Cavernous-Lag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$538

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

5,157

Trades

7,041

lifetime

Volume

$22.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-06 21:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 164 days

Categories

Other

94% 71% -$512

Crypto

5% 47% -$25

Politics

1% 48% -$12

Sports

0% 37% +$7

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+4	$3	82¢	$3	+$0	05-13 00:12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+2	$1	89¢	$2	+$0	05-12 00:09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+4	$1	39¢	$2	+$0	05-13 00:12
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+6	$1	21¢	$1	$0	05-13 00:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 17?	3	$57	87	+87	Yes	-$57	05-16 00:07
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 17?	6	$57	83	+83	No	+$25	05-17 00:09
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 16?	3	$55	73	+73	No	+$18	05-16 00:07
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on September 7?	3	$33	35	+35	No	+$2	09-07 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 7?	3	$32	35	+35	Yes	-$32	09-07 01:56
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 16?	4	$32	41	+41	No	+$10	05-16 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 17?	3	$31	46	+46	No	+$15	05-16 04:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 1?	4	$30	38	+38	No	+$8	04-30 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 30?	3	$30	38	+38	No	+$8	04-29 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 1?	2	$30	40	+40	No	+$9	04-30 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on May 19?	3	$30	38	+38	No	+$8	05-18 00:13
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 19?	3	$30	33	+33	No	+$3	05-18 00:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 1?	2	$30	47	+47	Yes	-$30	05-01 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 30?	1	$30	41	+41	Yes	-$30	04-29 08:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?	3	$30	41	+41	No	+$11	04-29 18:57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 1?	2	$30	38	+38	No	+$8	04-30 09:05
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?	3	$30	50	+50	Yes	-$30	04-30 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 1?	1	$30	35	+35	No	+$5	04-30 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 1?	3	$30	48	+48	No	+$18	04-30 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 1?	2	$30	52	+52	Yes	-$30	04-30 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 1?	2	$30	44	+44	No	+$14	04-30 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 1?	1	$30	35	+35	No	+$5	04-30 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?	4	$30	52	+52	Yes	-$30	04-30 08:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 1?	1	$30	37	+37	No	+$7	04-30 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1?	10	$30	53	+53	No	+$23	04-30 13:19
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 1?	3	$30	36	+36	No	+$6	04-30 23:58
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 47°C on May 18?	3	$30	35	+35	No	+$5	05-17 00:13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 9?	9	$30	43	+43	No	+$14	06-08 00:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?	1	$29	47	+47	Yes	-$29	04-29 08:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 30?	1	$29	42	+42	No	+$13	04-29 08:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 21:59:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x99e18a…
10-06 19:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 7?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb2c34e…
10-06 19:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe3b1ce…
10-06 19:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4e96f5…
10-06 18:22:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa18eab…
10-06 18:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8f8ea7…
10-06 17:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5c4882…
10-06 16:22:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf504c0…
10-06 16:18:02	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5394af…
10-06 15:22:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x18bbb6…
10-06 15:22:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb03e04…
10-06 15:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd85886…
10-06 15:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x1fb88c…
10-06 15:22:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x67500a…
10-06 15:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfbb46f…
10-06 13:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x26138a…
10-06 13:22:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf0b9be…
10-06 12:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x814387…
10-06 09:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd579e8…
10-06 09:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x289ec1…
10-06 09:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2d9f81…
10-06 08:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xcb6c90…
10-06 08:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xdd7d46…
10-06 07:33:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9499a0…
10-06 07:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x053d5a…
10-06 07:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x67f450…
10-06 06:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xcf9bdc…
10-06 06:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x123b08…
10-06 05:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xfca488…
10-06 05:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4ac22e…
10-06 03:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9c6298…
10-06 02:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x56143f…
10-06 00:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x5ccf1e…
10-05 22:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xafa3a4…
10-05 22:17:19	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8b26b5…
10-05 22:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xae5631…
10-05 21:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xe17cec…
10-05 21:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfaa739…
10-05 21:22:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9656b0…
10-05 20:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 6?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0c4cc4…
10-05 20:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4daa99…
10-05 20:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 6?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x0cf804…
10-05 19:25:29	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf15942…
10-05 19:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x35c83a…
10-05 19:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x84e1aa…
10-05 19:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 6?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x202834…
10-05 19:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2bca58…
10-05 18:59:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x1776ee…
10-05 18:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xef0649…
10-05 18:22:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x86ce1f…
10-05 18:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 6?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x6a7342…
10-05 17:22:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x635ef5…
10-05 15:22:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc7b68d…
10-05 15:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x32f99b…
10-05 15:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x6418e2…
10-05 14:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x993082…
10-05 13:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 5?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x8a13d1…
10-05 13:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2d26a5…
10-05 12:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 5?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4693ad…
10-05 12:22:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa7633b…
10-05 12:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6f47c7…
10-05 12:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x209b8f…
10-05 11:41:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 5?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4312ec…
10-05 11:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 5?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xd05638…
10-05 11:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa54fa6…
10-05 11:02:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x463aff…
10-05 10:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb058da…
10-05 08:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 5?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf059ff…
10-05 06:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb134b3…
10-05 06:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa6e7da…
10-05 05:45:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x1bbf79…
10-05 05:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x28c866…
10-05 05:22:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xae984e…
10-05 04:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x11a4e3…
10-05 03:49:14	spy closes above 765 on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x762ced…
10-05 00:04:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x22e4b9…
10-04 23:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x67f157…
10-04 23:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf83090…
10-04 22:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x220421…
10-04 21:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x0dbd4b…
10-04 21:33:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 5?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdc923b…
10-04 18:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x91cef0…
10-04 18:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe60daa…
10-04 18:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4a062d…
10-04 18:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2d1d77…
10-04 18:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2ba7af…
10-04 17:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0e617a…
10-04 15:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x96c174…
10-04 15:22:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x95f8cb…
10-04 15:22:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4b17ba…
10-04 15:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbb31b0…
10-04 15:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x946d4b…
10-04 14:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x054e67…
10-04 14:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x259411…
10-04 13:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x233a5a…
10-04 12:22:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4abd52…
10-04 12:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0d3812…
10-04 12:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x10dbd3…
10-04 11:22:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3e5152…
10-04 10:13:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 4?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x697785…