Cavernous-Lag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.4%

Resolved

Trades

651

lifetime

Volume

$1.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 07-27 03:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 13% $-19

Other

43% 57% +$1

Politics

5% — —

Sports

3% 50% +$4

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wti closes above 72 on july 8 2026	3	$14	15	+15	open	—	07-08 16:41
wti closes above 73 on july 9 2026	3	$14	19	+19	open	—	07-09 16:41
wti closes above 72 on july 9 2026	3	$13	20	+20	open	—	07-09 16:41
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	07-06 07:44
bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	07-04 00:02
ethereum above 1800 on july 15 2026	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	07-08 18:46
will bitcoin reach 63k on july 2	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	07-02 12:59
xrp above 1pt1 on july 9 2026	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	07-09 01:44
will bitcoin reach 63k on july 3	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	07-03 06:15
will xrp dip to 1pt05 on july 13	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	07-13 09:17
will solana reach 80 on july 9	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	07-09 10:44
will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	07-02 13:43
xrp above 1pt1 on july 10 2026	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	07-09 02:44
bitcoin above 64k on july 9 2026	1	$10	15	+15	open	—	07-06 07:44
ethereum above 1800 on july 10 2026	1	$10	15	+15	open	—	07-08 00:01
ethereum above 1800 on july 14 2026	1	$10	15	+15	open	—	07-13 12:13
bitcoin above 64k on july 7 2026	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	07-02 13:43
bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	07-04 00:02
xrp above 1pt2 on june 20 2026	2	$10	13	+13	open	—	06-15 00:50
xrp above 1pt1 on july 17 2026	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	07-14 00:01
wti closes above 71 on july 7 2026	2	$9	11	+11	open	—	07-07 16:41
wti closes above 74 on july 8 2026	3	$9	19	+19	open	—	07-08 16:29
ethereum above 1800 on july 17 2026	1	$9	15	+15	open	—	07-14 00:01
ethereum above 1800 on july 13 2026	1	$9	13	+13	open	—	07-13 09:18
will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 8	1	$9	13	+13	open	—	07-08 16:29
wti closes above 67 on july 2 2026	2	$9	12	+12	open	—	07-02 09:38
wti closes above 69 on july 1 2026	2	$9	16	+16	open	—	07-01 08:25
wti closes above 71 on july 8 2026	2	$9	12	+12	open	—	07-08 07:35
wti closes above 69 on june 30 2026	2	$9	11	+11	open	—	06-30 04:45
wti closes above 69 on june 29 2026	2	$9	41	+41	open	—	06-29 06:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 03:10:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x493c2b…
07-27 03:10:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x6ad9c8…
07-27 03:10:33	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x570ec2…
07-27 03:10:30	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xb88d18…
07-27 03:10:28	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x9643a4…
07-27 03:10:25	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x6e1bf0…
07-27 03:10:24	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x0e2f31…
07-27 03:10:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xa511ee…
07-27 03:10:13	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x360cec…
07-27 03:10:10	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x91d7ac…
07-27 03:10:09	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0xe606e5…
07-27 03:10:07	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x06aa77…
07-27 03:10:04	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0x7ceeb6…
07-27 03:08:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x93216d…
07-24 17:46:33	eth updown 5m 1784915100	Down	BUY	1	58¢	$0	0xc7b5b5…
07-24 17:46:33	eth updown 5m 1784915100	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$3	0x8b532e…
07-24 17:45:03	btc updown 5m 1784915100	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8baaaf…
07-24 17:41:40	btc updown 5m 1784914800	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xfb370d…
07-24 17:41:40	btc updown 5m 1784914800	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x7b05ab…
07-24 17:39:03	eth updown 5m 1784914800	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x965419…
07-24 17:35:49	eth updown 5m 1784914500	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xbab166…
07-24 17:34:00	btc updown 5m 1784914500	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x08e126…
07-24 17:30:19	btc updown 5m 1784914200	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3b4eea…
07-24 17:29:03	eth updown 5m 1784914200	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc61b9e…
07-24 17:25:04	btc updown 5m 1784913900	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9c8c16…
07-24 17:22:36	btc updown 5m 1784913600	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x898831…
07-21 09:31:40	xrp up or down july 21 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x8f3b92…
07-21 05:31:34	ethereum up or down july 21 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xc20184…
07-21 02:31:45	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x2c7731…
07-20 20:32:42	dogecoin up or down july 20 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x5ef068…
07-20 19:31:33	xrp up or down july 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x503479…
07-20 17:37:04	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x56f529…
07-20 14:32:01	solana up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0xbfb918…
07-20 14:31:49	bnb up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x649f62…
07-20 14:31:40	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf57b9b…
07-20 13:36:49	bnb up or down july 20 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x211294…
07-20 13:32:19	solana up or down july 20 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x634ad7…
07-20 06:33:10	dogecoin up or down july 20 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc7cee7…
