 17:46:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x43946d…
06-12 17:46:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x14a4b7…
06-12 17:45:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xfad8d8…
06-12 17:45:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0c3cfe…
06-12 17:45:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xb3e87d…
06-12 17:45:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1753d2…
06-12 17:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x926b8f…
06-12 17:36:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xcd056d…
06-12 17:36:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xfc3faf…
06-12 17:33:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4529e6…
06-12 17:27:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3d77b9…
06-12 17:21:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x981e96…
06-04 23:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xc28222…
06-04 23:36:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x534a9e…
06-04 22:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 4?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x1e0d67…
06-03 21:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4ba300…
06-03 21:36:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x21cc4d…
06-03 20:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 3?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xae877d…
06-03 04:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xc6a089…
06-03 04:25:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x4a7e2e…
06-02 09:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x60cf6f…
06-02 09:34:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x7e1341…
06-02 09:32:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 2?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xb07ea7…
06-01 16:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x6458b2…
06-01 16:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xa020af…
06-01 15:45:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 1?	Yes	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x0ee1e8…
06-01 03:32:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x72923a…
06-01 00:32:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9a8181…
05-31 20:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x6e4bdc…
05-31 19:46:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x195313…
05-31 19:32:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x8d52ee…
05-31 18:43:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x0e5d5e…
05-30 14:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xde54aa…
05-30 14:31:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xcb493c…
05-30 13:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 30?	Yes	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0xfe1d0d…
05-30 04:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xeec195…
05-30 00:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xcb07c9…
05-30 00:30:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x2f407d…
05-29 20:54:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 29?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x29cf47…
05-29 20:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xa002fa…
05-29 19:30:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x44bb65…
05-29 19:24:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x1b38d5…
05-28 17:29:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcd83be…
05-28 17:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 28?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x5a79b1…
05-28 16:29:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x5905a9…
05-28 16:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf31171…
05-28 16:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 28?	Yes	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x8a82e6…
05-28 15:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf663c7…
05-28 15:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x3a5009…
05-28 15:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 28?	Yes	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x4aee4e…
05-28 05:28:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x2eb38f…
05-28 04:58:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x4cc6d5…
05-27 15:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x43e9db…
05-27 05:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xf2cf33…
05-27 05:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x85ba57…
05-27 01:10:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x65746a…
05-27 00:34:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9811ef…
05-27 00:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xd028c9…
05-27 00:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x0f8f23…
05-27 00:23:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xa4311f…
05-26 23:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 26?	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x279585…
05-26 23:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 26?	Yes	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xbf728e…
05-26 22:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 26?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x70d2e5…