07-20 06:32:49	xrp up or down july 20 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x9fde59…
07-19 17:31:36	xrp up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x5f2d6f…
07-19 14:38:37	xrp up or down july 19 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x69feca…
07-19 14:31:39	dogecoin up or down july 19 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x7d7ee5…
07-19 13:31:46	solana up or down july 19 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xc3883d…
07-19 12:37:03	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x81544a…
07-19 12:36:52	solana up or down july 19 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x0ce2df…
07-19 10:31:36	xrp up or down july 19 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x318546…
07-19 06:32:21	xrp up or down july 19 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x53e846…
07-19 04:31:34	xrp up or down july 19 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x6cfe18…
07-18 20:00:39	bnb up or down july 18 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x1e1d59…
07-18 10:46:45	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xbdbf81…
07-18 10:46:34	dogecoin up or down july 18 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xe02539…
07-18 09:31:36	bnb up or down july 18 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x3ff104…
07-18 08:41:42	solana up or down july 18 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xaf84b3…
07-18 07:31:33	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x8e2795…
07-18 05:31:57	bnb up or down july 18 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x1e68af…
07-18 01:36:52	dogecoin up or down july 17 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xa1a705…
07-18 01:36:36	xrp up or down july 17 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x2ac795…
07-18 00:41:34	dogecoin up or down july 17 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xe90ed1…
07-17 23:31:40	dogecoin up or down july 17 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$4	0xd007fe…
07-17 15:36:45	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xf9013d…
07-17 09:31:34	bnb up or down july 17 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xbfa9d5…
07-17 02:36:43	xrp up or down july 16 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x404601…
07-17 02:31:40	ethereum up or down july 16 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x800861…
07-16 18:36:34	bnb up or down july 16 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa2c021…
07-16 12:31:47	dogecoin up or down july 16 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x23afc7…
07-16 12:31:31	dogecoin up or down july 16 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x61e618…
07-16 12:31:31	dogecoin up or down july 16 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x42c534…
07-16 09:31:37	solana up or down july 16 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x064ecf…
07-16 08:31:35	xrp up or down july 16 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xa14f43…
07-16 04:31:41	ethereum up or down july 16 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x23e053…
07-16 04:31:32	xrp up or down july 16 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x19c77e…
07-16 01:46:37	xrp up or down july 15 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x7b9546…
07-16 01:31:37	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x61b40a…
07-15 19:36:43	bnb up or down july 15 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x161fae…
07-15 19:31:35	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x65f059…
07-15 17:31:31	xrp up or down july 15 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xa7698b…
07-15 14:31:43	solana up or down july 15 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xd86729…
07-15 11:46:22	solana up or down july 15 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xbad714…
07-15 02:46:49	bnb up or down july 14 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xfbdab4…
07-15 01:36:50	solana up or down july 14 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xa09057…
07-14 16:31:47	ethereum up or down july 14 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbd020b…
07-14 07:32:40	solana up or down july 14 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x07561c…
07-14 07:31:37	dogecoin up or down july 14 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x6df871…
07-14 02:47:16	ethereum up or down july 13 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x020d92…
07-14 02:41:55	xrp up or down july 13 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x0db4dd…
07-14 02:41:43	dogecoin up or down july 13 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x1a37fb…
07-14 00:01:37	ethereum above 1800 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0xfbf3aa…
07-14 00:01:14	xrp above 1pt1 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	12	77¢	$10	0x6fb273…
07-13 22:41:40	xrp up or down july 13 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xd54353…
07-13 17:33:38	solana up or down july 13 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$4	0x38618b…
07-13 17:33:19	bnb up or down july 13 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x74b22a…
07-13 16:08:17	googl up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xcd45d7…
07-13 14:31:47	bnb up or down july 13 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0xc0e29c…
07-13 13:31:40	bnb up or down july 13 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x9f2bc4…
07-13 12:13:58	ethereum above 1800 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x4f7ffd…
07-13 10:36:56	xrp up or down july 13 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd5d9a7…
07-13 10:36:46	bnb up or down july 13 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x4680de…
07-13 10:35:29	wti closes above 74 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x806b97…
07-13 09:18:41	ethereum above 1800 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x93545f…
07-13 09:17:28	will xrp dip to 1pt05 on july 13	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa6911e…